Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — May 5, 2026

FINAL+1LAA

CHW

17-19

LAA

14-23

Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California

26,892 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

LAA spread

+1.5

open +1.5

Total

O/U 9.0

open O/U 9.0

LAA no-vig %

52.6%

open 51.1% · +1.5

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = LAA favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.5%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
50.4%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
50.3%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
51.8%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.69 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

95% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 75 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Davis MartinCHW
6.0± 2.8medium
Sean BurkeCHW
5.8± 1.8medium

Hits

Denzer GuzmanLAA
1.2± 0.9low
Donovan WaltonLAA
1.2± 1.2high
Jo AdellLAA
1.2± 1.4high

Total bases

Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.2± 2.1low
Donovan WaltonLAA
2.2± 2.0high
Zach NetoLAA
2.2± 2.5high

RBIs

Denzer GuzmanLAA
1.0± 1.7low
Donovan WaltonLAA
0.8± 1.1high
Colson MontgomeryCHW
0.7± 1.3high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.8± 3.2low
Jose SorianoLAA
2.6± 2.1medium
Reid DetmersLAA
2.5± 2.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

LAA

.729

OPS

◀

.719

.721

.319

OBP

.319

.320

4.64

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.57

4.41

Team ERA

◀

4.19

4.65

1.34

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.43

8.3

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

CHW 3 · LAA 4 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked LAA +0pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3
LAA	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Meidroth2B	.269	5	2	2	1	1	0	2
M. Vargas3B	.222	3	1	0	0	0	2	0
C. MontgomerySS	.227	4	0	1	0	0	1	1
R. GrichukDH	.333	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
E. QueroC	.154	4	0	0	1	0	0	2
A. BenintendiDH	.239	4	0	2	0	0	0	1
D. HillRF	.238	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. AcunaCF	.165	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. AntonacciLF	.276	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. KelenicRF	.308	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
T. PetersCF	.269	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Murakami1B	.244	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team		35	3	8	3	1	4	9

Player

.269

.222

.227

.333

.154

.239

.238

.165

.276

.308

.269

.244

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. FeddeSP	4.2	6	4	4	2	2	75
T. DavisRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	14
J. LeasureRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	20
B. HudsonRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	7
Team	8.0	7	4	4	2	5	116

Player

4.2

1.1

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

116

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.218	4	1	2	1	1	0	1
M. TroutCF	.262	2	2	2	1	1	2	0
N. Schanuel1B	.256	4	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. SolerDH	.231	4	1	1	1	1	0	1
J. AdellRF	.264	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Moncada3B	.181	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
V. Grissom2B	.280	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. RiveroC	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. LoweLF	.149	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
O. Peraza2B	.280	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. TeodosioLF	.242	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		29	4	7	4	3	2	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. AldegheriSP	4.0	4	2	2	2	0	69
J. FerminRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	11
D. PomeranzRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19
S. BachmanRP	1.2	1	1	1	0	3	20
R. ZeferjahnRP	1.1	0	0	0	2	3	33
Team	9.0	8	3	3	4	9	152

Team

CHW

LAA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs CHW.

3 sub-models, blended.