Matchup orbital
8
CLE
CLE
15-12
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
6
TOR
TOR
10-15
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CLE wins
CLE 8 · TOR 6 (by 2)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked TOR +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| TOR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
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CLE15-12
CLE
10-15TOR
TOR
Recap · MLB
leveland Guardians went into Toronto Blue Jays and beat them, 8–6.
CLE -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 6.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
TOR wins series 2-1
CLE8@TOR6todayCLE3@TOR5CLE2@TOR4Season series
CLE leads series 1-0
CLE8@TOR6todayCLE3@TOR5CLE2@TOR4TOR@CLEupcomingTOR@CLEupcomingTOR@CLEupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CLE -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CLE-12155%TOR+10050%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 26pp · Bottom 9th Inning
CLE
A. Martinez
LFBatter of the game2-HR game
2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2.500 OPS
G. Williams
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 4 K · 6 ER · 7 H · 2 BB
TOR
K. Okamoto
3BBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.417 OPS
S. Miles
RPTop reliever
2.0 IP · 2 K · 1 ER · 2 H
How it ended
CLE beat TOR 8-6. Jim's play in the bottom 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (26pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
TOR vs CLE
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactValera · doubled to right, Hoskins scored and Ramírez scored.
Gim · énez doubled to left, Okamoto scored and Sosa scored.
Jim · énez grounded into double play, third to second to first, Giménez out at second, Okamoto to third.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| TOR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Period scoring
CLE won 2 · TOR won 3
Inn 1
Valera 2
Jr. 1
Inn 2
Okamoto 1
Inn 3
Mart 2
Inn 4
Inn 5
Clement 1
Inn 6
DeLauter 1
Gim 2
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- B9
Jiménez grounded into double play, third to second to first, Giménez out at second, Okamoto to third.
CLE 8·TOR 6
−26pp
- B9
Giménez singled to right, Okamoto to second.
CLE 8·TOR 6
+14pp
- B6
Giménez doubled to left, Okamoto scored and Sosa scored.
CLE 8·TOR 6
+13pp
- T3
Martínez homered to right center (398 feet), Hoskins scored.
CLE 7·TOR 3
−11pp
- T1
Martínez homered to right center (388 feet), Valera scored.
CLE 5·TOR 0
−9pp
- T1
Valera doubled to right, Hoskins scored and Ramírez scored.
CLE 3·TOR 0
−15pp
Team stats
CLE
Away
Stat
TOR
Home
10
Hits
9
0
Errors
0
8
Runs
6
Player box score
CLE
15-12
D. Schneemann★
CF
OPS
1.850
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
C. DeLauter★
RF
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Ramirez★
3B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Manzardo★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Hoskins★
1B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0
G. Valera★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
0
A. Martinez★
LF
OPS
2.500
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
4
HR
2
B. Naylor★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Rocchio★
SS
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
10-37
R
8
RBI
8
HR
3
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Schneemann★CF | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.850 |
C. DeLauter★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 |
J. Ramirez★3B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
K. Manzardo★1B | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
R. Hoskins★1B | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
G. Valera★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. Martinez★LF | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2.500 |
B. Naylor★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
B. Rocchio★SS | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Team | 10-37 | 8 | 8 | 3 | — |
G. Williams★
SP
IP
6.0
H
7
ER
6
K
4
H. Gaddis
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
E. Sabrowski
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
C. Smith
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
9
ER
6
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
G. Williams★SP | 6.0 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
H. GaddisRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
E. SabrowskiRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
C. SmithRP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 9 | 6 | 5 |
TOR
10-15
N. Lukes★
RF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
E. Clement★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
V. Guerrero Jr.★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Sanchez★
LF
OPS
1.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
L. Sosa★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Varsho★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Okamoto★
3B
OPS
2.417
H-AB
2-3
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1
A. Gimenez★
SS
OPS
1.500
H-AB
3-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0
T. Heineman★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Schneider
LF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Straw
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
E. Jimenez
DH
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
9-35
R
6
RBI
6
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N. Lukes★RF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
E. Clement★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
V. Guerrero Jr.★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. Sanchez★LF | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.667 |
L. Sosa★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
D. Varsho★CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
K. Okamoto★3B | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.417 |
A. Gimenez★SS | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.500 |
T. Heineman★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
D. SchneiderLF | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
M. StrawRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
E. JimenezDH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 9-35 | 6 | 6 | 2 | — |
M. Scherzer★
SP
IP
2.1
H
6
ER
7
K
0
J. Mantiply
RP
IP
1.2
H
2
ER
0
K
1
S. Miles
RP
IP
2.0
H
2
ER
1
K
2
T. Nance
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
3
M. Fluharty
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
B. Fisher
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
10
ER
8
K
8
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Scherzer★SP | 2.1 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
J. MantiplyRP | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
S. MilesRP | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
T. NanceRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
M. FluhartyRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
B. FisherRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
Betting line
CLE -1.5·O/U 8·CLE -121/TOR +100