Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 22, 2026

FINAL+7MIN

MIN

1-1

ATL

1-1

CoolToday Park · North Port, Florida

5,396 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATL vs MIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

124

projections · 87 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chris SaleATL
7.7± 1.9medium
Joe RyanMIN
6.7± 3.0medium
Taj BradleyMIN
5.8± 2.1medium

Hits

Trevor LarnachMIN
1.3± 1.1high
Mauricio DubonATL
1.2± 0.8high
Brooks LeeMIN
1.2± 1.3high

Total bases

Mauricio DubonATL
2.0± 1.6high
Brooks LeeMIN
2.0± 2.3high
Byron BuxtonMIN
2.0± 1.8high

RBIs

Ryan KreidlerMIN
0.8± 1.4high
Rowdy TellezATL
0.7± 1.4low
Byron BuxtonMIN
0.7± 1.3high

Earned runs

Bryce ElderATL
3.1± 2.8medium
Connor PrielippMIN
2.9± 2.3low
Taj BradleyMIN
2.9± 1.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

MIN

league avg

ATL

.734

OPS

◀

.718

.321

OBP

◀

.319

.310

4.85

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.70

4.85

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.40

1.40

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.21

8.3

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.7

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIN wins

MIN 8 · ATL 1 (by 7)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	3	0	8
ATL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BuxtonCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. BellDH	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
V. CaratiniC	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. LarnachLF	.500	2	1	1	0	0	1	1
O. ArciaSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. Clemens1B	.000	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
J. OutmanCF	.000	1	1	0	1	0	2	1
A. RodenLF	.667	3	1	2	4	1	0	0
E. Wagaman1B	.200	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
R. OlivarC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. Rucker2B	.000	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
D. BanuelosC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. JenkinsCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. KreidlerCF	.000	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
E. RodriguezCF	1.000	2	1	2	2	1	0	0
G. GonzalezRF	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
B. RossSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Salas2B	1.000	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team		34	8	9	8	2	8	9

Player

.000

.000

.333

.500

.000

.000

.000

.667

.200

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

1.000

.500

.000

1.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. BradleySP	3.0	5	1	1	0	5	--
K. RojasRP	2.0	0	0	0	0	3	--
K. FunderburkRP	1.0	3	0	0	0	1	--
E. OrzeRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
M. BowmanRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
L. WhitakerRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	--
Team	9.0	9	1	1	2	12	0

Player

3.0

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. Acuna Jr.RF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
D. BaldwinC	1.000	2	1	2	1	1	0	0
M. Olson1B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. ProfarLF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. Riley3B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
O. Albies2B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Harris IICF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. SchunkSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. DubonSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Keirsey Jr.CF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. LeonC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. EnglishOF	.200	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. HicklenCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Alvarez Jr.SS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. WaddellSS	.667	2	0	2	0	0	0	0
J. AzocarRF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Gil3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. LodiseSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		34	1	9	1	1	2	12

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. SaleSP	2.0	2	0	0	0	3	--
J. RitchieSP	2.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
T. ScottRP	1.0	2	0	0	1	0	--
J. GuerraRP	0.2	1	5	5	4	0	--
F. McdonoughRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
A. MolinaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
A. PilarRP	0.2	2	3	3	1	1	--
A. MaierP	0.1	1	0	0	1	0	--
T. LaPorteRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
Team	9.0	9	8	8	8	9	0

Team

MIN

ATL

3 sub-models, blended.

ATL vs MIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATL vs MIN.