Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Apr 27, 2026

FINAL+1CHW

LAA

12-18

CHW

12-17

Rate Field · Chicago, Illinois

10,193 attended

Line movement

52 snapshots

CHW spread

-1.5

open -1.5

Total

O/U 9.0

open O/U 9.0

CHW no-vig %

53.6%

open 53.6%

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = CHW favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

54.0%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
53.7%
P(CHW win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
56.0%
P(CHW win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
52.2%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.56 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

90% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 78 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Davis MartinCHW
6.0± 2.8medium
Sean BurkeCHW
5.8± 1.8medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.1high
Jo AdellLAA
1.2± 1.4high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.3± 1.9high
Zach NetoLAA
2.2± 2.5high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.0± 2.3low

RBIs

Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.9± 1.7low
Donovan WaltonLAA
0.8± 1.1high
Andrew BenintendiCHW
0.7± 1.2high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.8± 3.2low
Jose SorianoLAA
2.6± 2.1medium
Reid DetmersLAA
2.5± 2.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

CHW

.719

OPS

.718

▶

.729

.319

OBP

.319

4.53

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.66

4.67

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.42

1.43

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.34

8.8

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.4

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

LAA 7 · CHW 8 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked CHW +4pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	7
CHW	0	0	0	0	1	0	7	0	8

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.242	5	0	1	1	0	0	3
M. TroutCF	.243	4	2	2	0	0	1	0
V. Grissom2B	.375	4	1	2	1	0	0	0
J. SolerDH	.232	4	1	1	3	1	0	0
J. AdellRF	.262	5	0	1	0	0	0	0
O. Peraza2B	.278	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
N. Schanuel1B	.231	4	1	2	1	0	0	1
T. d'ArnaudC	.182	2	2	1	0	0	1	0
B. TeodosioLF	.242	3	0	2	1	0	0	1
J. LoweLF	.188	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Frazier2B	.277	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
Y. Moncada3B	.197	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. RiveroC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		38	7	14	7	1	2	6

Player

.242

.243

.375

.232

.262

.278

.231

.182

.242

.188

.277

.197

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. KochanowiczSP	6.0	5	3	2	1	5	90
N. SandlinRP	0.0	2	3	3	0	0	7
D. PomeranzRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	21
J. FerminRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	14
Team	8.0	9	8	7	1	9	132

Player

6.0

0.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

132

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. BenintendiDH	.209	4	1	1	3	0	0	1
M. Murakami1B	.243	4	1	2	3	1	0	0
M. Vargas3B	.208	3	1	1	1	1	1	1
C. MontgomerySS	.225	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
E. PereiraRF	.258	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. AntonacciLF	.206	4	1	0	0	0	0	1
C. Meidroth2B	.262	4	1	1	0	0	0	3
T. PetersCF	.281	4	2	2	1	0	0	0
E. QueroC	.169	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
Team		34	8	9	8	2	1	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. KaySP	4.0	7	4	4	2	2	90
O. BidoRP	3.0	2	1	1	0	2	43
J. HicksRP	0.1	2	0	0	0	0	8
G. TaylorRP	1.1	3	2	0	0	2	35
B. HudsonRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4
Team	9.0	14	7	5	2	6	180

Team

LAA

CHW

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs LAA.

3 sub-models, blended.