Matchup orbital

NYY

3

NYY

NYY

20-10

Final

Win prob

57/43

AWAY · HOME

TEX

2

TEX

TEX

14-16

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

NYY 3 · TEX 2 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked NYY +7pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
NYY1000001013
TEX0000000022

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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MLBGame · Tue, Apr 28Final
NYY

NYY20-10

NYY

@

14-16TEX

TEX

TEX
SeriesNYY win series 2-1VegasNYY -122

Recap · MLB

ew York Yankees went into Texas Rangers and beat them, 3–2. It came down to the final possession.

TEX +1.5 cashed (NYY won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 7.0 by 2.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
NYY
NYYWIN20-103
FINAL
TEX
TEX14-162

Current series

NYY win series 2-1

Apr 28NYYNYY4@TEXTEX2
Apr 29NYYNYY3@TEXTEX2today
Apr 29NYYNYY0@TEXTEX3

Season series

NYY lead series 2-0

Apr 28NYYNYY4@TEXTEX2
Apr 29NYYNYY3@TEXTEX2today
Apr 29NYYNYY0@TEXTEX3
May 5TEXTEX@NYYNYYupcoming
May 6TEXTEX@NYYNYYupcoming
May 7TEXTEX@NYYNYYupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYY -1.5

Total

7.0

Defensive · -1.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NYYNYY-12255%
TEXTEX+10250%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYY -1.5↗SpreadBet NYY -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

7.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowNYY ↔ TEX

Biggest swing: 36pp · Bottom 9th Inning

NYYNYY
A. Wells

A. Wells

C

Batter of the gamePerfect day

2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.333 OPS

C. Schlittler

C. Schlittler

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.0 IP · 8 K · 0 ER · 3 H · 2 BB

TEXTEX
S. Haggerty

S. Haggerty

LF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

J. deGrom

J. deGrom

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.0 IP · 5 K · 1 ER · 3 H

How it ended

NYY beat TEX 3-2. Seager's play in the bottom 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (36pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

TEX vs NYY

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

NYY3
TEX2

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
NYYTop 7th Inning · 2-0
+15pp→ 80% WP

Wells · homered to right (376 feet).

NYYBottom 8th Inning · 2-0
+12pp→ 76% WP

Pederson · bunted into fielder's choice to pitcher, Seager to second, Jung out at third.

NYYBottom 9th Inning · 3-2
+36pp→ 100% WP

Seager · grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Jung out at second.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
NYY1000001013
TEX0000000022

Period scoring

NYY won 2 · TEX won 1

1
0

Inn 1

Bellinger 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

1
0

Inn 7

Wells 1

0
0

Inn 8

1
2

Inn 9

Judge 1

Jansen 1

NYY
TEX

Game flow · key plays

  1. B9

    Seager grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Jung out at second.

    NYY 3·TEX 2

    −36pp

  2. B9

    Jung singled to left, Jansen scored, Nimmo to second.

    NYY 3·TEX 2

    +14pp

  3. B8

    Pederson bunted into fielder's choice to pitcher, Seager to second, Jung out at third.

    NYY 2·TEX 0

    −12pp

  4. B8

    Seager walked, Jung to second.

    NYY 2·TEX 0

    +11pp

  5. T7

    Wells homered to right (376 feet).

    NYY 2·TEX 0

    −15pp

  6. T1

    Bellinger doubled to center, Judge scored.

    NYY 1·TEX 0

    −12pp

Team stats

NYY

Away

Stat

TEX

Home

5

Hits

7

1

Errors

1

3

Runs

2

Player box score

NYY

NYY

20-10

3
T. Grisham

T. Grisham★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Rice

B. Rice★

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Judge

A. Judge★

RF

OPS

1.750

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

1

HR

1

C. Bellinger

C. Bellinger★

LF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

J. Chisholm Jr.

J. Chisholm Jr.★

2B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Dominguez

J. Dominguez★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Wells

A. Wells★

C

OPS

2.333

H-AB

2-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

R. McMahon

R. McMahon★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Caballero

J. Caballero★

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

5-33

R

3

RBI

3

HR

2

C. Schlittler

C. Schlittler★

SP

IP

6.0

H

3

ER

0

K

8

B. Headrick

B. Headrick

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

F. Cruz

F. Cruz

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

2

D. Bednar

D. Bednar

RP

IP

1.0

H

2

ER

1

K

0

Team total

IP

9.0

H

7

ER

1

K

11

Betting line

NYY -1.5·O/U 7·NYY -122/TEX +102

DraftKings · via ESPN