College basketball game · live box score, efficiency matchup · The One Analytics

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Pan American Center · Las Cruces, NM

5,664 attended

FINAL+9MOST

MOST

11-8

8475

NMSU

10-8

NCAABThu, Jan 22FinalVegasNMSU -6.5

MOST · top performer

Keith Palek III

F · #11

21.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NMSU · top performer

Jemel Jones

G · #21

19.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowMOST ↔ NMSU

Biggest swing: 23pp · 2nd Half · 6:38

NCAAB · Box score

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
K. Palek IIIF · #11	33	26	6-11	2-5	12-14	6	3
M. Osei-BonsuF · #23	30	21	8-12	—	5-7	9	2
T. Williams Jr.G · #1	20	7	2-4	1-3	2-2	1	2
Z. KingG · #13	30	7	3-6	1-4	—	2	4
K. WilliamsG · #0	38	13	5-10	3-7	—	3	0
Bench
C. BooneF · #20	9	0	—	—	0-1	2	0
D. SuttonF · #10	5	2	0-1	—	2-2	4	0
T. BrooksG · #2	12	3	1-2	0-1	1-1	0	1
L. EpesG · #6	4	0	—	—	—	0	0
A. BurnettG · #4	19	5	2-7	1-3	—	6	0
Team		84	27-53	8-23	22-27	40	12
DNP: C. Clark, R. Cheesman, M. Cunningham, A. Kuljuhovic

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. OsborneF · #4	31	11	5-5	—	1-1	3	0
J. MimsF · #0	33	17	8-12	1-4	0-2	8	0
K. MullenF · #3	22	6	2-5	1-3	1-2	1	0
J. JonesG · #21	31	28	8-18	4-8	8-9	3	2
E. ElliottG · #11	30	6	2-9	0-1	2-2	3	7
Bench
A. EkweC · #44	5	0	—	—	—	1	0
C. MalongaC · #24	2	0	—	—	—	0	0
C. TerrellG · #5	10	0	0-3	—	—	0	0
J. RandallG · #8	18	7	2-6	0-4	3-4	4	0
A. WrzeszczG · #9	18	0	0-4	0-3	—	2	1
Team		75	27-62	6-23	15-20	28	10
DNP: A. Doyle, T. Eaglestaff, O. Smith, G. Pickens, C. Villegas

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

MOST

Away

Stat

NMSU

Home

27-53

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

27-62

FG %

8-23

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

6-23

22-27

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

15-20

Assists

Turnovers

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NMSU -6.5

Half-pt below key 7

Total

144.5

Standard · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

MOST+23030%

NMSU-28574%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NMSU -6.5↗SpreadBet NMSU -6.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

6.5

0.0 since open

Total

144.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MOST beat NMSU 84-75. K. Palek III paced them with 26 PTS, 6 REB, 3 AST. Jemel Jones's play in the 2nd half drove the biggest swing of the night (23pp).

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NMSU vs MOST

Starters vs bench

production by unit

MOSTstarters 88% of pts

Starters(5)

74 PTS · 21 REB · 11 AST

GS 54

Bench(5)

10 PTS · 12 REB · 1 AST

GS 9

NMSUstarters 91% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 18 REB · 9 AST

GS 54

Bench(5)

7 PTS · 7 REB · 1 AST

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

NMSU1st Half · 0:11 · 33-31

+10pp→ 59% WP

Jemel Jones · makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot

MOST2nd Half · 6:38 · 67-64

+23pp→ 65% WP

Jemel Jones · misses 24-foot three point jumper

MOST2nd Half · 5:03 · 70-64

+11pp→ 79% WP

Kobi Williams · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Zaxton King assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	T
MOST	33	51	84
NMSU	31	44	75

Period scoring

MOST won 2 · NMSU won 0

III 9

Jones 17

III 17

Jones 13

MOST

NMSU

Shooting comparison

MOST

NMSU

51%

27-53

44%

27-62

35%

8-23

3PT

26%

6-23

81%

22-27

75%

15-20

Play-by-play · 449 plays

period

event

player

H2·0:00
End of Game
MOST 84·NMSU 75
H2·0:00
End of 2nd half
MOST 84·NMSU 75
H2·0:01
Jae'Coby Osborne makes 0-foot tip in layup
MOST 84·NMSU 75
H2·0:01
Jae'Coby Osborne Offensive Rebound.
MOST 84·NMSU 73
H2·0:01
Jemel Jones misses 13-foot jumper
MOST 84·NMSU 73
H2·0:14
Trey Williams Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
·
MOST 84·NMSU 73
H2·0:14
Trey Williams Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
·
MOST 83·NMSU 73
H2·0:14
Foul on Anthony Wrzeszcz.
MOST 82·NMSU 73
−0.7pp
H2·0:34
Jemel Jones makes free throw 1 of 1
MOST 82·NMSU 73
+0.7pp
H2·0:34
Trey Williams Jr. subbing in for Missouri State
·
MOST 82·NMSU 72
H2·0:34
Zaxton King subbing out for Missouri State
MOST 82·NMSU 72
H2·0:34
Foul on Zaxton King.
MOST 82·NMSU 72
H2·0:34
Jemel Jones makes layup
MOST 82·NMSU 72
H2·0:39
Antwan Burnett makes 2-foot jumper
MOST 82·NMSU 70
−0.5pp
H2·1:04
Antwan Burnett Defensive Rebound.
MOST 80·NMSU 70
H2·1:08
Elijah Elliott misses layup
MOST 80·NMSU 70
−0.9pp
H2·1:19
Keith Palek III makes free throw 2 of 2
MOST 80·NMSU 70
H2·1:19
Keith Palek III makes free throw 1 of 2
MOST 79·NMSU 70
H2·1:19
Foul on Jae'Coby Osborne.
MOST 78·NMSU 70
−2pp
H2·1:42
Jae'Coby Osborne makes driving layup
MOST 78·NMSU 70
+1pp
H2·1:58
Julius Mims Defensive Rebound.
MOST 78·NMSU 68
H2·1:58
Keith Palek III misses free throw 2 of 2
MOST 78·NMSU 68
+0.9pp
H2·1:58
Keith Palek III makes free throw 1 of 2
MOST 78·NMSU 68
H2·1:58
Foul on Jemel Jones.
MOST 77·NMSU 68
−0.7pp
H2·2:06
Kobi Williams Offensive Rebound.
MOST 77·NMSU 68
−2pp
H2·2:10
Kobi Williams misses 24-foot three point jumper
MOST 77·NMSU 68
−1pp
H2·2:32
Jae'Coby Osborne subbing in for New Mexico State
MOST 77·NMSU 68
H2·2:32
Kyrese Mullen subbing out for New Mexico State
MOST 77·NMSU 68
+2pp
H2·2:32
Missouri State Timeout
MOST 77·NMSU 68
H2·2:32
Kyrese Mullen makes free throw 2 of 2
MOST 77·NMSU 68

Betting line

NMSU -6.5·O/U 144.5·MOST +230/NMSU -285

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NCAAB

issouri State Bears went into New Mexico State Aggies and beat them, 84–75.

MOST +6.5 cashed (NMSU lost outright). Total cleared the 144.5 OVER by 14.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page