MLB game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

Matchup orbital

SEA

13-15

Final

Win prob

53/47

AWAY · HOME

STL

14-12

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

SEA 11 · STL 9 (by 2)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked SEA +3pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	2	2	0	1	1	1	0	2	2	11
STL	2	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	0	9

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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MLBGame · Sat, Apr 25Final

SEA13-15

SEA

14-12STL

STL

SeriesSEA wins series 3-0VegasSEA -149

Recap · MLB

eattle Mariners went into St. Louis Cardinals and beat them, 11–9.

SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 7.5 OVER by 12.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal

SEAWIN13-1511

FINAL

STL14-129

Current series

SEA wins series 3-0

Apr 25

SEA3@

STL2

Apr 25

SEA11@

STL9today

Apr 26

SEA3@

STL2

Season series

SEA leads series 2-0

Apr 25

SEA3@

STL2

Apr 25

SEA11@

STL9today

Apr 26

SEA3@

STL2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEA-14960%

STL+12345%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

7.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSEA ↔ STL

Biggest swing: 29pp · Bottom 7th Inning

SEA

W. Wilson

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2.500 OPS

C. Criswell

Top reliever

2.0 IP · 3 K · 2 ER · 3 H

STL

P. Pages

Batter of the gamePerfect day

3-for-3 · 1 HR · 3.000 OPS

M. Liberatore

Starting pitcher

3.1 IP · 3 K · 5 ER · 8 H · 1 BB

How it ended

SEA beat STL 11-9. Church's play in the bottom 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (29pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

STL vs SEA

Score progression

0 lead changes

SEA11

STL9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

STLBottom 7th Inning · 7-9

+29pp→ 89% WP

Church · homered to right center (386 feet), Winn scored.

SEATop 8th Inning · 9-9

+24pp→ 51% WP

Joe · singled to right, Garver scored and Young scored.

SEATop 9th Inning · 11-9

+25pp→ 94% WP

Rivas · singled to center, Crawford scored and Garver scored, Young to second.

Linescore (innings)

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	2	2	0	1	1	1	0	2	2	11
STL	2	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	0	9

Period scoring

SEA won 6 · STL won 2

Inn 1

Rodr 2

Wetherholt 1

Inn 2

Wilson 2

Church 1

Inn 3

Pag 2

Inn 4

Young 1

Inn 5

Arozarena 1

Inn 6

Canzone 1

Inn 7

Church 2

Inn 8

Joe 2

Inn 9

Rivas 2

SEA

STL

Game flow · key plays

T9
Rivas singled to center, Crawford scored and Garver scored, Young to second.
SEA 11·STL 9
−25pp
T8
Joe singled to right, Garver scored and Young scored.
SEA 9·STL 9
−24pp
B7
Church homered to right center (386 feet), Winn scored.
SEA 7·STL 9
+29pp
B3
Pagés homered to left (392 feet), Winn scored.
SEA 4·STL 7
+17pp
T2
Wilson homered to left (384 feet), Garver scored.
SEA 4·STL 2
−20pp
T1
Rodríguez homered to left (402 feet), Raleigh scored.
SEA 2·STL 0
−18pp

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

STL

Home

Hits

Errors

Runs

Player box score

SEA

13-15

R. Refsnyder★

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

RBI

C. Raleigh★

OPS

0.900

H-AB

2-5

RBI

J. Rodriguez★

OPS

1.500

H-AB

3-6

RBI

J. Naylor★

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

RBI

R. Arozarena★

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

RBI

J.P. Crawford★

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

RBI

M. Garver★

OPS

1.100

H-AB

2-4

RBI

C. Young★

OPS

2.250

H-AB

3-4

RBI

W. Wilson★

OPS

2.500

H-AB

1-2

RBI

L. Raley

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

RBI

C. Joe

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

RBI

D. Canzone

OPS

2.000

H-AB

1-1

RBI

L. Rivas

OPS

2.000

H-AB

1-1

RBI

Team total

H-AB

19-42

RBI

Player	H-AB	R	RBI	HR	OPS
R. Refsnyder★RF	1-3	0	0	0	0.667
C. Raleigh★C	2-5	1	0	0	0.900
J. Rodriguez★CF	3-6	2	2	1	1.500
J. Naylor★1B	2-5	0	0	0	0.800
R. Arozarena★LF	1-4	0	1	0	0.500
J.P. Crawford★SS	1-4	1	0	0	0.650
M. Garver★C	2-4	3	0	0	1.100
C. Young★2B	3-4	3	1	1	2.250
W. Wilson★3B	1-2	1	2	1	2.500
L. RaleyRF	0-1	0	0	0	0.000
C. Joe1B	1-2	0	2	0	1.000
D. CanzoneRF	1-1	0	1	0	2.000
L. Rivas3B	1-1	0	2	0	2.000
Team	19-42	11	11	3	—

B. Woo★

3.0

J. Ferrer

2.0

C. Criswell

2.0

M. Brash

1.0

A. Munoz

1.0

Team total

9.0

Player	IP	H	ER	K
B. Woo★SP	3.0	9	7	1
J. FerrerRP	2.0	2	0	1
C. CriswellRP	2.0	3	2	3
M. BrashRP	1.0	0	0	1
A. MunozRP	1.0	0	0	1
Team	9.0	14	9	7

STL

14-12

J. Wetherholt★

OPS

1.800

H-AB

3-5

RBI

I. Herrera★

OPS

1.667

H-AB

1-3

RBI

A. Burleson★

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-5

RBI

J. Walker★

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

RBI

N. Gorman★

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

RBI

M. Winn★

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

RBI

N. Church★

OPS

2.500

H-AB

2-4

RBI

P. Pages★

OPS

3.000

H-AB

3-3

RBI

V. Scott II★

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

RBI

Team total

H-AB

14-37

RBI

Player	H-AB	R	RBI	HR	OPS
J. Wetherholt★2B	3-5	1	1	1	1.800
I. Herrera★C	1-3	1	1	1	1.667
A. Burleson★1B	0-5	0	0	0	0.000
J. Walker★RF	1-4	1	0	0	0.500
N. Gorman★3B	1-4	1	0	0	0.650
M. Winn★SS	2-5	2	1	0	0.800
N. Church★LF	2-4	2	4	2	2.500
P. Pages★C	3-3	1	2	1	3.000
V. Scott II★CF	1-4	0	0	0	0.500

Team	14-37	9	9	5	—

M. Liberatore★

3.1

G. Graceffo

0.2

J. Bruihl

1.0

G. Soriano

1.0

R. Stanek

0.2

J. Romero

0.2

R. O'Brien

1.0

M. Svanson

0.2

Team total

9.0

Player	IP	H	ER	K
M. Liberatore★SP	3.1	8	5	3
G. GraceffoRP	0.2	2	1	0
J. BruihlRP	1.0	0	0	0
G. SorianoRP	1.0	2	1	1
R. StanekRP	0.2	1	0	0
J. RomeroRP	0.2	2	2	0
R. O'BrienRP	1.0	4	2	1
M. SvansonRP	0.2	0	0	1
Team	9.0	19	11	6

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 7.5·SEA -149/STL +123

DraftKings · via ESPN