Matchup orbital

DET

2

DET

DET

15-15

Final

Win prob

40/60

AWAY · HOME

ATL

5

ATL

ATL

21-9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATL wins

DET 2 · ATL 5 (by 3)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked ATL +10pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
DET0000000022
ATL002000125

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Tue, Apr 28Final
DET

DET15-15

DET

@

21-9ATL

ATL

ATL
SeriesATL wins series 2-1VegasATL -122

Recap · MLB

tlanta Braves held off Detroit Tigers, 5–2.

ATL +1.5 cashed (DET lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 8.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
DET
DET15-152
FINAL
ATL
ATLWIN21-95

Current series

ATL wins series 2-1

Apr 28DETDET2@ATLATL5today
Apr 29DETDET3@ATLATL4
Apr 30DETDET5@ATLATL2

Season series

ATL leads series 1-0

Apr 28DETDET2@ATLATL5today
Apr 29DETDET3@ATLATL4
Apr 30DETDET5@ATLATL2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

8.5

Standard · 0.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET+10250%
ATLATL-12255%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowDET ↔ ATL

Biggest swing: 9pp · Bottom 3rd Inning

DETDET
W. Perez

W. Perez

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2.500 OPS

B. Smith

B. Smith

RP

Top reliever

2.0 IP · 4 K · 1 ER · 2 H · 1 BB

ATLATL
O. Albies

O. Albies

2B

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.833 OPS

M. Perez

M. Perez

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 5 K · 0 ER · 2 H · 4 BB

How it ended

ATL beat DET 5-2.

Win probability

ATL vs DET

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

DET2
ATL5

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
ATLBottom 1st Inning · 0-0
+6pp→ 70% WP

Acu · ña Jr. doubled to left.

ATLBottom 3rd Inning · 0-1
+9pp→ 80% WP

Acu · ña Jr. doubled to left, Yastrzemski scored.

DETTop 5th Inning · 0-2
+6pp→ 24% WP

Lee · doubled to left.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
DET0000000022
ATL00200012—5

Period scoring

DET won 0 · ATL won 3

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
2

Inn 3

Acu 1

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

0
1

Inn 7

Yastrzemski 1

0
2

Inn 8

Albies 2

2

Inn 9

DET
ATL

Game flow · key plays

  1. B5

    Yastrzemski grounded out to first.

    DET 0·ATL 2

    +4pp

  2. T5

    Lee doubled to left.

    DET 0·ATL 2

    −6pp

  3. B3

    Acuña Jr. doubled to left, Yastrzemski scored.

    DET 0·ATL 1

    +9pp

  4. B3

    Yastrzemski doubled to right.

    DET 0·ATL 0

    +6pp

  5. B1

    Albies struck out swinging.

    DET 0·ATL 0

    −6pp

  6. B1

    Acuña Jr. doubled to left.

    DET 0·ATL 0

    +6pp

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

ATL

Home

6

Hits

9

1

Errors

0

2

Runs

5

Player box score

DET

DET

15-15

2
J. Jones

J. Jones★

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

G. Torres

G. Torres★

2B

OPS

0.400

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

K. McGonigle

K. McGonigle★

SS

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Vierling

M. Vierling★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Dingler

D. Dingler★

C

OPS

1.417

H-AB

2-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Greene

R. Greene★

LF

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Torkelson

S. Torkelson★

1B

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

H. Lee

H. Lee★

3B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Baez

J. Baez★

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

K. Carpenter

K. Carpenter

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Keith

C. Keith

3B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

W. Perez

W. Perez

RF

OPS

2.500

H-AB

1-2

R

1

RBI

2

HR

1

Team total

H-AB

6-33

R

2

RBI

2

HR

1

C. Mize

C. Mize★

SP

IP

2.1

H

3

ER

2

K

3

B. Hurter

B. Hurter

RP

IP

2.2

H

0

ER

0

K

1

B. Smith

B. Smith

RP

IP

2.0

H

2

ER

1

K

4

T. Holton

T. Holton

RP

IP

1.0

H

4

ER

2

K

1

Team total

IP

8.0

H

9

ER

5

K

9

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 8.5·DET +102/ATL -122

DraftKings · via ESPN