Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 7, 2026

FINAL+4CHW

CHW

9-7

SEA

4-10-1

Peoria Stadium · Peoria, Arizona

8,390 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.2%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SEA vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 86 high confidence

Strikeouts

Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium
Bryan WooSEA
6.2± 3.1medium

Hits

Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
Miguel VargasCHW
1.1± 0.9high
Julio RodriguezSEA
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Miguel VargasCHW
2.2± 2.5high
Cole YoungSEA
1.8± 2.8high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.7± 1.6high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.7low
Jacob GonzalezCHW
0.8± 1.7high
Miguel VargasCHW
0.7± 1.6high

Earned runs

Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium
Sean BurkeCHW
2.5± 1.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

SEA

.742

OPS

◀

.719

.697

.324

OBP

◀

.319

.313

4.87

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.09

4.21

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.69

1.32

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

8.5

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

CHW 5 · SEA 1 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	5
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Meidroth2B	.227	2	0	1	0	0	2	0
L. AcunaCF	.357	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. BenintendiDH	.385	4	0	2	2	0	0	2
M. Vargas3B	.360	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. QueroC	.385	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. MurrayLF	.211	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. PetersCF	.231	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
D. HillRF	.261	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
B. MontgomeryRF	.412	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
M. Camilletti2B	.231	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
D. HarrisLF	.600	2	0	2	2	0	0	0
A. Weber2B	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Da. Baker2B	.600	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BreauxC	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. Bergolla Jr.2B	.412	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. TurnerC	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. BrownOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. ConnorOF	.400	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
Dru BakerCF	.316	1	2	1	0	0	0	0
Team		36	5	10	4	0	3	8

Player

.227

.357

.385

.360

.385

.211

.231

.261

.412

.231

.600

.333

.600

.143

.412

.167

.000

.400

.316

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. TaylorRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	13
D. MartinSP	3.0	1	0	0	1	4	50
R. BoruckiRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16
A. AlbertoRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	10
L. SimsRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	20
T. MillerRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	16
T. SchweitzerRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	27
Team	9.0	7	1	1	3	9	152

Player

1.0

3.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

152

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Donovan3B	.467	3	0	2	0	0	0	1
R. RefsnyderDH	.211	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. RaleyRF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
R. Bliss2B	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J.P. CrawfordSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. GarverC	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. JoeRF	.238	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. EmersonSS	.217	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
R. ThomasLF	.389	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
Wi. Wilson3B	.353	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
L. MontesRF	.059	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. SundstromOF	.333	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. Rodden2B	.389	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
N. RaposoC	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. O'KeefeC	.167	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. PackardOF	.364	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. Lopez2B	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. RambuschOF	.067	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	1	7	1	0	3	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. GilbertSP	4.0	2	0	0	2	2	54
C. VargasRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	16
J. FerrerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	16
M. RuckerRP	1.0	3	2	2	1	2	20
R. DobnakRP	1.1	2	2	2	0	1	27
R. LoutosRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team	9.0	10	5	5	3	8	134

Team

CHW

SEA

3 sub-models, blended.

SEA vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SEA vs CHW.