Matchup orbital

DET

8

DET

DET

15-14

Final

Win prob

43/57

AWAY · HOME

CIN

3

CIN

CIN

18-10

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

DET wins

DET 8 · CIN 3 (by 5)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked CIN +7pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
DET2000004208
CIN0101100003

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

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MLBGame · Sun, Apr 26Final
DET

DET15-14

DET

@

18-10CIN

CIN

CIN
SeriesCIN wins series 2-1VegasDET -112

Recap · MLB

etroit Tigers went into Cincinnati Reds and beat them, 8–3.

DET -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 2.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
DET
DETWIN15-148
FINAL
CIN
CIN18-103

Current series

CIN wins series 2-1

Apr 24DETDET8@CINCIN9
Apr 25DETDET2@CINCIN9
Apr 26DETDET8@CINCIN3today

Season series

CIN wins series 2-1

Apr 24DETDET8@CINCIN9
Apr 25DETDET2@CINCIN9
Apr 26DETDET8@CINCIN3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

9.0

High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET-11253%
CINCIN-10852%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowDET ↔ CIN

Biggest swing: 32pp · Top 7th Inning

DETDET
H. Lee

H. Lee

3B

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2.500 OPS

K. Montero

K. Montero

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 5 K · 3 ER · 5 H · 2 BB

CINCIN
J. Bleday

J. Bleday

LF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

R. Lowder

R. Lowder

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 7 K · 2 ER · 6 H · 1 BB

How it ended

DET beat CIN 8-3. Lee's play in the top 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (32pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

CIN vs DET

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

1 lead change

DET8
CIN3

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
DETTop 1st Inning · 2-0
+18pp→ 66% WP

Carpenter · doubled to right, Torres scored and Greene scored, Torkelson to third.

CINBottom 4th Inning · 2-2
+14pp→ 55% WP

Bleday · homered to center (403 feet).

DETTop 7th Inning · 4-3
+32pp→ 66% WP

Lee · homered to center (402 feet), Torres scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
DET2000004208
CIN0101100003

Period scoring

DET won 3 · CIN won 3

2
0

Inn 1

Carpenter 2

0
1

Inn 2

Lowe 1

0
0

Inn 3

0
1

Inn 4

Bleday 1

0
1

Inn 5

McLain 1

0
0

Inn 6

4
0

Inn 7

Lee 2

2
0

Inn 8

Torres 2

0
0

Inn 9

DET
CIN

Game flow · key plays

  1. T7

    Torkelson homered to left center (421 feet).

    DET 5·CIN 3

    −15pp

  2. T7

    Lee homered to center (402 feet), Torres scored.

    DET 4·CIN 3

    −32pp

  3. T6

    Torkelson doubled to center.

    DET 2·CIN 3

    −13pp

  4. B5

    Hayes tripled to right.

    DET 2·CIN 2

    +14pp

  5. B4

    Bleday homered to center (403 feet).

    DET 2·CIN 2

    +14pp

  6. T1

    Carpenter doubled to right, Torres scored and Greene scored, Torkelson to third.

    DET 2·CIN 0

    −18pp

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

CIN

Home

12

Hits

7

1

Errors

1

8

Runs

3

Player box score

DET

DET

15-14

8
K. McGonigle

K. McGonigle★

SS

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

G. Torres

G. Torres★

2B

OPS

1.800

H-AB

3-5

R

3

RBI

2

HR

1

C. Keith

C. Keith★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Greene

R. Greene★

LF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Torkelson

S. Torkelson★

1B

OPS

2.300

H-AB

3-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

K. Carpenter

K. Carpenter★

RF

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

2

HR

0

M. Vierling

M. Vierling★

CF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

W. Perez

W. Perez★

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Rogers

J. Rogers★

C

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

H. Lee

H. Lee

3B

OPS

2.500

H-AB

1-2

R

1

RBI

2

HR

1

J. Jones

J. Jones

RF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Baez

J. Baez

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

12-38

R

8

RBI

8

HR

3

K. Montero

K. Montero★

SP

IP

5.0

H

5

ER

3

K

5

B. Hurter

B. Hurter

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

W. Vest

W. Vest

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

1

K. Finnegan

K. Finnegan

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

B. Hanifee

B. Hanifee

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

0

Team total

IP

9.0

H

7

ER

3

K

7

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 9·DET -112/CIN -108

DraftKings · via ESPN