Matchup orbital

1
BOS
BOS
12-19
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

8
TOR
TOR
14-16
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
TOR wins
BOS 1 · TOR 8 (by 7)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked TOR +6pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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BOS12-19
BOS
14-16TOR
TOR

Recap · MLB
oronto Blue Jays held off Boston Red Sox, 8–1. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
TOR +1.5 cashed (BOS lost outright). Total cleared the 8.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
TOR wins series 2-1
BOS5@
TOR0
BOS0@
TOR3
BOS1@
TOR8todaySeason series
TOR leads series 2-1
BOS5@
TOR0
BOS0@
TOR3
BOS1@
TOR8today
TOR@
BOSupcoming
TOR@
BOSupcoming
TOR@
BOSupcoming
TOR@
BOSupcoming
TOR@
BOSupcoming
TOR@
BOSupcoming
BOS@
TORupcoming
BOS@
TORupcoming
BOS@
TORupcoming
BOS@
TORupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
BOS -1.5
Total
8.5
Standard · 0.0 vs avg
Moneyline
BOS-10852%
TOR-11253%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 20pp · Bottom 3rd Inning
BOS
W. Contreras
1BBatter of the game
2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.750 OPS

B. Bello
SPStarting pitcher
3.2 IP · 2 K · 4 ER · 6 H · 2 BB
TOR
B. Valenzuela
CBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.417 OPS

E. Lauer
SPStarting pitcher
4.1 IP · 1 K · 1 ER · 5 H · 1 BB
How it ended
TOR beat BOS 8-1. Okamoto's play in the bottom 3rd inning drove the biggest swing of the night (20pp).
Win probability
TOR vs BOS
Score progression
1 lead change
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactOkamoto · singled to left, Sánchez scored and Valenzuela scored, Guerrero Jr. to second.
Clement · homered to left (360 feet), Valenzuela scored.
Guerrero Jr. · singled to center.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 8 |
Period scoring
BOS won 1 · TOR won 4
Inn 1
Contreras 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Okamoto 2
Inn 4
Clement 2
Inn 5
Springer 1
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Valenzuela 1
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
Guerrero Jr. singled to center.
BOS 1·TOR 5
+12pp
Anthony singled to right, Durbin to second, Kiner-Falefa to third.
BOS 1·TOR 5
−6pp
Clement homered to left (360 feet), Valenzuela scored.
BOS 1·TOR 5
+12pp
Rafaela flied out to right.
BOS 1·TOR 3
+4pp
Okamoto singled to left, Sánchez scored and Valenzuela scored, Guerrero Jr. to second.
BOS 1·TOR 2
+20pp
Contreras homered to left (406 feet).
BOS 1·TOR 0
−10pp
Team stats
BOS
Away
Stat
TOR
Home
9
Hits
10
0
Errors
0
1
Runs
8
Player box score

BOS
12-19

R. Anthony★
LF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

W. Contreras★
1B
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

W. Abreu★
RF
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Rafaela★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Story★
SS
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Monasterio★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Wong★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

I. Kiner-Falefa★
2B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Durbin★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Duran
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Mayer
2B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
9-35
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() R. Anthony★LF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() W. Contreras★1B | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.750 |
![]() W. Abreu★RF | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.417 |
![]() C. Rafaela★CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. Story★SS | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() A. Monasterio★SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Wong★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() I. Kiner-Falefa★2B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() C. Durbin★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. DuranLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Mayer2B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Team | 9-35 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |

B. Bello★
SP
IP
3.2
H
6
ER
4
K
2

G. Weissert
RP
IP
0.2
H
2
ER
2
K
1

J. Moran
RP
IP
2.2
H
1
ER
1
K
0

G. Whitlock
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
1
K
0
IP
8.0
H
10
ER
8
K
3
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() B. Bello★SP | 3.2 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
![]() G. WeissertRP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
![]() J. MoranRP | 2.2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
![]() G. WhitlockRP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | 8.0 | 10 | 8 | 3 |

TOR
14-16

E. Clement★
2B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-5
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1

J. Sanchez★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

V. Guerrero Jr.★
1B
OPS
2.000
H-AB
3-3
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Okamoto★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0

D. Varsho★
CF
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

Y. Pinango★
LF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

M. Straw★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

A. Gimenez★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Valenzuela★
C
OPS
2.417
H-AB
2-3
R
3
RBI
1
HR
1

G. Springer
DH
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
H-AB
10-32
R
8
RBI
8
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() E. Clement★2B | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.000 |
![]() J. Sanchez★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() V. Guerrero Jr.★1B | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() K. Okamoto★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() D. Varsho★CF | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
![]() Y. Pinango★LF | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() M. Straw★RF | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. Gimenez★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() B. Valenzuela★C | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2.417 |
![]() G. SpringerDH | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Team | 10-32 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — |

E. Lauer★
SP
IP
4.1
H
5
ER
1
K
1

B. Fisher
RP
IP
1.2
H
1
ER
0
K
1

T. Nance
RP
IP
0.2
H
1
ER
0
K
0

J. Mantiply
RP
IP
0.1
H
2
ER
0
K
1

S. Miles
RP
IP
2.0
H
0
ER
0
K
3
IP
9.0
H
9
ER
1
K
6
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() E. Lauer★SP | 4.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
![]() B. FisherRP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() T. NanceRP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() J. MantiplyRP | 0.1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
![]() S. MilesRP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | 9.0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
Betting line
BOS -1.5·O/U 8.5·BOS -108/TOR -112