Matchup orbital

5
ATH
ATH
13-11
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

2
SEA
SEA
10-15
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
ATH wins
ATH 5 · SEA 2 (by 3)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked SEA +4pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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ATH13-11
ATH
10-15SEA
SEA

Recap · MLB
thletics went into Seattle Mariners and beat them, 5–2.
ATH +1.5 cashed (SEA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 8.0 by 1.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
ATH wins series 2-1
ATH6@
SEA4
ATH5@
SEA2today
ATH4@
SEA5Season series
ATH leads series 2-0
ATH6@
SEA4
ATH5@
SEA2today
ATH4@
SEA5
SEA@
ATHupcoming
SEA@
ATHupcoming
SEA@
ATHupcoming
ATH@
SEAupcoming
ATH@
SEAupcoming
ATH@
SEAupcoming
ATH@
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SEA@
ATHupcoming
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ATHupcoming
SEA@
ATHupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
SEA -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
ATH+14341%
SEA-17363%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 18pp · Bottom 5th Inning
ATH
S. Langeliers
CBatter of the game
2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.850 OPS

J. Lopez
SPStarting pitcher
5.1 IP · 1 K · 2 ER · 7 H · 2 BB
SEA
C. Raleigh
CBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.417 OPS

L. Castillo
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 6 K · 2 ER · 5 H · 2 BB
How it ended
ATH beat SEA 5-2. Raleigh's play in the bottom 5th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (18pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
SEA vs ATH
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactRaleigh · homered to left center (367 feet).
Wilson · doubled to left, Soderstrom scored.
Langeliers · homered to center (417 feet).
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
ATH won 5 · SEA won 2
Inn 1
Soderstrom 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Naylor 1
Inn 4
McNeil 1
Inn 5
Raleigh 1
Inn 6
Wilson 1
Inn 7
Langeliers 1
Inn 8
Inn 9
Wilson 1
Game flow · key plays
Langeliers homered to center (417 feet).
ATH 4·SEA 2
−15pp
Wilson doubled to left, Soderstrom scored.
ATH 3·SEA 2
−16pp
Soderstrom doubled to center.
ATH 2·SEA 2
−13pp
Raleigh homered to left center (367 feet).
ATH 2·SEA 2
+18pp
McNeil homered to right center (395 feet).
ATH 2·SEA 1
−15pp
Soderstrom doubled to right, Kurtz scored.
ATH 1·SEA 0
−11pp
Team stats
ATH
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
13
Hits
8
0
Errors
0
5
Runs
2
Player box score

ATH
13-11

N. Kurtz★
1B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Langeliers★
C
OPS
1.850
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

C. Cortes★
RF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Soderstrom★
LF
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Wilson★
SS
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0

J. McNeil★
2B
OPS
1.400
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

M. Muncy★
3B
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Butler★
RF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

Z. Gelof★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
13-39
R
5
RBI
5
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() N. Kurtz★1B | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() S. Langeliers★C | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.850 |
![]() C. Cortes★RF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() T. Soderstrom★LF | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.100 |
![]() J. Wilson★SS | 2-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.800 |
![]() J. McNeil★2B | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() M. Muncy★3B | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.800 |
![]() L. Butler★RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() Z. Gelof★CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Team | 13-39 | 5 | 5 | 2 | — |

J. Lopez★
SP
IP
5.1
H
7
ER
2
K
1

S. Barlow
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
0
K
2

H. Harris
RP
IP
0.1
H
0
ER
0
K
0

J. Perkins
RP
IP
2.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
IP
9.0
H
8
ER
2
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Lopez★SP | 5.1 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
![]() S. BarlowRP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
![]() H. HarrisRP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() J. PerkinsRP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 8 | 2 | 5 |

SEA
10-15

R. Refsnyder★
RF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Raleigh★
C
OPS
2.417
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

J. Rodriguez★
CF
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Naylor★
1B
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

R. Arozarena★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J.P. Crawford★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Garver★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Young★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Rivas★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Raley
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Canzone
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
8-33
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() R. Refsnyder★RF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() C. Raleigh★C | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.417 |
![]() J. Rodriguez★CF | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.417 |
![]() J. Naylor★1B | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
![]() R. Arozarena★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J.P. Crawford★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Garver★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() C. Young★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() L. Rivas★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() L. RaleyRF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. CanzoneRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 8-33 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |

L. Castillo★
SP
IP
5.0
H
5
ER
2
K
6

E. Bazardo
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
1
K
1

G. Speier
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
1
K
0

C. Wilcox
RP
IP
2.0
H
4
ER
1
K
3
IP
9.0
H
13
ER
5
K
10
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() L. Castillo★SP | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
![]() E. BazardoRP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
![]() G. SpeierRP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
![]() C. WilcoxRP | 2.0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Team | 9.0 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
Betting line
SEA -1.5·O/U 8·ATH +143/SEA -173