Matchup orbital

2
LAA
LAA
12-20
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

3
CHW
CHW
14-17
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CHW wins
LAA 2 · CHW 3 (by 1)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked CHW +6pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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LAA12-20
LAA
14-17CHW
CHW

Recap · MLB
hicago White Sox held off Los Angeles Angels, 3–2. It came down to the final possession.
CHW +1.5 cashed (LAA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 9.0 by 4.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
CHW win series 3-0
LAA7@
CHW8
LAA2@
CHW5
LAA2@
CHW3todaySeason series
CHW lead series 3-0
LAA7@
CHW8
LAA2@
CHW5
LAA2@
CHW3today
CHW@
LAAupcoming
CHW@
LAAupcoming
CHW@
LAAupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LAA -1.5
Total
9.0
High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
LAA-12455%
CHW+10349%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
9.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 51pp · Bottom 9th Inning
LAA
O. Peraza
2BBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

M. Farris
SPTop reliever
3.2 IP · 3 K · 1 ER · 3 H · 2 BB
CHW
D. Hill
RFBatter of the game
1-for-2 · 1.000 OPS

E. Fedde
SPStarting pitcher
7.0 IP · 6 K · 2 ER · 5 H
How it ended
CHW beat LAA 3-2. Antonacci's play in the bottom 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (51pp).
Win probability
CHW vs LAA
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactGrissom · homered to left center (385 feet).
Antonacci · tripled to right, Peters scored.
Montgomery · singled to center, Vargas scored, Hays to second, Murakami to third.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Period scoring
LAA won 2 · CHW won 3
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Vargas 1
Inn 4
Trout 1
Inn 5
Inn 6
Inn 7
Grissom 1
Inn 8
Inn 9
Antonacci 1
Inn 10
Montgomery 1
Game flow · key plays
Montgomery singled to center, Vargas scored, Hays to second, Murakami to third.
LAA 2·CHW 3
+17pp
Murakami walked, Vargas to second, Meidroth to third.
LAA 2·CHW 2
+11pp
Antonacci tripled to right, Peters scored.
LAA 2·CHW 2
+51pp
Grissom homered to left center (385 feet).
LAA 2·CHW 1
−22pp
Montgomery grounded into fielder's choice to second, Murakami out at home.
LAA 1·CHW 1
−12pp
Trout homered to left (364 feet).
LAA 1·CHW 1
−13pp
Team stats
LAA
Away
Stat
CHW
Home
6
Hits
7
0
Errors
0
2
Runs
3
Player box score

LAA
12-20

Z. Neto★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Trout★
CF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

Y. Moncada★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Soler★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Adell★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Lowe★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

V. Grissom★
2B
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

T. d'Arnaud★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Frazier★
2B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

O. Peraza
2B
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Schanuel
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
6-35
R
2
RBI
2
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Z. Neto★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Trout★CF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() Y. Moncada★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Soler★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. Adell★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. Lowe★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() V. Grissom★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() T. d'Arnaud★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. Frazier★2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() O. Peraza2B | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() N. Schanuel1B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 6-35 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |

Y. Kikuchi★
SP
IP
2.0
H
2
ER
0
K
1

M. Farris
SP
IP
3.2
H
3
ER
1
K
3

C. Silseth
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
0

S. Bachman
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
0

R. Zeferjahn
RP
IP
2.0
H
1
ER
1
K
4

D. Pomeranz
RP
IP
0.1
H
1
ER
1
K
0
IP
9.1
H
7
ER
3
K
8
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Y. Kikuchi★SP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
![]() M. FarrisSP | 3.2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
![]() C. SilsethRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() S. BachmanRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() R. ZeferjahnRP | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
![]() D. PomeranzRP | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | 9.1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |

CHW
14-17

C. Meidroth★
2B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Vargas★
3B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

M. Murakami★
1B
OPS
0.600
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Hays★
LF
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Montgomery★
SS
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

E. Quero★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Hill★
RF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Acuna★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Antonacci★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

A. Benintendi
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Kelenic
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-33
R
3
RBI
3
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() C. Meidroth★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() M. Vargas★3B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() M. Murakami★1B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.600 |
![]() A. Hays★LF | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.800 |
![]() C. Montgomery★SS | 1-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() E. Quero★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. Hill★RF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() L. Acuna★CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() S. Antonacci★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() A. BenintendiLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. KelenicRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Team | 7-33 | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |

E. Fedde★
SP
IP
7.0
H
5
ER
2
K
6

B. Hudson
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2

T. Davis
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0

S. Dominguez
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
10.0
H
6
ER
2
K
9
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() E. Fedde★SP | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
![]() B. HudsonRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
![]() T. DavisRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() S. DominguezRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 10.0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
Betting line
LAA -1.5·O/U 9·LAA -124/CHW +103