Matchup orbital

4
NYY
NYY
14-9
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

0
BOS
BOS
9-14
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
NYY wins
NYY 4 · BOS 0 (by 4)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked NYY +2pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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NYY14-9
NYY
9-14BOS
BOS

Recap · MLB
ew York Yankees went into Boston Red Sox and beat them, 4–0.
NYY -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total stayed UNDER 8.5 by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
NYY win series 3-0
NYY4@
BOS0today
NYY4@
BOS1
NYY4@
BOS2Season series
NYY lead series 1-0
NYY4@
BOS0today
NYY4@
BOS1
NYY4@
BOS2
BOS@
NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NYY -1.5
Total
8.5
Standard · 0.0 vs avg
Moneyline
NYY+10050%
BOS-12155%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 20pp · Top 6th Inning
NYY
G. Stanton
DHBatter of the game
2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.750 OPS

L. Gil
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
6.1 IP · 2 K · 0 ER · 2 H · 3 BB
BOS
M. Mayer
2BBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

C. Early
SPStarting pitcher
5.1 IP · 4 K · 3 ER · 5 H · 3 BB
How it ended
NYY beat BOS 4-0. Stanton's play in the top 6th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (20pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
BOS vs NYY
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactStanton · homered to left (369 feet).
Durbin · grounded into double play, shortstop to first, Mayer out at second.
Stanton · doubled to center, Judge scored and Rosario scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Period scoring
NYY won 3 · BOS won 0
Inn 1
Inn 2
Stanton 1
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Inn 6
Stanton 2
Inn 7
Inn 8
Grichuk 1
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
Monasterio flied out to right.
NYY 3·BOS 0
−6pp
Stanton doubled to center, Judge scored and Rosario scored.
NYY 3·BOS 0
−20pp
Rice struck out swinging.
NYY 1·BOS 0
+6pp
Durbin grounded into double play, shortstop to first, Mayer out at second.
NYY 1·BOS 0
−11pp
Caballero grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Chisholm Jr. out at second.
NYY 1·BOS 0
+7pp
Stanton homered to left (369 feet).
NYY 1·BOS 0
−14pp
Team stats
NYY
Away
Stat
BOS
Home
10
Hits
4
0
Errors
0
4
Runs
0
Player box score

NYY
14-9

A. Rosario★
3B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Judge★
RF
OPS
0.933
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Rice★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

G. Stanton★
DH
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1

C. Bellinger★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

R. Grichuk★
LF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Chisholm Jr.★
2B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Caballero★
SS
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Wells★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

R. McMahon
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
10-34
R
4
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() A. Rosario★3B | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() A. Judge★RF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.933 |
![]() B. Rice★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() G. Stanton★DH | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.750 |
![]() C. Bellinger★LF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() R. Grichuk★LF | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() J. Chisholm Jr.★2B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() J. Caballero★SS | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() A. Wells★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() R. McMahon3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 10-34 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |

L. Gil★
SP
IP
6.1
H
2
ER
0
K
2

B. Headrick
RP
IP
0.2
H
1
ER
0
K
1

T. Hill
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0

D. Bednar
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
4
ER
0
K
4
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() L. Gil★SP | 6.1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
![]() B. HeadrickRP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() T. HillRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() D. BednarRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |

BOS
9-14

R. Anthony★
LF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

W. Contreras★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Yoshida★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

W. Abreu★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Story★
SS
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Rafaela★
CF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Mayer★
2B
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Durbin★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Narvaez★
C
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Monasterio
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Duran
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
4-30
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() R. Anthony★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() W. Contreras★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() M. Yoshida★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() W. Abreu★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. Story★SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() C. Rafaela★CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() M. Mayer★2B | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() C. Durbin★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Narvaez★C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() A. MonasterioSS | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. DuranLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 4-30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |

C. Early★
SP
IP
5.1
H
5
ER
3
K
4
J. Anderson
RP
IP
2.0
H
4
ER
1
K
2

T. Samaniego
RP
IP
1.2
H
1
ER
0
K
3
IP
9.0
H
10
ER
4
K
9
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() C. Early★SP | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
J. AndersonRP | 2.0 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
![]() T. SamaniegoRP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | 9.0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
Betting line
NYY -1.5·O/U 8.5·NYY +100/BOS -121