Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 22, 2026

FINAL+3CHW

MIL

0-2

CHW

3-0

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

3,476 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs MIL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium
Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium

Hits

Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Miguel VargasCHW
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Miguel VargasCHW
2.2± 2.5high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high
William ContrerasMIL
1.9± 2.8high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.7low
Jacob GonzalezCHW
0.8± 1.7high
Miguel VargasCHW
0.7± 1.6high

Earned runs

Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium
Sean BurkeCHW
2.5± 1.9medium
Erick FeddeCHW
2.3± 2.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

MIL

league avg

CHW

.732

OPS

.718

▶

.744

.337

OBP

◀

.319

.325

5.10

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.86

3.41

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.22

1.18

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.32

9.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

MIL 2 · CHW 5 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
CHW	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. OrtizSS	.000	1	1	0	0	0	2	0
A. Vaughn1B	.667	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
A. BaddooLF	.500	2	1	1	1	1	1	0
T. BlackDH	.400	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. QueroC	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. MadeSS	.000	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
C. PrattSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
Jon Adams3B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
L. LaraCF	.167	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. Boeve2B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. Bitonti3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Fischer3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Adamczewski2B	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. EbelSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. DickinsonSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. WoodC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Jor. AdamsCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. CastilloRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		32	2	7	2	1	4	10

Player

.000

.667

.500

.400

.000

.000

.000

.500

.167

.000

.000

.000

.500

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. HendersonSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
C. RodriguezRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	--
P. StrzeleckiRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
K. BowmanRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
K. HuntRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
B. MeccageSP	0.2	3	3	3	1	0	--
P. AquinoSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
R. BirchardSP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
S. GarciaSP	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	--
Team	8.0	7	5	5	3	8	0

Player

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. HillRF	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
K. TeelC	.000	2	1	0	0	0	2	1
M. Murakami1B	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. HaysLF	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
L. Sosa2B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Mead3B	.167	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
B. MontgomeryRF	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
K. LeeC	.500	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. MurrayLF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Galanie1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. BurrowesSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. PetersCF	.400	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
Dru BakerCF	.600	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
S. AntonacciLF	.500	1	1	1	1	0	1	0
O. Dunn3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. RomoC	.333	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
J. Gonzalez1B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. WolkowOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		31	5	7	5	1	3	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. VasilRP	1.1	3	1	1	2	1	--
L. BellRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	--
J. LeasureRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	--
S. BurkeSP	2.0	1	0	0	1	1	--
R. BoruckiRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
T. GilbertRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	--
T. McDougalSP	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
Team	9.0	7	2	2	4	10	0

Team

MIL

CHW

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs MIL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs MIL.