Matchup orbital
1
TOR
TOR
14-17
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
7
MIN
MIN
14-18
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
MIN wins
TOR 1 · MIN 7 (by 6)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked TOR +7pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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TOR14-17
TOR
14-18MIN
MIN
Recap · MLB
innesota Twins held off Toronto Blue Jays, 7–1. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
MIN +1.5 cashed (TOR lost outright). Total pushed exactly on 8.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
MIN leads series 1-0
TOR1@MIN7todayTOR7@MIN3TOR@MINTOR@MINupcomingSeason series
MIN leads series 3-1
MIN4@TOR10MIN7@TOR4MIN8@TOR2TOR1@MIN7todayTOR7@MIN3TOR@MINTOR@MINupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TOR -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
TOR-13057%MIN+10848%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 21pp · Bottom 4th Inning
TOR
D. Varsho
CFBatter of the game
1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.250 OPS
K. Gausman
SPStarting pitcher
5.2 IP · 2 K · 4 ER · 4 H · 2 BB
MIN
B. Buxton
CFBatter of the gamePerfect day
3-for-4 · 1 HR · 2.250 OPS
B. Ober
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
6.0 IP · 2 K · 1 ER · 4 H · 2 BB
How it ended
MIN beat TOR 7-1. Jeffers's play in the bottom 4th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (21pp).
Win probability
MIN vs TOR
Score progression
1 lead change
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactVarsho · homered to right (397 feet).
Jeffers · homered to left center (404 feet), Larnach scored.
Buxton · homered to left center (375 feet).
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | — | 7 |
Period scoring
TOR won 0 · MIN won 3
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Varsho 1
Jeffers 2
Inn 5
Inn 6
Buxton 1
Inn 7
Inn 8
Bell 2
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- B6
Martin singled to center, Larnach scored.
TOR 1·MIN 4
+6pp
- B6
Buxton homered to left center (375 feet).
TOR 1·MIN 3
+10pp
- B4
Jeffers homered to left center (404 feet), Larnach scored.
TOR 1·MIN 2
+21pp
- B4
Larnach walked.
TOR 1·MIN 0
+6pp
- T4
Varsho homered to right (397 feet).
TOR 1·MIN 0
−14pp
- B1
Buxton doubled to center.
TOR 0·MIN 0
+6pp
Team stats
TOR
Away
Stat
MIN
Home
6
Hits
7
2
Errors
0
1
Runs
7
Player box score
TOR
14-17
G. Springer★
DH
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Sanchez★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
V. Guerrero Jr.★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Okamoto★
3B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Varsho★
CF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
E. Clement★
2B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
Y. Pinango★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Gimenez★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Valenzuela★
C
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Schneider
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
6-32
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G. Springer★DH | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
J. Sanchez★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
V. Guerrero Jr.★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
K. Okamoto★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
D. Varsho★CF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
E. Clement★2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
Y. Pinango★LF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. Gimenez★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
B. Valenzuela★C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
D. SchneiderLF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 6-32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
K. Gausman★
SP
IP
5.2
H
4
ER
4
K
2
T. Nance
RP
IP
1.1
H
0
ER
0
K
3
M. Fluharty
RP
IP
0.1
H
3
ER
3
K
1
J. Mantiply
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
8.0
H
7
ER
7
K
6
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Gausman★SP | 5.2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
T. NanceRP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
M. FluhartyRP | 0.1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
J. MantiplyRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 8.0 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
MIN
14-18
B. Buxton★
CF
OPS
2.250
H-AB
3-4
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1
T. Larnach★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-2
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Jeffers★
C
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1
J. Bell★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
A. Martin★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
K. Clemens★
1B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Keaschall★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
B. Lee★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Lewis★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-30
R
7
RBI
6
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Buxton★CF | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.250 |
T. Larnach★LF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
R. Jeffers★C | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1.750 |
J. Bell★1B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. Martin★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.833 |
K. Clemens★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
L. Keaschall★2B | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
B. Lee★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
R. Lewis★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 7-30 | 7 | 6 | 2 | — |
B. Ober★
SP
IP
6.0
H
4
ER
1
K
2
A. Banda
RP
IP
0.2
H
1
ER
0
K
0
A. Morris
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
0
K
0
J. Topa
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
6
ER
1
K
2
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Ober★SP | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
A. BandaRP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
A. MorrisRP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
J. TopaRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
Betting line
TOR -1.5·O/U 8·TOR -130/MIN +108