NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+8BOS

BOS

56-26

108100

PHI

45-37

NBAFri, Apr 24FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasBOS -8.5

BOS · top performer

Jayson Tatum

F · #0

22.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

PHI · top performer

Tyrese Maxey

G · #0

20.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowBOS ↔ PHI

Biggest swing: 16pp · 4th Quarter · 1:57

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. TatumF · #0	42	25	9-17	5-9	2-3	+2	5	7
S. HauserF · #30	18	6	2-4	2-2	—	-6	3	0
N. QuetaC · #88	13	6	1-1	—	4-4	-2	7	0
D. WhiteG · #9	34	11	3-12	1-8	4-4	-6	4	2
J. BrownG · #7	40	25	9-16	1-2	6-6	+13	7	4
Bench
N. VucevicC · #4	31	11	4-10	3-9	—	+7	6	4
L. GarzaC · #52	4	3	1-3	1-2	—	+1	2	1
P. PritchardG · #11	33	15	5-12	5-10	—	+18	4	2
B. ScheiermanG · #55	12	6	2-4	2-4	—	-5	3	1
J. WalshG · #27	13	0	0-2	0-1	—	+18	4	0
Team		108	36-81	20-47	16-17		45	21
DNP: D. Banton, A. Williams, R. Harper Jr., M. Shulga, H. Gonzalez

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
P. GeorgeF · #8	41	18	7-14	4-7	—	-4	0	5
A. BonaC · #30	22	10	3-5	—	4-6	+9	5	0
K. Oubre Jr.G · #9	40	17	6-12	1-4	4-4	-8	6	1
T. MaxeyG · #0	42	31	12-31	5-13	2-2	-5	4	6
V. EdgecombeG · #77	41	10	5-17	0-7	—	0	10	5
Bench
J. EdwardsF · #11	13	0	0-1	0-1	—	-7	2	0
A. DrummondC · #1	26	12	5-6	2-2	0-2	-17	6	0
Q. GrimesG · #5	15	2	0-1	0-1	2-2	-8	4	1
Team		100	38-87	12-35	12-16		37	18
DNP: T. Watford, J. Walker, D. Terry, J. Broome, D. Barlow, K. Lowry

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

PHI

Home

36-81

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

38-87

FG %

20-47

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

12-35

16-17

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

12-16

Assists

Turnovers

Playoff series

BOS leads series 2-1

Apr 19

PHI91@

BOS123

Apr 21

PHI111@

BOS97

Apr 24

BOS108@

PHI100today

Apr 26

BOS128@

PHI96

Apr 28

PHI113@

BOS97

May 1

BOS93@

PHI106

May 2

PHI109@

BOS100

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BOS -8.5

Between 7 and 10

Total

215.5

Defensive · -10.5 vs avg

Moneyline

BOS-35578%

PHI+28026%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BOS -8.5↗SpreadBet BOS -8.5↗

Line movement · 15 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

8.5

0.0 since open

Total

215.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat PHI 108-100. J. Tatum paced them with 25 PTS, 5 REB, 7 AST.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

PHI vs BOS

Starters vs bench

production by unit

BOSstarters 68% of pts

Starters(5)

73 PTS · 26 REB · 13 AST

GS 61

Bench(5)

35 PTS · 19 REB · 8 AST

GS 27

PHIstarters 86% of pts

Starters(5)

86 PTS · 25 REB · 17 AST

GS 65

Bench(3)

14 PTS · 12 REB · 1 AST

GS 9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

PHI1st Quarter · 9:56 · 4-2

+16pp→ 34% WP

Neemias Queta · lost ball turnover (Adem Bona steals)

BOS4th Quarter · 1:57 · 100-96

+16pp→ 83% WP

Jayson Tatum · makes 24-foot three pointer (Nikola Vucevic assists)

PHI4th Quarter · 1:00 · 103-99

+13pp→ 24% WP

Kelly Oubre Jr. · makes free throw 1 of 2

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
BOS	29	25	25	29	108
PHI	24	23	27	26	100

