Model verdict
The verdict · Elo rating
#42 of 241
Elo rating 1584.8 · as of 2026-07-04 · ncaaf_team_ratings
Rank within the full 241-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Schedule strength · opponent SP+
Avg opp SP+
+0.7
Avg opp rank
#67
Ranked faced
2
vs ranked
1-1
Mean SP+ of the 11 rated opponents (of 13 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.
Model picks on USF
Below the 30-pick gate (n=1)