NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+5IND

IND

15-40

115110

BKN

15-38

NBAWed, Feb 11FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasBKN -6.5

IND · top performer

Micah Potter

C · #11

22.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

BKN · top performer

Day'Ron Sharpe

C · #20

25.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowIND ↔ BKN

Biggest swing: 44pp · 4th Quarter · 6:26

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. WalkerF · #5	32	23	9-18	2-6	3-5	-8	5	3
J. HuffC · #32	31	11	5-9	0-3	1-1	0	4	1
K. BrownG · #24	28	4	2-5	0-1	—	+11	7	3
B. SheppardG · #26	19	9	3-6	3-5	—	-12	1	4
K. JonesG · #7	31	11	5-12	1-6	—	-7	2	6
Bench
M. PotterC · #11	27	19	6-8	1-2	6-8	0	12	1
E. ThompsonG · #55	27	15	6-13	3-6	—	+12	5	3
Q. JacksonG · #29	19	9	4-10	1-3	—	+7	2	5
T. PeterG · #4	27	14	5-11	4-10	—	+22	4	3
Team		115	45-92	15-42	10-14		42	29
DNP: P. Siakam, T.J. McConnell, A. Nembhard, A. Nesmith

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
Z. WilliamsF · #1	28	19	7-13	5-7	—	+13	5	1
D. SharpeC · #20	31	19	8-11	—	3-4	+12	12	5
T. MannG · #14	25	4	2-7	0-2	—	+13	2	1
E. DeminG · #8	32	13	3-8	3-7	4-4	+12	5	5
N. TraoreG · #88	32	20	8-13	2-3	2-4	+12	2	8
Bench
J. WilsonF · #22	16	3	1-7	1-3	—	-17	2	0
D. WolfF · #2	23	14	4-13	2-7	4-4	-18	8	0
O. AgbajiG · #30	16	0	0-3	—	—	-17	6	2
D. PowellG · #4	20	6	1-4	1-3	3-4	-18	1	1
B. SarafG · #77	17	12	4-6	0-1	4-6	-17	4	2
Team		110	38-85	14-33	20-26		47	25
DNP: J. Minott, N. Clowney

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

IND

Away

Stat

BKN

Home

45-92

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

38-85

FG %

15-42

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

14-33

10-14

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

20-26

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 6

BKN112@

IND103

Feb 12

IND115@

BKN110today

Apr 9

IND123@

BKN94

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BKN -6.5

Half-pt below key 7

Total

215.5

Defensive · -10.5 vs avg

Moneyline

IND+18535%

BKN-22569%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BKN -6.5↗SpreadBet BKN -6.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

6.5

0.0 since open

Total

215.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

IND beat BKN 115-110. M. Potter led with 19 PTS, 12 REB, 1 AST. BKN outscored the other side 31-18 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

BKN vs IND

Starters vs bench

production by unit

INDstarters 50% of pts

Starters(5)

58 PTS · 19 REB · 17 AST

GS 48

Bench(4)

57 PTS · 23 REB · 12 AST

GS 53

BKNstarters 68% of pts

Starters(5)

75 PTS · 26 REB · 20 AST

GS 68

Bench(5)

35 PTS · 21 REB · 5 AST

GS 21

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

IND4th Quarter · 6:26 · 103-99

+44pp→ 69% WP

Jarace Walker · makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot

BKN4th Quarter · 2:04 · 106-108

+17pp→ 64% WP

Egor Demin · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Nolan Traore assists)

IND4th Quarter · 16.8 · 113-110

+27pp→ 81% WP

Kam Jones · makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot (Kobe Brown assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
IND	18	35	31	31	115
BKN	31	33	26	20	110

