Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 11, 2026

FINAL+4LAA

LAA

9-12

CHW

11-9

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

4,664 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium
Davis MartinCHW
5.7± 3.0medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.1± 0.6high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Miguel VargasCHW
2.0± 2.6high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.0± 2.1medium

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.9low
Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Miguel VargasCHW
0.7± 1.6high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.2± 3.6low
Jose SorianoLAA
2.7± 2.2medium
Reid DetmersLAA
2.5± 2.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

CHW

.716

OPS

.718

▶

.738

.318

OBP

.319

▶

.322

4.54

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.78

4.59

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.25

1.40

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.33

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.4

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

LAA 8 · CHW 4 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	0	0	1	0	3	2	1	1	8
CHW	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. Grissom2B	.185	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. Moore2B	.189	5	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Schanuel1B	.190	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
J. AdellRF	.323	3	2	2	2	1	0	1
L. O'HoppeC	.276	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. Peraza2B	.344	4	1	2	1	0	0	1
J. Candelario3B	.267	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. TaylorCF	.241	3	1	2	1	1	0	0
B. TeodosioLF	.345	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
K. Paris2B	.333	3	2	2	1	0	1	0
T. Mancini1B	.111	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. MecklerLF	.231	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. MartinezC	.125	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. Walton3B	.350	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. CamperoC	.333	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. SiriCF	.154	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		40	8	11	6	2	1	9

Player

.185

.189

.190

.323

.276

.344

.267

.241

.345

.333

.111

.231

.125

.350

.333

.154

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. ManoahSP	4.0	8	4	4	2	4	81
K. OrtRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	14
T. BremnerSP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	22
S. BachmanRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	27
S. AndersonRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12
Team	9.0	11	4	4	4	10	156

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

2.0

1.0

Team

9.0

156

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. BenintendiDH	.300	4	0	0	0	0	1	2
C. Meidroth2B	.214	3	1	0	0	0	1	0
C. MontgomerySS	.226	4	2	2	1	1	0	1
A. HaysLF	.364	4	1	3	3	1	0	0
E. PereiraRF	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
L. Wade Jr.1B	.250	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
T. PetersCF	.200	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
K. LeeC	.333	2	0	2	0	0	1	0
O. Dunn3B	.273	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. SprinkleSS	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Gonzalez1B	.286	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Da. Baker2B	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. ConnorOF	.364	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. HarrisLF	.538	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. Matthews2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. RomoC	.385	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. MontgomeryRF	.381	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	4	11	4	2	4	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. KaySP	4.0	3	1	1	0	4	49
J. HicksRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12
A. AlbertoRP	0.2	2	3	3	1	2	26
J. PalischRP	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	8
T. GilbertRP	1.0	3	2	2	0	0	12
A. VothRP	2.0	2	2	1	0	2	37
Team	9.0	11	8	7	1	9	144

Team

LAA

CHW

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs LAA.