Period scoring

BOS won 3 · PHI won 1

Brown 7

Jr. 12

Scheierman 6

Edwards 33

Tatum 6

Maxey 12

Tatum 11

Maxey 10

BOS

PHI

Shooting comparison

BOS

PHI

44%

36-81

44%

38-87

43%

20-47

3PT

34%

12-35

94%

16-17

75%

12-16

Play-by-play · 444 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
BOS 108·PHI 100
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
BOS 108·PHI 100
Q4·0.1
76ers offensive team rebound
BOS 108·PHI 100
Q4·0.1
Tyrese Maxey misses 26-foot fade away jump shot
BOS 108·PHI 100
Q4·6.0
Derrick White makes free throw 2 of 2
BOS 108·PHI 100
Q4·6.0
Derrick White makes free throw 1 of 2
BOS 107·PHI 100
Q4·6.0
Andre Drummond enters the game for Adem Bona
·
BOS 106·PHI 100
Q4·6.0
Adem Bona personal take foul
BOS 106·PHI 100
Q4·9.2
Adem Bona enters the game for Andre Drummond
·
BOS 106·PHI 100
Q4·9.2
Paul George personal take foul
BOS 106·PHI 100
−0.8pp
Q4·14.0
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
BOS 106·PHI 100
−0.7pp
Q4·16.6
Tyrese Maxey misses 26-foot fade away jump shot
BOS 106·PHI 100
−2pp
Q4·19.7
Andre Drummond offensive rebound
BOS 106·PHI 100
+1pp
Q4·22.4
Tyrese Maxey misses 30-foot three point pullup jump shot
BOS 106·PHI 100
−2pp
Q4·25.3
Baylor Scheierman enters the game for Nikola Vucevic
·
BOS 106·PHI 100
Q4·25.3
Andre Drummond enters the game for Adem Bona
·
BOS 106·PHI 100
Q4·25.3
76ers Full timeout
BOS 106·PHI 100
Q4·26.6
Jayson Tatum makes 29-foot three pointerBIG MOMENT
BOS 106·PHI 100
−10pp
Q4·34.5
Derrick White offensive reboundBIG MOMENT
BOS 103·PHI 100
−8pp
Q4·37.7
Nikola Vucevic misses 23-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
BOS 103·PHI 100
+6pp
Q4·1:00
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
BOS 103·PHI 100
−7pp
Q4·1:00
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2BIG MOMENT
BOS 103·PHI 99
+13pp
Q4·1:00
Adem Bona enters the game for Andre Drummond
·
BOS 103·PHI 98
+4pp
Q4·1:00
(01:00) [Celtics] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL STANDS) [Celtics] charged with a timeoutBIG MOMENT
BOS 103·PHI 98
−15pp
Q4·1:00
Celtics Full timeout
BOS 103·PHI 98
Q4·1:00
Nikola Vucevic shooting foulBIG MOMENT
BOS 103·PHI 98
+12pp
Q4·1:17
Payton Pritchard makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot (Jayson Tatum assists)BIG MOMENT
·
BOS 103·PHI 98
−12pp
Q4·1:41
Paul George makes 3-foot two point shotBIG MOMENT
BOS 100·PHI 98
+5pp
Q4·1:57
Jayson Tatum makes 24-foot three pointer (Nikola Vucevic assists)BIG MOMENT
·
BOS 100·PHI 96
−16pp
Q4·2:19
Andre Drummond makes 2-foot dunk (Paul George assists)BIG MOMENT
·
BOS 97·PHI 96
+8pp

Betting line

BOS -8.5·O/U 215.5·BOS -355/PHI +280

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

oston Celtics went into Philadelphia 76ers and beat them, 108–100.

PHI +8.5 cashed (BOS won by 8). Total stayed UNDER 215.5 by 7.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Jaylen BrownBOS · G
USG%35.699+
Tyrese MaxeyPHI · G
TOUCHES94.599
Jayson TatumBOS · F
TOUCHES8998
Neemias QuetaBOS · C
CONT9.197
Paul GeorgePHI · F
DEFL3.596

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · BOS favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PHI vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

165

projections · 135 high confidence

Points

Jaylen BrownBOS
26.6± 6.3high
Joel EmbiidPHI
25.3± 7.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
25.0± 6.5high

Rebounds

Jayson TatumBOS
10.4± 3.8high
Neemias QuetaBOS
8.4± 3.6high
Joel EmbiidPHI
8.0± 3.5high

Assists

Jayson TatumBOS
6.4± 2.6high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
5.9± 1.9high
Payton PritchardBOS
5.4± 2.2high

Blocks

Joel EmbiidPHI
1.3± 1.4high
Derrick WhiteBOS
1.1± 1.3high
Adem BonaPHI
1.1± 1.3high

Steals

Paul GeorgePHI
1.5± 1.1high
Jayson TatumBOS
1.4± 1.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
1.2± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

BOS

league avg

PHI

55.1%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.9%

46.5%

FG%

47.0

46.0%

114.2

PPG

114.9

114.3

24.6

Assists / G

◀

25.0

24.1

11.5

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

12.8

Data via ESPN · hoopR