OKC
42-13
PHX
32-23
OKC · top performer
Jalen Williams
G · #8
28
Pts
4
Reb
5
Ast
PHX · top performer
Dillon Brooks
F · #3
23
Pts
5
Reb
4
Ast
Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 11:45
NBA · Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 18 | 8 | 3-3 | — | 2-2 | +20 | 4 | 6 | |
| 21 | 13 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | +19 | 4 | 2 | |
| 24 | 9 | 4-6 | 1-3 | — | +15 | 0 | 1 | |
| 20 | 28 | 11-12 | 2-2 | 4-5 | +19 | 4 | 5 | |
| 26 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-3 | — | +16 | 4 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 28 | 11 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | +13 | 6 | 5 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | +12 | 1 | 0 | |
| 23 | 15 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | +4 | 6 | 2 | |
| 18 | 21 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 3-4 | +6 | 1 | 1 | |
| 25 | 12 | 6-13 | 0-3 | — | +2 | 3 | 2 | |
| 22 | 12 | 5-8 | 2-3 | — | +9 | 4 | 1 | |
| Team | 136 | 52-89 | 15-36 | 17-19 | 37 | 28 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 24 | 12 | 4-11 | 4-11 | — | -24 | 2 | 2 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 4-5 | -27 | 5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 6 | 3-4 | — | — | -20 | 1 | 0 | |
| 28 | 12 | 5-10 | 2-5 | — | -32 | 4 | 4 | |
| 23 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-4 | — | -18 | 5 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 17 | 8 | 4-4 | — | — | -14 | 4 | 2 | |
| 23 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-4 | -1 | 4 | 1 | |
| 20 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-5 | — | +12 | 3 | 2 | |
| 12 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | — | +5 | 6 | 0 | |
| 20 | 9 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | -4 | 5 | 2 | |
| 27 | 11 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | -12 | 3 | 6 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Team | 109 | 43-92 | 15-42 | 8-13 | 43 | 26 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
58
FG %
47
28
Ast
26
Team stats
OKC
Away
Stat
PHX
Home
52-89
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
43-92
58
FG %
47
15-36
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
15-42
17-19
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
8-13
28
Assists
26
8
Turnovers
10
Playoff series
OKC wins series 4-0
PHX84@OKC119PHX107@OKC120OKC121@PHX109OKC131@PHX122Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
OKC -7.5
Half-pt above key 7
Total
211.5
Defensive · -14.5 vs avg
Moneyline
OKC-27874%PHX+22531%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
7.5
0.0 since open
Total
211.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
OKC beat PHX 136-109. Jal. Williams paced them with 28 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST. OKC outscored the other side 37-25 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
PHX vs OKC
Starters vs bench
production by unitOKCstarters 46% of ptsStarters(5)
62 PTS · 16 REB · 17 AST
GS 58
Bench(7)
74 PTS · 21 REB · 11 AST
GS 67
PHXstarters 54% of ptsStarters(5)
59 PTS · 17 REB · 13 AST
GS 43
Bench(7)
50 PTS · 26 REB · 13 AST
GS 46
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 37 | 38 | 37 | 24 | 136 |
| PHX | 25 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 109 |
Period scoring
OKC won 3 · PHX won 1
Q1
Dort 9
O'Neale 6
Q2
Joe 15
Brooks 10
Q3
Williams 18
Brooks 9
Q4
Williams 6
Wiggins 22
Shooting comparison
58%
52-89
FG
47%
43-92
42%
15-36
3PT
36%
15-42
89%
17-19
FT
62%
8-13
Play-by-play · 423 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
OKC 136·PHX 109
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
OKC 136·PHX 109
- Q4·20.7
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
OKC 136·PHX 109
- Q4·23.7
Rasheer Fleming blocks Buddy Boeheim 's 23-foot three point pullup jump shot
·
OKC 136·PHX 109
- Q4·28.0
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
· ·
OKC 136·PHX 109
- Q4·31.5
Jaylin Williams misses 26-foot three point jumper
· ·
OKC 136·PHX 109
- Q4·51.4
Amir Coffey makes 2-foot two point shot (Rasheer Fleming assists)
·
OKC 136·PHX 109
- Q4·1:03
Koby Brea defensive rebound
OKC 136·PHX 107
- Q4·1:06
Jared McCain misses 19-foot pullup jump shot
OKC 136·PHX 107
- Q4·1:21
Thunder defensive team rebound
OKC 136·PHX 107
- Q4·1:23
Jamaree Bouyea misses driving floating jump shot
OKC 136·PHX 107
- Q4·1:34
Kenrich Williams makes tip shot
· ·
OKC 136·PHX 107
- Q4·1:34
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
· ·
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·1:35
Aaron Wiggins misses dunk
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·1:38
Rasheer Fleming bad pass turnover (Aaron Wiggins steals)
·
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·1:42
Rasheer Fleming defensive rebound
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·1:44
Jared McCain misses driving layup
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·1:56
shot clock turnover
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·1:57
Suns offensive team rebound
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·1:57
Jaylin Williams blocks Jamaree Bouyea 's 9-foot driving floating jump shot
· ·
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·2:18
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·2:22
Buddy Boeheim misses 29-foot three point jumper
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·2:35
Thunder defensive team rebound
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·2:37
Khaman Maluach misses 26-foot three point jumper
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·2:50
Jared McCain makes driving layup
OKC 134·PHX 107
- Q4·2:58
Thunder offensive team rebound
OKC 132·PHX 107
- Q4·2:58
Khaman Maluach blocks Aaron Wiggins 's 4-foot driving layup
·
OKC 132·PHX 107
- Q4·3:09
Khaman Maluach makes two point shot
OKC 132·PHX 107
- Q4·3:10
Khaman Maluach offensive rebound
OKC 132·PHX 105
- Q4·3:12
Jamaree Bouyea misses two point shot
OKC 132·PHX 105
Betting line
OKC -7.5·O/U 211.5·OKC -278/PHX +225
Recap · NBA
klahoma City Thunder went into Phoenix Suns and beat them, 136–109. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
OKC -7.5 cashed (won by 27). Total cleared the 211.5 OVER by 33.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort
Cason WallaceOKC · GDEFL599+
Chet HolmgrenOKC · CCONT10.799+
Mark WilliamsPHX · CCONT8.496- Jalen WilliamsOKC · GDRIVES12.594
- Dillon BrooksPHX · FUSG%28.694
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · OKC favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
PHX vs OKC.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
145
projections · 130 high confidence
Points
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC27.7± 6.8high
- Devin BookerPHX24.6± 6.2high
- Jalen GreenPHX21.0± 10.3high
Rebounds
- Isaiah HartensteinOKC8.6± 3.9high
- Chet HolmgrenOKC8.0± 3.0high
- Miles BridgesPHX5.8± 3.6high
Assists
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC7.6± 3.1high
- Devin BookerPHX5.8± 2.3high
- Jalen WilliamsOKC4.8± 2.9high
Blocks
- Chet HolmgrenOKC1.4± 0.9high
- Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC0.8± 0.8high
- Oso IghodaroPHX0.8± 0.7high
Steals
- Cason WallaceOKC2.0± 1.0high
- Jordan GoodwinPHX1.8± 2.1high
- Alex CarusoOKC1.5± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
OKC
league avg
PHX
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.7%
48.2%
FG%
47.0
45.5%
118.5
PPG
114.9
112.2
25.8
Assists / G
25.0
24.5
11.9
Turnovers / G
14.0
13.6