Matchup orbital

NYM

4

NYM

NYM

11-21

Final

Win prob

48/52

AWAY · HOME

LAA

3

LAA

LAA

12-21

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYM wins

NYM 4 · LAA 3 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked LAA +2pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
NYM0000031004
LAA2010000003

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Fri, May 1Final
NYM

NYM11-21

NYM

@

12-21LAA

LAA

LAA
SeriesNYM lead series 1-0VegasLAA -115

Recap · MLB

ew York Mets went into Los Angeles Angels and beat them, 4–3. It came down to the final possession.

LAA +1.5 cashed (NYM won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 9.0 by 2.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
NYM
NYMWIN11-214
FINAL
LAA
LAA12-213

Current series

NYM lead series 1-0

May 2NYMNYM4@LAALAA3today
May 3NYMNYM@LAALAAupcoming
May 3NYMNYM@LAALAAupcoming

Season series

NYM lead series 1-0

May 2NYMNYM4@LAALAA3today
May 3NYMNYM@LAALAAupcoming
May 3NYMNYM@LAALAAupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYM -1.5

Total

9.0

High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NYMNYM-10551%
LAALAA-11553%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYM -1.5↗SpreadBet NYM -1.5↗

Line movement · 15 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowNYM ↔ LAA

Biggest swing: 22pp · Top 6th Inning

NYMNYM
R. Mauricio

R. Mauricio

SS

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.667 OPS

C. Scott

C. Scott

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 8 K · 2 ER · 3 H

LAALAA
J. Soler

J. Soler

RF

Batter of the game

1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.250 OPS

W. Urena

W. Urena

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 4 K · 1 ER · 2 H · 3 BB

How it ended

NYM beat LAA 4-3. Semien's play in the top 6th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (22pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

LAA vs NYM

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

NYM4
LAA3

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
LAABottom 1st Inning · 0-2
+17pp→ 75% WP

Soler · homered to left center (403 feet), Trout scored.

NYMTop 6th Inning · 3-3
+22pp→ 43% WP

Semien · singled to center, Soto scored and Alvarez scored.

NYMTop 7th Inning · 4-3
+21pp→ 67% WP

Mauricio · homered to center (421 feet).

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
NYM0000031004
LAA2010000003

Period scoring

NYM won 2 · LAA won 2

0
2

Inn 1

Soler 2

0
0

Inn 2

0
1

Inn 3

Moncada 1

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

3
0

Inn 6

Semien 2

1
0

Inn 7

Mauricio 1

0
0

Inn 8

0
0

Inn 9

NYM
LAA

Game flow · key plays

  1. B9

    Trout struck out swinging.

    NYM 4·LAA 3

    −9pp

  2. T8

    Alvarez grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Slater out at second.

    NYM 4·LAA 3

    +8pp

  3. T7

    Mauricio homered to center (421 feet).

    NYM 4·LAA 3

    −21pp

  4. T6

    Semien singled to center, Soto scored and Alvarez scored.

    NYM 3·LAA 3

    −22pp

  5. T6

    Alvarez singled to center, Bichette scored, Soto to second.

    NYM 1·LAA 3

    −8pp

  6. B1

    Soler homered to left center (403 feet), Trout scored.

    NYM 0·LAA 2

    +17pp

Team stats

NYM

Away

Stat

LAA

Home

7

Hits

3

1

Errors

0

4

Runs

3

Player box score

NYM

NYM

11-21

4
B. Bichette

B. Bichette★

3B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Soto

J. Soto★

LF

OPS

0.833

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Melendez

M. Melendez★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

F. Alvarez

F. Alvarez★

C

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

B. Baty

B. Baty★

RF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Semien

M. Semien★

2B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

2

HR

0

C. Benge

C. Benge★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Taylor

T. Taylor★

RF

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Mauricio

R. Mauricio★

SS

OPS

1.667

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

A. Slater

A. Slater

LF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

7-31

R

4

RBI

4

HR

1

C. Scott

C. Scott★

SP

IP

5.0

H

3

ER

2

K

8

H. Brazoban

H. Brazoban

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

1

B. Raley

B. Raley

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

1

L. Weaver

L. Weaver

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

D. Williams

D. Williams

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

Team total

IP

9.0

H

3

ER

2

K

14

Betting line

NYM -1.5·O/U 9·NYM -105/LAA -115

DraftKings · via ESPN