Matchup orbital

11
CHW
CHW
9-14
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

5
ARI
ARI
13-10
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CHW wins
CHW 11 · ARI 5 (by 6)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked ARI +13pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 |
| ARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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CHW9-14
CHW
13-10ARI
ARI

Recap · MLB
hicago White Sox went into Arizona Diamondbacks and beat them, 11–5. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
CHW +1.5 cashed (ARI lost outright). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 7.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
CHW win series 2-1
CHW11@
ARI5today
CHW7@
ARI11
CHW4@
ARI1Season series
CHW lead series 1-0
CHW11@
ARI5today
CHW7@
ARI11
CHW4@
ARI1Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
ARI -1.5
Total
9.0
High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CHW+11646%
ARI-14058%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
9.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 16pp · Top 1st Inning
CHW
M. Murakami
1BBatter of the game
3-for-5 · 1 HR · 1.867 OPS

S. Burke
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 3 K · 2 ER · 5 H · 1 BB
ARI
A. Thomas
CFBatter of the game
2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.750 OPS

M. Kelly
SPStarting pitcher
4.1 IP · 5 K · 8 ER · 10 H · 3 BB
How it ended
CHW beat ARI 11-5.
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
ARI vs CHW
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactMontgomery · doubled to center, Benintendi scored and Murakami scored, Vargas to third.
McGuire · grounded out to third.
Vargas · homered to left (372 feet).
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 |
| ARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
Period scoring
CHW won 2 · ARI won 1
Inn 1
Montgomery 2
Inn 2
Murakami 1
Inn 3
Inn 4
Jr. 1
Inn 5
McGuire 1
Thomas 1
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Antonacci 2
Vargas 3
Game flow · key plays
Vargas homered to left (372 feet).
CHW 6·ARI 0
−7pp
Murakami homered to right (426 feet).
CHW 5·ARI 0
−9pp
McGuire grounded out to third.
CHW 4·ARI 0
−10pp
Antonacci tripled to center, Montgomery scored.
CHW 4·ARI 0
−9pp
Montgomery doubled to center, Benintendi scored and Murakami scored, Vargas to third.
CHW 2·ARI 0
−16pp
Vargas walked, Murakami to second, Benintendi to third.
CHW 0·ARI 0
−7pp
Team stats
CHW
Away
Stat
ARI
Home
14
Hits
8
0
Errors
0
11
Runs
5
Player box score

CHW
9-14

A. Benintendi★
LF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
2-6
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Murakami★
1B
OPS
1.867
H-AB
3-5
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1

M. Vargas★
3B
OPS
1.400
H-AB
1-4
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1

C. Montgomery★
SS
OPS
1.400
H-AB
2-5
R
2
RBI
3
HR
1

E. Pereira★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

S. Antonacci★
LF
OPS
1.400
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1

C. Meidroth★
2B
OPS
0.933
H-AB
1-3
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Peters★
CF
OPS
1.200
H-AB
3-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

R. McGuire★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
H-AB
14-38
R
11
RBI
10
HR
4
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() A. Benintendi★LF | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() M. Murakami★1B | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.867 |
![]() M. Vargas★3B | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() C. Montgomery★SS | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() E. Pereira★RF | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() S. Antonacci★LF | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() C. Meidroth★2B | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.933 |
![]() T. Peters★CF | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.200 |
![]() R. McGuire★C | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Team | 14-38 | 11 | 10 | 4 | — |

S. Burke★
SP
IP
6.0
H
5
ER
2
K
3

L. Sims
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

O. Bido
RP
IP
2.0
H
3
ER
3
K
2
IP
9.0
H
8
ER
5
K
6
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() S. Burke★SP | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
![]() L. SimsRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() O. BidoRP | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 8 | 5 | 6 |

ARI
13-10

K. Marte★
2B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Carroll★
RF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

G. Perdomo★
SS
OPS
0.933
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Del Castillo★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Gurriel Jr.★
LF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Fernandez★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Arenado★
3B
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

I. Vargas★
1B
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1

A. Thomas★
CF
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
H-AB
8-33
R
5
RBI
5
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() K. Marte★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() C. Carroll★RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() G. Perdomo★SS | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.933 |
A. Del Castillo★C | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() L. Gurriel Jr.★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() J. Fernandez★1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() N. Arenado★3B | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.417 |
![]() I. Vargas★1B | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() A. Thomas★CF | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.750 |
| Team | 8-33 | 5 | 5 | 2 | — |

M. Kelly★
SP
IP
4.1
H
10
ER
8
K
5

T. Clarke
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
0
K
0

J. Loaisiga
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
0
K
2

K. Ginkel
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

J. McCann
C
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
14
ER
11
K
8
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() M. Kelly★SP | 4.1 | 10 | 8 | 5 |
![]() T. ClarkeRP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() J. LoaisigaRP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
![]() K. GinkelRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() J. McCannC | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 14 | 11 | 8 |
Betting line
ARI -1.5·O/U 9·CHW +116/ARI -140