Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 23, 2026

FINAL+3MIN

MIN

2-1

DET

0-2-1

Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium · Lakeland, Florida

4,889 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

DET vs MIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Joe RyanMIN
6.7± 3.0medium
Tarik SkubalDET
6.6± 2.9low
Taj BradleyMIN
5.8± 2.1medium

Hits

Trevor LarnachMIN
1.3± 1.1high
Brooks LeeMIN
1.2± 1.3high
Kevin McGonigleDET
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Dillon DinglerDET
2.0± 2.2high
Brooks LeeMIN
2.0± 2.3high
Byron BuxtonMIN
2.0± 1.8high

RBIs

Dillon DinglerDET
0.8± 0.8high
Ryan KreidlerMIN
0.8± 1.4high
Byron BuxtonMIN
0.7± 1.3high

Earned runs

Connor PrielippMIN
2.9± 2.3low
Taj BradleyMIN
2.9± 1.9medium
Zebby MatthewsMIN
2.9± 3.3low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

MIN

league avg

DET

.734

OPS

◀

.718

.709

.321

OBP

◀

.319

.315

4.85

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.13

4.85

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.78

1.40

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.24

8.3

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.4

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIN wins

MIN 3 · DET 0 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	3
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. MartinRF	.400	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
L. Keaschall2B	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. LeeSS	.200	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. JeffersC	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. WallnerRF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
G. Urshela3B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. RodriguezCF	.750	2	1	1	1	1	0	1
A. Sabato1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. GraySS	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. FedkoLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. CardenasC	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
T. Schobel2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Rucker2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. RosarioRF	.333	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. Salas2B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. JacksonC	.500	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
K. CulpepperSS	.250	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
H. MendezOF	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		34	3	7	3	2	1	13

Player

.400

.200

.200

.000

.000

.000

.750

.000

.250

.000

.000

.000

.000

.333

.500

.500

.250

.250

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AbelSP	3.0	2	0	0	0	5	--
C. PrielippSP	1.2	1	0	0	3	2	--
N. TrabacchiP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
T. AdamsRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
C. LawerysonRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
M. RayaSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
L. QuinonesSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
Team	9.0	3	0	0	3	9	0

Player

3.0

1.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. VierlingCF	.500	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
K. CarpenterRF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. Torres2B	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. GreeneLF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BaezSS	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. Keith3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. Torkelson1B	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. CruzCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. RogersC	.200	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
S. StephensonCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. MalgeriCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. PenneySS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. SlaterRF	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. GrahamSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. Workman3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. ValenciaC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. CamposOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. LiranzoC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		30	0	3	0	0	3	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. SkubalSP	2.0	2	0	0	0	4	--
D. AndersonRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	--
B. HurterRP	2.0	1	1	1	0	1	--
B. BrieskeRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	--
B. HanifeeRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	--
E. SloanP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
Team	9.0	7	3	3	1	13	0

Team

MIN

DET

3 sub-models, blended.

DET vs MIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

DET vs MIN.