Matchup orbital

2
ATH
ATH
15-13
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

1
TEX
TEX
14-14
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
ATH wins
ATH 2 · TEX 1 (by 1)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked TEX +2pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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ATH15-13
ATH
14-14TEX
TEX

Recap · MLB
thletics went into Texas Rangers and beat them, 2–1. It came down to the final possession.
ATH +1.5 cashed (TEX lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 8.5 by 5.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
ATH wins series 2-1
ATH8@
TEX1
ATH3@
TEX4
ATH2@
TEX1todaySeason series
ATH leads series 4-3
TEX8@
ATH1
TEX1@
ATH2
TEX5@
ATH6
TEX9@
ATH6
ATH8@
TEX1
ATH3@
TEX4
ATH2@
TEX1today
TEX@
ATHupcoming
TEX@
ATHupcoming
TEX@
ATHupcoming
ATH@
TEXupcoming
ATH@
TEXupcoming
ATH@
TEXupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TEX -1.5
Total
8.5
Standard · 0.0 vs avg
Moneyline
ATH+10349%
TEX-12455%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 20pp · Top 1st Inning
ATH
C. Cortes
RFBatter of the game
3-for-4 · 1.500 OPS

J.T. Ginn
SPStarting pitcher
3.1 IP · 2 K · 0 ER · 3 H · 1 BB
TEX
A. Osuna
LFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

K. Rocker
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 3 K · 2 ER · 6 H · 2 BB
How it ended
ATH beat TEX 2-1. Cortes's play in the top 1st inning drove the biggest swing of the night (20pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
TEX vs ATH
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCortes · tripled to center, Soderstrom scored and Rooker scored.
Smith · reached on bunt single to pitcher, Burger to second, Carter to third.
Nimmo · lined out to center.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Period scoring
ATH won 1 · TEX won 1
Inn 1
Cortes 2
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Inn 6
Carter 1
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
Nimmo lined out to center.
ATH 2·TEX 1
−13pp
Haggerty struck out swinging.
ATH 2·TEX 1
−10pp
Smith reached on bunt single to pitcher, Burger to second, Carter to third.
ATH 2·TEX 1
+12pp
Carter hit sacrifice bunt, Jung scored, Carter to first on throwing error by pitcher Lopez.
ATH 2·TEX 1
+11pp
Jung doubled to left.
ATH 2·TEX 0
+10pp
Cortes tripled to center, Soderstrom scored and Rooker scored.
ATH 2·TEX 0
−20pp
Team stats
ATH
Away
Stat
TEX
Home
10
Hits
6
1
Errors
0
2
Runs
1
Player box score

ATH
15-13

N. Kurtz★
1B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Langeliers★
C
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Soderstrom★
LF
OPS
0.933
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Rooker★
RF
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Cortes★
RF
OPS
1.500
H-AB
3-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0

J. Wilson★
SS
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. McNeil★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Butler★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Hernaiz★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
10-35
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() N. Kurtz★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() S. Langeliers★C | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.800 |
![]() T. Soderstrom★LF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.933 |
![]() B. Rooker★RF | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() C. Cortes★RF | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.500 |
![]() J. Wilson★SS | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. McNeil★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() L. Butler★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() D. Hernaiz★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 10-35 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |

J.T. Ginn★
SP
IP
3.1
H
3
ER
0
K
2

J. Kuhnel
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
1

J. Lopez
SP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
1
K
1

J. Sterner
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2

H. Harris
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

J. Perkins
RP
IP
2.0
H
1
ER
0
K
3
IP
9.0
H
6
ER
1
K
10
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J.T. Ginn★SP | 3.1 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
![]() J. KuhnelRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() J. LopezSP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() J. SternerRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
![]() H. HarrisRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() J. PerkinsRP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | 9.0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |

TEX
14-14

B. Nimmo★
RF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Pederson★
1B
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Seager★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Jung★
3B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

E. Carter★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Burger★
1B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Smith★
2B
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Jansen★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Osuna★
LF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. McCutchen
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Haggerty
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
6-32
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() B. Nimmo★RF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() J. Pederson★1B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
![]() C. Seager★SS | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Jung★3B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() E. Carter★CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Burger★1B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() J. Smith★2B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.250 |
![]() D. Jansen★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. Osuna★LF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() A. McCutchenLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() S. HaggertyLF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 6-32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |

K. Rocker★
SP
IP
6.0
H
6
ER
2
K
3

T. Alexander
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
0
K
0

G. Collyer
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1

P. Gray
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
10
ER
2
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() K. Rocker★SP | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
![]() T. AlexanderRP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() G. CollyerRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() P. GrayRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 10 | 2 | 5 |
Betting line
TEX -1.5·O/U 8.5·ATH +103/TEX -124