Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 6, 2026

FINAL+3SF

CIN

6-5

10-2

Scottsdale Stadium · Scottsdale, Arizona

9,091 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.2%

ensemble · CIN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SF vs CIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 83 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chase BurnsCIN
7.2± 2.5medium
Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Logan WebbSF
5.5± 1.5low

Hits

Luis ArraezSF
1.4± 0.8high
Casey SchmittSF
1.2± 1.1high
Heliot RamosSF
1.1± 0.8high

Total bases

Heliot RamosSF
2.0± 1.9high
Luis ArraezSF
2.0± 1.5high
Rafael DeversSF
2.0± 2.7high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
0.9± 1.9high
Rafael DeversSF
0.7± 1.2high
Eugenio SuarezCIN
0.5± 1.0high

Earned runs

Tyler MahleSF
3.4± 3.7low
Nick LodoloCIN
2.9± 3.0low
Brady SingerCIN
2.8± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CIN

league avg

.698

OPS

.719

▶

.724

.309

OBP

.319

.307

4.23

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.04

4.62

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.37

1.46

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.37

8.2

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SF wins

CIN 3 · SF 6 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	3
SF	1	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	6

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. BensonRF	.235	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
T. StephensonC	.222	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
J. BledayLF	.353	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
S. Stewart1B	.375	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
N. LoweDH	.235	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. MyersCF	.462	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
N. MarteRF	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
K. Hayes3B	.308	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
G. Hampson2B	.067	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
B. DunnCF	.176	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Y. ConfidanLF	1.000	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
R. HindsRF	.429	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
F. Urbaez2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. PitelliSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
P.J. HigginsC	.200	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
M. TrautweinC	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. JorgeCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Sanchez3B	1.000	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
S. HallSS	.500	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team		36	3	9	3	0	6	12

Player

.235

.222

.353

.375

.235

.462

.250

.308

.067

.176

1.000

.429

.000

.000

.200

.167

.000

1.000

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. AbbottSP	2.2	5	4	4	1	5	63
C. CannonRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. AntoneRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	19
S. MollRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17
Y. MarteRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	15
L. RichardsonRP	1.2	2	1	1	2	2	42
H. ParksSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	5
Team	8.0	10	6	6	4	11	163

Player

2.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.2

0.1

Team

8.0

163

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. OlivaCF	.400	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
D. SusacC	.400	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
W. AdamesSS	.100	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
V. BericotoRF	.500	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
M. Chapman3B	.467	2	1	1	2	1	0	0
B. EldridgeDH	.273	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
L. MatosRF	.450	3	1	2	2	1	0	0
J. Holton1B	.368	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Koss2B	.353	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
G. McCrayCF	.333	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
E. HaaseC	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
O. BasabeSS	.500	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
B. DavidsonLF	.300	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. Kennedy1B	.214	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
P. Harber3B	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Fitzgerald2B	.150	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. EncarnacionRF	.174	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Furman2B	.231	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		32	6	10	6	2	4	11

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. MahleSP	2.0	0	0	0	3	4	40
T. McDonaldSP	3.0	2	0	0	1	2	42
C. KilianRP	1.1	3	1	1	1	3	34
W. RamosRP	1.2	4	2	2	0	1	30
J. SanchezSP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	15
Team	9.0	9	3	3	6	12	161

Team

CIN

—

3 sub-models, blended.

SF vs CIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

3 sub-models, blended.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs CIN.