Matchup orbital

3
ATH
ATH
14-13
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

4
TEX
TEX
14-13
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
TEX wins
ATH 3 · TEX 4 (by 1)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked TEX +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
What's next
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ATH14-13
ATH
14-13TEX
TEX

Recap · MLB
exas Rangers held off Athletics, 4–3. It came down to the final possession.
ATH +1.5 cashed (TEX won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 8.0 by 1.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
ATH wins series 2-1
ATH8@
TEX1
ATH3@
TEX4today
ATH2@
TEX1Season series
Series tied 3-3
TEX8@
ATH1
TEX1@
ATH2
TEX5@
ATH6
TEX9@
ATH6
ATH8@
TEX1
ATH3@
TEX4today
ATH2@
TEX1
TEX@
ATHupcoming
TEX@
ATHupcoming
TEX@
ATHupcoming
ATH@
TEXupcoming
ATH@
TEXupcoming
ATH@
TEXupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TEX -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
ATH+10948%
TEX-13257%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 30pp · Bottom 6th Inning
ATH
C. Cortes
RFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

J. Springs
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 4 K · 4 ER · 5 H · 2 BB
TEX
D. Jansen
CBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 1 R · 2.000 OPS

M. Gore
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 7 K · 3 ER · 6 H · 3 BB
How it ended
TEX beat ATH 4-3. Jung's play in the bottom 6th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (30pp).
Win probability
TEX vs ATH
Score progression
1 lead change
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactHaggerty · reached on bunt single to pitcher, Carter to second, Jansen to third.
Seager · singled to center, Carter scored, Haggerty to third.
Jung · homered to right center (381 feet), Seager scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 |
Period scoring
ATH won 1 · TEX won 1
Inn 1
Inn 2
Hernaiz 1
Inn 3
Thomas 1
Nimmo 1
Inn 4
Inn 5
Inn 6
Jung 2
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
Cortes doubled to right.
ATH 3·TEX 4
−9pp
Jung homered to right center (381 feet), Seager scored.
ATH 3·TEX 4
+30pp
Seager singled to center, Carter scored, Haggerty to third.
ATH 3·TEX 2
+12pp
Haggerty reached on bunt single to pitcher, Carter to second, Jansen to third.
ATH 3·TEX 0
+11pp
Thomas singled to center, Langeliers scored, Kurtz to second.
ATH 2·TEX 0
−9pp
Hernaiz singled to left, Wilson scored.
ATH 1·TEX 0
−10pp
Team stats
ATH
Away
Stat
TEX
Home
7
Hits
5
0
Errors
1
3
Runs
4
Player box score

ATH
14-13

S. Langeliers★
C
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Kurtz★
1B
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Thomas★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

T. Soderstrom★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Wilson★
SS
OPS
1.333
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

M. Muncy★
3B
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Hernaiz★
3B
OPS
1.167
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

A. Wynns★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

Z. Gelof★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Cortes
RF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. McNeil
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-34
R
3
RBI
3
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() S. Langeliers★C | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.800 |
![]() N. Kurtz★1B | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() C. Thomas★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() T. Soderstrom★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Wilson★SS | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.333 |
![]() M. Muncy★3B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
![]() D. Hernaiz★3B | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.167 |
![]() A. Wynns★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() Z. Gelof★CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. CortesRF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() J. McNeil2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 7-34 | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |

J. Springs★
SP
IP
6.0
H
5
ER
4
K
4

S. Barlow
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0

M. Leiter Jr.
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
8.0
H
5
ER
4
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Springs★SP | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
![]() S. BarlowRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() M. Leiter Jr.RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 8.0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |

TEX
14-13

B. Nimmo★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

A. McCutchen★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Seager★
SS
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Burger★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Jung★
3B
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1

E. Duran★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Jansen★
C
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

E. Carter★
CF
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Haggerty★
LF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Pederson
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
5-28
R
4
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() B. Nimmo★RF | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. McCutchen★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Seager★SS | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() J. Burger★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Jung★3B | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() E. Duran★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. Jansen★C | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() E. Carter★CF | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
![]() S. Haggerty★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() J. Pederson1B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 5-28 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |

M. Gore★
SP
IP
5.0
H
6
ER
3
K
7

C. Winn
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

J. Beeks
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

J. Junis
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0

J. Latz
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
7
ER
3
K
10
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() M. Gore★SP | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
![]() C. WinnRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() J. BeeksRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() J. JunisRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() J. LatzRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Betting line
TEX -1.5·O/U 8·ATH +109/TEX -132