Matchup orbital

TEX

5

TEX

TEX

16-16

Final

Win prob

48/52

AWAY · HOME

DET

4

DET

DET

16-17

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

TEX wins

TEX 5 · DET 4 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked DET +2pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
TEX1030000105
DET0003100004

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Fri, May 1Final
TEX

TEX16-16

TEX

@

16-17DET

DET

DET
SeriesTEX leads series 1-0VegasDET -124

Recap · MLB

exas Rangers went into Detroit Tigers and beat them, 5–4. It came down to the final possession.

DET +1.5 cashed (TEX won by 1). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 1.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
TEX
TEXWIN16-165
FINAL
DET
DET16-174

Current series

TEX leads series 1-0

May 1TEXTEX5@DETDET4today
May 2TEXTEX@DETDETupcoming
May 3TEXTEX@DETDETupcoming

Season series

TEX leads series 1-0

May 1TEXTEX5@DETDET4today
May 2TEXTEX@DETDETupcoming
May 3TEXTEX@DETDETupcoming
Jul 3DETDET@TEXTEXupcoming
Jul 4DETDET@TEXTEXupcoming
Jul 5DETDET@TEXTEXupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

TEX -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

TEXTEX+10349%
DETDET-12455%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet TEX -1.5↗SpreadBet TEX -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowTEX ↔ DET

Biggest swing: 24pp · Top 8th Inning

TEXTEX
B. Nimmo

B. Nimmo

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

2-for-2 · 2 R · 2.000 OPS

M. Gore

M. Gore

SP

Starting pitcher

3.2 IP · 3 K · 3 ER · 4 H · 3 BB

DETDET
S. Torkelson

S. Torkelson

1B

Batter of the game

1-for-2 · 1 R · 1.250 OPS

J. Flaherty

J. Flaherty

SP

Starting pitcher

3.2 IP · 4 K · 4 ER · 5 H · 3 BB

How it ended

TEX beat DET 5-4. Osuna's play in the top 8th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (24pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

DET vs TEX

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

TEX5
DET4

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
TEXTop 3rd Inning · 2-0
+14pp→ 71% WP

Jansen · homered to left (377 feet).

DETBottom 4th Inning · 4-2
+14pp→ 29% WP

Pérez singled to left, Greene scored and Jones scored, Torkelson to second.

TEXTop 8th Inning · 5-4
+24pp→ 78% WP

Osuna · doubled to left, Burger scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
TEX1030000105
DET0003100004

Period scoring

TEX won 3 · DET won 2

1
0

Inn 1

Jung 1

0
0

Inn 2

3
0

Inn 3

Jansen 1

0
3

Inn 4

Lee 1

0
1

Inn 5

Greene 1

0
0

Inn 6

0
0

Inn 7

1
0

Inn 8

Osuna 1

0
0

Inn 9

TEX
DET

Game flow · key plays

  1. B8

    Greene singled to right.

    TEX 5·DET 4

    +9pp

  2. T8

    Osuna doubled to left, Burger scored.

    TEX 5·DET 4

    −24pp

  3. B4

    Lee singled to right, Torkelson scored, Pérez to third.

    TEX 4·DET 3

    +13pp

  4. B4

    Pérez singled to left, Greene scored and Jones scored, Torkelson to second.

    TEX 4·DET 2

    +14pp

  5. T3

    Jansen homered to left (377 feet).

    TEX 2·DET 0

    −14pp

  6. T1

    Jung singled to left, Nimmo scored.

    TEX 1·DET 0

    −10pp

Team stats

TEX

Away

Stat

DET

Home

9

Hits

7

1

Errors

0

5

Runs

4

Player box score

TEX

TEX

16-16

5
B. Nimmo

B. Nimmo★

RF

OPS

2.000

H-AB

2-2

R

2

RBI

0

HR

0

E. Carter

E. Carter★

CF

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Seager

C. Seager★

SS

OPS

0.933

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Jung

J. Jung★

3B

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

0

RBI

2

HR

0

J. Pederson

J. Pederson★

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

J. Burger

J. Burger★

1B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Osuna

A. Osuna★

LF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

E. Duran

E. Duran★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Jansen

D. Jansen★

C

OPS

1.250

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

J. Smith

J. Smith

2B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Haggerty

S. Haggerty

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

9-33

R

5

RBI

5

HR

1

M. Gore

M. Gore★

SP

IP

3.2

H

4

ER

3

K

3

C. Winn

C. Winn

RP

IP

0.2

H

1

ER

1

K

1

J. Beeks

J. Beeks

RP

IP

1.2

H

1

ER

0

K

1

T. Alexander

T. Alexander

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

0

J. Junis

J. Junis

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

J. Latz

J. Latz

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

9.0

H

7

ER

4

K

6

Betting line

TEX -1.5·O/U 8·TEX +103/DET -124

DraftKings · via ESPN