Period scoring

IND won 3 · BKN won 1

Potter 5

Traore 7

Thompson 8

Wolf 8

Walker 6

Williams 14

Potter 10

Walker 9

IND

BKN

Shooting comparison

IND

BKN

49%

45-92

45%

38-85

36%

15-42

3PT

42%

14-33

71%

10-14

77%

20-26

Play-by-play · 466 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
IND 115·BKN 110
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
IND 115·BKN 110
Q4·0.1
Nets offensive team rebound
IND 115·BKN 110
Q4·0.3
Nolan Traore misses heave jump shot
IND 115·BKN 110
−0.5pp
Q4·1.6
Micah Potter makes free throw 2 of 2
IND 115·BKN 110
Q4·1.6
Micah Potter makes free throw 1 of 2
IND 114·BKN 110
Q4·1.6
Terance Mann personal foul
IND 113·BKN 110
−0.8pp
Q4·1.6
Micah Potter defensive rebound
IND 113·BKN 110
−3pp
Q4·4.1
Egor Demin misses 25-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
IND 113·BKN 110
−8pp
Q4·7.3
Nets Full timeout
IND 113·BKN 110
Q4·7.3
Nets offensive team rebound
IND 113·BKN 110
+4pp
Q4·8.1
Jay Huff blocks Nolan Traore 's 1-foot driving layupBIG MOMENT
·
IND 113·BKN 110
−11pp
Q4·16.8
Kam Jones makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot (Kobe Brown assists)BIG MOMENT
·
IND 113·BKN 110
−27pp
Q4·38.3
Day'Ron Sharpe makes running layupBIG MOMENT
IND 110·BKN 110
+11pp
Q4·40.2
Kam Jones lost ball turnover (Day'Ron Sharpe steals)BIG MOMENT
·
IND 110·BKN 108
+11pp
Q4·49.7
Micah Potter defensive rebound
IND 110·BKN 108
−3pp
Q4·52.6
Egor Demin misses 26-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
IND 110·BKN 108
−10pp
Q4·1:05
Kam Jones out of bounds bad pass turnoverBIG MOMENT
IND 110·BKN 108
+11pp
Q4·1:18
Nolan Traore bad pass turnover (Jay Huff steals)BIG MOMENT
·
IND 110·BKN 108
−11pp
Q4·1:34
Micah Potter makes free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
IND 110·BKN 108
+8pp
Q4·1:34
Micah Potter makes free throw 1 of 2
IND 109·BKN 108
−2pp
Q4·1:34
Nolan Traore personal foulBIG MOMENT
IND 108·BKN 108
−15pp
Q4·1:38
Jay Huff offensive reboundBIG MOMENT
IND 108·BKN 108
−7pp
Q4·1:41
Taelon Peter misses 23-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
IND 108·BKN 108
+7pp
Q4·1:50
Terance Mann out of bounds bad pass turnoverBIG MOMENT
IND 108·BKN 108
−9pp
Q4·1:51
Micah Potter makes 3-foot layup (Taelon Peter assists)BIG MOMENT
·
IND 108·BKN 108
−8pp
Q4·2:04
Egor Demin makes 23-foot three point jumper (Nolan Traore assists)BIG MOMENT
·
IND 106·BKN 108
+17pp
Q4·2:17
Micah Potter makes free throw 2 of 2
IND 106·BKN 105
Q4·2:17
Pacers offensive team reboundBIG MOMENT
IND 105·BKN 105
+7pp
Q4·2:17
Micah Potter misses free throw 1 of 2BIG MOMENT
IND 105·BKN 105
+6pp

Betting line

BKN -6.5·O/U 215.5·IND +185/BKN -225

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ndiana Pacers went into Brooklyn Nets and beat them, 115–110. Decided by 5.

IND +6.5 cashed (BKN lost outright). Total cleared the 215.5 OVER by 9.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Jay HuffIND · C
CONT8.796
Micah PotterIND · C
TS%67.996
Ziaire WilliamsBKN · F
DEFL3.295
Day'Ron SharpeBKN · C
TS%63.890
Nolan TraoreBKN · G
DRIVES9.886

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · IND favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

BKN vs IND.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

160

projections · 145 high confidence

Points

Pascal SiakamIND
23.8± 7.9high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
Julius RandleBKN
17.3± 6.4high

Rebounds

Ivica ZubacIND
9.5± 4.1high
Julius RandleBKN
7.2± 2.1high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
6.9± 5.2high

Assists

Andrew NembhardIND
8.5± 4.7high
Tyrese HaliburtonIND
8.1± 4.3high
T.J. McConnellIND
6.2± 3.1high

Blocks

Jay HuffIND
1.9± 1.9high
Jalen SlawsonIND
1.0± 1.4medium
Josh MinottBKN
0.9± 1.2high

Steals

Tyrese HaliburtonIND
1.6± 1.3high
Jalen SlawsonIND
1.5± 1.7medium
Josh MinottBKN
1.3± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

IND

league avg

BKN

53.3%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.0%

45.8%

FG%

◀

47.0

44.3%

112.4

PPG

◀

114.9

105.9

27.7

Assists / G

◀

25.0

13.8

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

15.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR