Matchup orbital

DET

8

DET

DET

14-13

Final

Win prob

44/56

AWAY · HOME

CIN

9

CIN

CIN

17-9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CIN wins

DET 8 · CIN 9 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked CIN +6pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
DET0131000308
CIN0000214029

What's next

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MLBGame · Fri, Apr 24Final
DET

DET14-13

DET

@

17-9CIN

CIN

CIN
SeriesCIN wins series 2-1VegasDET -115

Recap · MLB

incinnati Reds held off Detroit Tigers, 9–8. It came down to the final possession.

CIN +1.5 cashed (DET lost outright). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 8.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
DET
DET14-138
FINAL
CIN
CINWIN17-99

Current series

CIN wins series 2-1

Apr 24DETDET8@CINCIN9today
Apr 25DETDET2@CINCIN9
Apr 26DETDET8@CINCIN3

Season series

CIN leads series 1-0

Apr 24DETDET8@CINCIN9today
Apr 25DETDET2@CINCIN9
Apr 26DETDET8@CINCIN3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

9.0

High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET-11553%
CINCIN-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowDET ↔ CIN

Biggest swing: 90pp · Bottom 9th Inning

DETDET
K. Carpenter

K. Carpenter

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2.500 OPS

F. Valdez

F. Valdez

SP

Starting pitcher

4.1 IP · 4 K · 2 ER · 4 H · 5 BB

CINCIN
M. McLain

M. McLain

2B

Batter of the game2-HR game

2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2.600 OPS

A. Abbott

A. Abbott

SP

Starting pitcher

4.0 IP · 4 K · 5 ER · 6 H · 2 BB

How it ended

CIN beat DET 9-8. Lowe's play in the bottom 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (90pp).

Win probability

CIN vs DET

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

2 lead changes

DET8
CIN9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
CINBottom 7th Inning · 5-5
+32pp→ 64% WP

McLain · homered to center (419 feet), Myers scored.

DETTop 8th Inning · 8-7
+53pp→ 70% WP

Carpenter · homered to right (368 feet), Keith scored.

CINBottom 9th Inning · 8-9
+90pp→ 100% WP

Lowe · homered to right center (396 feet), Steer scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
DET0131000308
CIN0000214029

Period scoring

DET won 4 · CIN won 4

0
0

Inn 1

1
0

Inn 2

Greene 1

3
0

Inn 3

Vierling 2

1
0

Inn 4

Jones 1

0
2

Inn 5

McLain 2

0
1

Inn 6

Lowe 1

0
4

Inn 7

McLain 2

3
0

Inn 8

Carpenter 2

0
2

Inn 9

Lowe 2

DET
CIN

Game flow · key plays

  1. B9

    Lowe homered to right center (396 feet), Steer scored.

    DET 8·CIN 9

    +90pp

  2. T8

    Carpenter homered to right (368 feet), Keith scored.

    DET 8·CIN 7

    −53pp

  3. B7

    De La Cruz scored on error, Lowe safe at first on throwing error by second baseman Báez, Lowe safe at second on error.

    DET 5·CIN 6

    +21pp

  4. B7

    McLain homered to center (419 feet), Myers scored.

    DET 5·CIN 5

    +32pp

  5. T3

    Vierling doubled to center, McGonigle scored and Torres scored.

    DET 4·CIN 0

    −12pp

  6. T2

    Greene homered to right center (405 feet).

    DET 1·CIN 0

    −12pp

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

CIN

Home

11

Hits

11

1

Errors

0

8

Runs

9

Player box score

DET

DET

14-13

8
J. Jones

J. Jones★

RF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

G. Torres

G. Torres★

2B

OPS

0.600

H-AB

0-2

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

K. McGonigle

K. McGonigle★

SS

OPS

0.833

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Vierling

M. Vierling★

CF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

2

HR

0

D. Dingler

D. Dingler★

C

OPS

0.200

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Greene

R. Greene★

LF

OPS

1.400

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

S. Torkelson

S. Torkelson★

1B

OPS

2.417

H-AB

2-3

R

2

RBI

1

HR

1

H. Lee

H. Lee★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Baez

J. Baez★

SS

OPS

1.250

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

K. Carpenter

K. Carpenter

RF

OPS

2.500

H-AB

1-2

R

1

RBI

2

HR

1

C. Keith

C. Keith

3B

OPS

2.000

H-AB

2-2

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

11-35

R

8

RBI

8

HR

4

F. Valdez

F. Valdez★

SP

IP

4.1

H

4

ER

2

K

4

K. Finnegan

K. Finnegan

RP

IP

1.2

H

2

ER

1

K

4

W. Vest

W. Vest

RP

IP

0.2

H

2

ER

2

K

1

B. Hurter

B. Hurter

RP

IP

0.1

H

1

ER

0

K

1

D. Anderson

D. Anderson

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

K. Jansen

K. Jansen

RP

IP

0.2

H

2

ER

2

K

1

Team total

IP

8.2

H

11

ER

7

K

13

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 9·DET -115/CIN -105

DraftKings · via ESPN