NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+15CLE

37-22

94109

CLE

37-22

NBATue, Feb 24FinalSeriesNY wins series 2-1VegasCLE -4.5

NY · top performer

Mitchell Robinson

C · #23

16.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

CLE · top performer

Jarrett Allen

C · #31

21.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowNY ↔ CLE

Biggest swing: 13pp · 2nd Quarter · 8:03

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	34	5	2-9	1-6	—	-12	3	2
K. TownsC · #32	29	14	5-5	1-1	3-4	-9	7	2
J. HartG · #3	26	10	4-11	2-8	—	-4	4	5
M. BridgesG · #25	32	18	6-17	1-3	5-6	-11	4	2
J. BrunsonG · #11	36	20	6-19	3-7	5-7	-20	1	4
Bench
J. SochanF · #20	5	0	0-1	—	—	+1	2	0
D. JonesF · #1	3	0	—	—	—	+4	1	1
M. DiawaraF · #51	8	5	2-5	1-4	—	-4	0	0
M. RobinsonC · #23	19	11	5-6	—	1-4	-4	16	1
A. HukportiC · #55	3	0	—	—	—	+4	0	0
J. ClarksonG · #00	1	0	—	—	—	-2	0	0
L. ShametG · #44	20	2	1-5	0-3	—	-22	2	1
J. AlvaradoG · #5	22	5	2-5	1-4	—	0	4	3
T. KolekG · #13	3	4	2-3	0-1	—	+4	0	2
Team		94	35-86	10-37	14-21		44	23
DNP: T. Jemison III

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
D. WadeF · #32	25	11	4-9	3-5	—	+22	8	3
J. AllenC · #31	29	19	7-8	—	5-7	+11	10	1
E. MobleyC · #4	24	12	4-7	1-1	3-6	+5	7	1
J. HardenG · #1	32	20	8-18	4-7	—	+10	2	4
D. MitchellG · #45	31	23	5-18	2-8	11-14	+21	5	4
Bench
N. TomlinF · #35	3	0	0-1	—	—	-4	0	0
T. BryantC · #3	3	5	1-2	1-2	2-2	-4	0	0
D. SchroderG · #8	21	3	1-6	1-3	—	+7	2	5
S. MerrillG · #5	21	0	0-4	0-4	—	+13	1	1
D. BrownG · #30	3	0	0-1	—	—	-4	1	0
J. TysonG · #20	27	12	5-10	1-4	1-1	+13	8	2
C. Porter Jr.G · #9	3	0	—	—	—	-4	1	0
K. EllisG · #14	16	4	2-3	0-1	—	-7	0	1
T. ProctorG · #24	3	0	—	—	—	-4	0	1
Team		109	37-87	13-35	22-30		45	23
DNP: L. Nance Jr.

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

CLE

Home

35-86

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

37-87

FG %

10-37

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

13-35

14-21

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

22-30

Assists

Turnovers

Playoff series

NY wins series 4-0

May 20

CLE104@

NY115

May 22

CLE93@

NY109

May 24

NY121@

CLE108

May 26

NY130@

CLE93

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CLE -4.5

Half-pt below key 5

Total

231.5

Standard · +5.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NY+14241%

CLE-17063%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CLE -4.5↗SpreadBet CLE -4.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

4.5

0.0 since open

Total

231.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CLE beat NY 109-94. J. Allen led with 19 PTS, 10 REB, 1 AST. CLE outscored the other side 23-11 in the 3rd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

CLE vs NY

Starters vs bench

production by unit

NYstarters 71% of pts

Starters(5)

67 PTS · 19 REB · 15 AST

GS 40

Bench(9)

27 PTS · 25 REB · 8 AST

GS 27

CLEstarters 78% of pts

Starters(5)

85 PTS · 32 REB · 13 AST

GS 73

Bench(9)

24 PTS · 13 REB · 10 AST

GS 19

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

NY2nd Quarter · 8:03 · 35-41

+13pp→ 31% WP

Mitchell Robinson · blocks Jaylon Tyson 's 26-foot three point jumper

NY2nd Quarter · 3:00 · 49-50

+6pp→ 43% WP

Karl-Anthony Towns · makes 25-foot three pointer (OG Anunoby assists)

CLE3rd Quarter · 10:04 · 55-66

+9pp→ 86% WP

Mikal Bridges · misses 1-foot tip shot

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
NY	26	28	11	29	94
CLE	35	25	23	26	109

