Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 8, 2026

FINAL+2PIT

BOS

7-8

PIT

11-5

LECOM Park · Bradenton, Florida

6,684 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.2%

ensemble · BOS favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PIT vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 87 high confidence

Strikeouts

Paul SkenesPIT
7.2± 2.7medium
Braxton AshcraftPIT
6.9± 2.8medium
Ranger SuarezBOS
6.1± 2.9medium

Hits

Anthony SeiglerBOS
1.2± 1.1low
Ryan O'HearnPIT
1.2± 1.4high
Caleb DurbinBOS
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Esmerlyn ValdezPIT
2.5± 3.1medium
Ryan O'HearnPIT
2.0± 3.2high
Caleb DurbinBOS
1.9± 1.6high

RBIs

Ryan O'HearnPIT
0.9± 1.4high
Willson ContrerasBOS
0.8± 1.1high
Brandon LowePIT
0.8± 1.3high

Earned runs

Mitch KellerPIT
3.5± 2.5medium
Jared JonesPIT
2.7± 2.8low
Connelly EarlyBOS
2.4± 2.3medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

BOS

league avg

PIT

.694

OPS

.719

▶

.754

.310

OBP

.319

▶

.336

3.99

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.12

3.74

Team ERA

◀

4.18

4.22

1.25

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.30

8.7

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

PIT wins

BOS 7 · PIT 9 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
BOS	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	2	0	7
PIT	0	2	1	1	0	4	0	1	9

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WardCF	.440	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
I. Kiner-Falefa2B	.400	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
A. MonasterioSS	.400	2	0	2	1	0	0	0
C. WongC	.105	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. ThaissC	.222	4	0	1	1	0	1	2
M. RomeroSS	.286	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
V. Capra3B	.059	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
A. CastroCF	.261	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. McDonoughOF	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. HickeyC	.143	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
M. GasperC	.421	2	2	2	2	1	0	0
M. Ferguson2B	.263	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
A. Liendo2B	.333	2	0	1	2	0	0	0
Y. RodriguezCF	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. TaylorOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
I. JacksonOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. AlcantaraSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		39	7	13	7	1	1	9

Player

.440

.400

.400

.105

.222

.286

.059

.261

.200

.143

.421

.263

.333

.200

.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BennettSP	1.2	2	2	2	0	2	41
K. KellerRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	25
T. UberstineRP	2.1	1	1	1	0	4	27
D. SweetRP	0.1	5	4	4	2	0	21
N. SongSP	1.2	0	0	0	1	3	31
J. WebbRP	0.1	1	1	1	2	1	28
M. CarlsonRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	10
Team	8.0	12	9	9	6	10	183

Player

1.2

1.0

2.1

0.1

1.2

0.1

0.2

Team

8.0

183

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. MangumLF	.348	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Lowe2B	.214	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
B. ReynoldsLF	.294	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. O'HearnRF	.438	2	0	0	1	0	0	2
M. OzunaDH	.313	4	2	2	0	0	0	0
J. BartC	.056	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. TrioloSS	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
N. Yorke3B	.304	3	2	2	3	1	0	0
B. CookRF	.333	3	1	3	3	1	0	0
E. ValdezRF	.294	0	1	0	0	0	2	0
T. Johnson2B	.389	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
N. Cimillo1B	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. DumitruOF	.667	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
R. Flores Jr.C	.154	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
E. RodriguezC	.235	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
M. JebbLF	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. WilliamsSS	.294	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. De Los SantosSS	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	9	12	9	2	6	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. MlodzinskiSP	3.0	5	2	1	0	4	58
E. SiskRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	22
C. DevenskiRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	8
M. ClevingerRP	3.0	5	4	4	1	2	55
C. SandersRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13
Team	9.0	13	7	6	1	9	156

Team

BOS

PIT

—

3 sub-models, blended.

PIT vs BOS.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

PIT vs BOS.