Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 3, 2026

FINAL+1LAA

LAA

5-7

SEA

3-7-1

Peoria Stadium · Peoria, Arizona

4,870 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.2%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SEA vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium

Hits

Julio RodriguezSEA
1.2± 0.9high
Donovan WaltonLAA
1.1± 0.9high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.1± 0.6high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.1± 1.8high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
1.9± 2.2medium
Zach NetoLAA
1.8± 2.0high

RBIs

Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.8± 1.2medium
Donovan WaltonLAA
0.7± 1.0high
Jorge SolerLAA
0.6± 0.8high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
2.9± 3.4low
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium
Jose SorianoLAA
2.6± 2.1medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

SEA

.714

OPS

◀

.719

.697

.318

OBP

◀

.319

.313

4.49

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.09

4.63

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.69

1.41

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

9.0

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

LAA 7 · SEA 6 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	3	7
SEA	0	2	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	6

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. TaylorCF	.154	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
N. Madrigal3B	.500	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
L. O'HoppeC	.313	4	0	1	1	0	0	2
C. Moore2B	.294	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. SiriCF	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
O. MartinezC	.200	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
K. Paris2B	.286	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
J. Candelario3B	.267	2	2	2	2	1	1	0
B. TeodosioLF	.286	3	1	1	0	0	0	2
N. RadaCF	.273	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
Y. Sanchez3B	.444	2	1	1	2	0	0	1
S. RiveroC	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Walton3B	.273	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
W. MecklerLF	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. AlvarezOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
D. Guzman3B	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Kavadas1B	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. RodriguezCF	.385	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team		36	7	10	7	1	5	13

Player

.154

.500

.313

.294

.111

.200

.286

.267

.286

.273

.444

.200

.273

.143

.000

.250

.222

.385

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. KlassenSP	3.0	3	2	2	1	4	51
B. SuterRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	18
R. ZeferjahnRP	1.0	1	2	2	2	1	29
T. SaucedoRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	17
H. YnoaSP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13
S. AndersonRP	2.0	2	0	0	1	2	27
Team	9.0	10	6	6	5	9	155

Player

3.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

2.0

Team

9.0

155

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Donovan3B	.500	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
R. RefsnyderDH	.231	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. RaleyRF	.417	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
M. GarverC	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
J.P. CrawfordSS	.000	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
P. Wisdom3B	.231	3	1	2	3	1	0	1
R. Bliss2B	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. EmersonSS	.222	3	0	0	1	0	0	1
R. ThomasLF	.417	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
Wi. Wilson3B	.400	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. DavisCF	.571	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
S. PackardOF	.571	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. SundstromOF	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. O'KeefeC	.000	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
J. ReetzC	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. Taylor1B	.222	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. Young2B	.083	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. Rodden2B	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. FarmeloOF	.214	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		36	6	10	6	2	5	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WooSP	2.1	2	2	2	1	4	48
M. RuckerRP	0.2	2	0	0	0	1	13
C. LeguminaRP	0.2	2	2	2	1	1	23
P. Alford1B	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	3
C. WilcoxRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	9
R. OrtizSP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	13
D. GonzalezSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	10
M. MoralesSP	1.0	1	2	2	2	1	29
R. EasterlyRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	13
Team	9.0	10	7	7	5	12	161

Team

LAA

SEA

3 sub-models, blended.

SEA vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SEA vs LAA.