Period scoring

NY won 2 · CLE won 2

Hart 7

Robinson 10

Towns 8

Mitchell 6

Bridges 5

Harden 8

Brunson 6

Mobley 6

CLE

Shooting comparison

CLE

41%

35-86

43%

37-87

27%

10-37

3PT

37%

13-35

67%

14-21

73%

22-30

Play-by-play · 505 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 94·CLE 109
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 94·CLE 109
Q4·8.8
Tyler Kolek makes 1-foot layup (Dillon Jones assists)
·
NY 94·CLE 109
Q4·15.5
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
NY 92·CLE 109
Q4·18.6
Nae'Qwan Tomlin misses alley oop dunk
NY 92·CLE 109
Q4·27.5
Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
NY 92·CLE 109
Q4·31.1
Darius Brown misses 17-foot pullup jump shot
NY 92·CLE 109
Q4·45.0
Mohamed Diawara makes driving layup (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
NY 92·CLE 109
Q4·1:05
Thomas Bryant makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 90·CLE 109
Q4·1:05
Thomas Bryant makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 90·CLE 108
Q4·1:05
Dillon Jones shooting foul
NY 90·CLE 107
Q4·1:18
Darius Brown defensive rebound
NY 90·CLE 107
Q4·1:21
Tyler Kolek misses 32-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 90·CLE 107
Q4·1:30
Dillon Jones defensive rebound
NY 90·CLE 107
Q4·1:32
Thomas Bryant misses 25-foot three point jumper
NY 90·CLE 107
Q4·1:47
Mohamed Diawara makes 23-foot three point jumper (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
NY 90·CLE 107
Q4·2:10
Thomas Bryant makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tyrese Proctor assists)
·
NY 87·CLE 107
Q4·2:28
Tyler Kolek makes 12-foot pullup jump shot
NY 87·CLE 104
Q4·2:40
Darius Brown enters the game for Donovan Mitchell
·
NY 85·CLE 104
Q4·2:40
Craig Porter Jr. personal take foul
NY 85·CLE 104
Q4·2:42
Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 85·CLE 104
Q4·2:42
Dillon Jones enters the game for Mikal Bridges
·
NY 85·CLE 103
Q4·2:42
Mohamed Diawara enters the game for Mitchell Robinson
· ·
NY 85·CLE 103
Q4·2:42
Ariel Hukporti enters the game for Jalen Brunson
·
NY 85·CLE 103
Q4·2:42
Jeremy Sochan enters the game for OG Anunoby
·
NY 85·CLE 103
Q4·2:42
Tyler Kolek enters the game for Jose Alvarado
·
NY 85·CLE 103
Q4·2:42
Nae'Qwan Tomlin enters the game for Evan Mobley
·
NY 85·CLE 103
Q4·2:42
Tyrese Proctor enters the game for Jarrett Allen
·
NY 85·CLE 103
Q4·2:42
Thomas Bryant enters the game for Jaylon Tyson
·
NY 85·CLE 103
Q4·2:42
Craig Porter Jr. enters the game for James Harden
·
NY 85·CLE 103

Betting line

CLE -4.5·O/U 231.5·NY +142/CLE -170

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

leveland Cavaliers held off New York Knicks, 109–94.

CLE -4.5 cashed (won by 15). Total stayed UNDER 231.5 by 28.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Jarrett AllenCLE · C
CONT9.899
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
Donovan MitchellCLE · G
USG%31.998
Evan MobleyCLE · C
CONT9.498

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · NY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CLE vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

165

projections · 140 high confidence

Points

Donovan MitchellCLE
27.5± 7.3high
Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
James HardenCLE
19.6± 6.6high

Rebounds

Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Evan MobleyCLE
8.0± 3.5high
Jarrett AllenCLE
7.3± 2.3high

Assists

Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
James HardenCLE
5.9± 2.8high
Josh HartNY
4.6± 1.9high

Blocks

Evan MobleyCLE
2.1± 1.3high
Jarrett AllenCLE
1.3± 0.7high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Donovan MitchellCLE
1.5± 1.8high
Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

league avg

CLE

55.9%

Effective FG%

54.4

55.6%

48.0%

FG%

47.0

47.7%

116.4

PPG

114.9

117.4

27.0

Assists / G

25.0

27.1

12.7

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

13.8

Data via ESPN · hoopR