Matchup orbital

7
LAA
LAA
12-18
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

8
CHW
CHW
12-17
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CHW wins
LAA 7 · CHW 8 (by 1)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked CHW +4pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
What's next
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LAA12-18
LAA
12-17CHW
CHW

Recap · MLB
hicago White Sox held off Los Angeles Angels, 8–7. It came down to the final possession.
LAA +1.5 cashed (CHW won by 1). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 6.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
CHW win series 3-0
LAA7@
CHW8today
LAA2@
CHW5
LAA2@
CHW3Season series
CHW lead series 1-0
LAA7@
CHW8today
LAA2@
CHW5
LAA2@
CHW3
CHW@
LAAupcoming
CHW@
LAAupcoming
CHW@
LAAupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CHW -1.5
Total
9.0
High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
LAA+10649%
CHW-12856%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
9.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 28pp · Bottom 7th Inning
LAA
B. Teodosio
LFBatter of the game
2-for-3 · 1.333 OPS

J. Kochanowicz
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 5 K · 2 ER · 5 H · 1 BB
CHW
M. Vargas
3BBatter of the game
1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.833 OPS

A. Kay
SPStarting pitcher
4.0 IP · 2 K · 4 ER · 7 H · 2 BB
How it ended
CHW beat LAA 8-7. Benintendi's play in the bottom 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (28pp).
Win probability
CHW vs LAA
Score progression
1 lead change
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactTeodosio · doubled to left, Schanuel scored, d'Arnaud to third.
Benintendi · doubled to right, Meidroth scored and Peters scored, Quero to third.
Frazier · grounded out to second.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | — | 8 |
Period scoring
LAA won 3 · CHW won 2
Inn 1
Soler 1
Inn 2
Teodosio 1
Inn 3
Inn 4
Grissom 1
Inn 5
Benintendi 1
Inn 6
Inn 7
Soler 1
Murakami 3
Inn 8
Inn 9
Soler 1
Game flow · key plays
Frazier grounded out to second.
LAA 7·CHW 8
+18pp
Murakami homered to right center (382 feet), Quero scored and Benintendi scored.
LAA 5·CHW 7
+23pp
Benintendi doubled to right, Meidroth scored and Peters scored, Quero to third.
LAA 5·CHW 4
+28pp
Quero hit by pitch, Peters to second.
LAA 5·CHW 2
+12pp
Peters singled to center, Antonacci scored, Meidroth to third.
LAA 5·CHW 2
+12pp
Teodosio doubled to left, Schanuel scored, d'Arnaud to third.
LAA 2·CHW 0
−13pp
Team stats
LAA
Away
Stat
CHW
Home
14
Hits
9
1
Errors
1
7
Runs
8
Player box score

LAA
12-18

Z. Neto★
SS
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

M. Trout★
CF
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

V. Grissom★
2B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Soler★
RF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1

J. Adell★
RF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

O. Peraza★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Schanuel★
1B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

T. d'Arnaud★
C
OPS
1.167
H-AB
1-2
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Teodosio★
LF
OPS
1.333
H-AB
2-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

A. Frazier
2B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

Y. Moncada
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
14-38
R
7
RBI
7
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Z. Neto★SS | 1-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() M. Trout★CF | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.100 |
![]() V. Grissom★2B | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() J. Soler★RF | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() J. Adell★RF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() O. Peraza★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() N. Schanuel★1B | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() T. d'Arnaud★C | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.167 |
![]() B. Teodosio★LF | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.333 |
![]() A. Frazier2B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() Y. Moncada3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 14-38 | 7 | 7 | 1 | — |

J. Kochanowicz★
SP
IP
6.0
H
5
ER
2
K
5

D. Pomeranz
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
2
K
2

J. Fermin
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
IP
8.0
H
9
ER
7
K
9
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Kochanowicz★SP | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
![]() D. PomeranzRP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
![]() J. FerminRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 8.0 | 9 | 7 | 9 |

CHW
12-17

A. Benintendi★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
3
HR
0

M. Murakami★
1B
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1

M. Vargas★
3B
OPS
1.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

C. Montgomery★
SS
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

E. Pereira★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Antonacci★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Meidroth★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Peters★
CF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
1
HR
0

E. Quero★
C
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
9-34
R
8
RBI
8
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() A. Benintendi★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() M. Murakami★1B | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.750 |
![]() M. Vargas★3B | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.833 |
![]() C. Montgomery★SS | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() E. Pereira★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() S. Antonacci★LF | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Meidroth★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() T. Peters★CF | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() E. Quero★C | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
| Team | 9-34 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — |

A. Kay★
SP
IP
4.0
H
7
ER
4
K
2

O. Bido
RP
IP
3.0
H
2
ER
1
K
2

J. Hicks
RP
IP
0.1
H
2
ER
0
K
0

G. Taylor
RP
IP
1.1
H
3
ER
0
K
2

B. Hudson
RP
IP
0.1
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
14
ER
5
K
6
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() A. Kay★SP | 4.0 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
![]() O. BidoRP | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
![]() J. HicksRP | 0.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() G. TaylorRP | 1.1 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
![]() B. HudsonRP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 14 | 5 | 6 |
Betting line
CHW -1.5·O/U 9·LAA +106/CHW -128