Athletics vs Texas Rangers: Final Score & Box Score — Apr 26, 2026

FINAL+1ATH

ATH

15-13

TEX

14-14

Globe Life Field · Arlington, Texas

32,031 attended

Line movement

42 snapshots

TEX spread

-1.5

open -1.5

Total

O/U 8.5

open O/U 8.5

TEX no-vig %

52.9%

open 52.9%

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = TEX favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

51.7%

ensemble · TEX favored

Elo Static
52.2%
P(TEX win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
51.1%
P(TEX win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
51.7%
P(TEX win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.45 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

97% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

TEX vs ATH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

121

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob deGromTEX
6.4± 2.5medium
Nathan EovaldiTEX
6.2± 2.3medium
MacKenzie GoreTEX
5.3± 2.8medium

Hits

Wyatt LangfordTEX
1.4± 1.1high
Nick KurtzATH
1.2± 0.8high
Zack GelofATH
1.2± 0.5high

Total bases

Wyatt LangfordTEX
2.6± 2.3high
Nick KurtzATH
2.5± 2.7high
Zack GelofATH
2.3± 1.6high

RBIs

Nick KurtzATH
1.0± 1.7high
Wyatt LangfordTEX
0.8± 1.0high
Max MuncyATH
0.7± 1.2high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.4± 2.0medium
Nathan EovaldiTEX
2.9± 2.3medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.8± 3.6low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ATH

league avg

TEX

.749

OPS

◀

.718

.705

.329

OBP

◀

.319

.318

4.67

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.01

5.00

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.93

1.45

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.25

8.4

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.6

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

ATH 2 · TEX 1 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked TEX +2pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
TEX	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Kurtz1B	.242	4	0	1	0	0	1	2
S. LangeliersC	.304	5	0	2	0	0	0	0
T. SoderstromLF	.215	3	1	1	0	0	2	1
B. RookerDH	.133	4	1	0	0	0	1	2
C. CortesRF	.377	4	0	3	2	0	0	0
J. WilsonSS	.278	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. McNeil2B	.286	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
L. ButlerRF	.186	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. HernaizSS	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. Gelof3B	.208	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	2	10	2	0	4	5

Player

.242

.304

.215

.133

.377

.278

.286

.186

.222

.208

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J.T. GinnSP	3.1	3	0	0	1	2	46
J. KuhnelRP	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	9
J. LopezSP	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	25
J. SternerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	13
H. HarrisRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	19
J. PerkinsRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	26
Team	9.0	6	1	1	5	10	138

Player

3.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

2.0

Team

9.0

138

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. NimmoRF	.281	5	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. PedersonDH	.230	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. SeagerSS	.220	5	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Jung3B	.308	4	1	2	0	0	0	0
E. CarterCF	.207	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Burger1B	.225	3	0	1	0	0	1	2
J. Smith2B	.208	2	0	1	0	0	2	0
D. JansenC	.206	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
A. OsunaLF	.400	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
A. McCutchenDH	.216	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. HaggertyLF	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team		32	1	6	0	0	5	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. RockerSP	6.0	6	2	2	2	3	84
T. AlexanderRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	11
G. CollyerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	16
P. GrayRP	1.0	1	0	0	2	1	21
Team	9.0	10	2	2	4	5	132

Team

ATH

TEX

3 sub-models, blended.

TEX vs ATH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

TEX vs ATH.

3 sub-models, blended.