Matchup orbital
12
CIN
CIN
16-8
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
6
TB
TB
12-11
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CIN wins
CIN 12 · TB 6 (by 6)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked CIN +1pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
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CIN16-8
CIN
12-11TB
TB
Recap · MLB
incinnati Reds went into Tampa Bay Rays and beat them, 12–6. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
CIN -1.5 cashed (won by 6). Total cleared the 7.5 OVER by 10.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
CIN wins series 2-1
CIN6@TB1CIN12@TB6todayCIN1@TB6Season series
CIN leads series 2-0
CIN6@TB1CIN12@TB6todayCIN1@TB6Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CIN -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
CIN-11052%TB-11052%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 19pp · Top 1st Inning
CIN
D. Myers
CFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.000 OPS
C. Burns
SPStarting pitcher
5.2 IP · 8 K · 2 ER · 4 H · 2 BB
TB
J. Aranda
1BBatter of the game
1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.933 OPS
S. Matz
SPStarting pitcher
3.0 IP · 4 K · 4 ER · 4 H · 4 BB
How it ended
CIN beat TB 12-6. De La Cruz's play in the top 1st inning drove the biggest swing of the night (19pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
TB vs CIN
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDe La Cruz · homered to right center (414 feet), Myers scored.
Hayes · homered to right (363 feet).
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
Period scoring
CIN won 5 · TB won 1
Inn 1
Cruz 2
Inn 2
Hayes 1
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Steer 1
Inn 6
Stewart 2
Aranda 2
Inn 7
Cruz 1
Inn 8
Inn 9
Cruz 1
DeLuca 2
Game flow · key plays
- T5
Steer homered to left center (387 feet).
CIN 5·TB 0
−4pp
- B2
Feduccia struck out swinging.
CIN 4·TB 0
−3pp
- T2
Myers homered to left center (396 feet).
CIN 4·TB 0
−6pp
- T2
Hayes homered to right (363 feet).
CIN 3·TB 0
−8pp
- T1
De La Cruz homered to right center (414 feet), Myers scored.
CIN 2·TB 0
−19pp
- T1
McLain struck out looking.
CIN 0·TB 0
+3pp
Team stats
CIN
Away
Stat
TB
Home
10
Hits
8
0
Errors
0
12
Runs
6
Player box score
CIN
16-8
D. Myers★
CF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-3
R
4
RBI
1
HR
1
M. McLain★
2B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
2-6
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
E. De La Cruz★
SS
OPS
2.000
H-AB
3-6
R
3
RBI
5
HR
2
S. Stewart★
1B
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
3
HR
0
E. Suarez★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
S. Steer★
LF
OPS
1.933
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
T. Stephenson★
C
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Hinds★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Hayes★
3B
OPS
1.933
H-AB
1-3
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1
H-AB
10-37
R
12
RBI
12
HR
5
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Myers★CF | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2.000 |
M. McLain★2B | 2-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 |
E. De La Cruz★SS | 3-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2.000 |
S. Stewart★1B | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1.100 |
E. Suarez★3B | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
S. Steer★LF | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.933 |
T. Stephenson★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
R. Hinds★RF | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
K. Hayes★3B | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.933 |
| Team | 10-37 | 12 | 12 | 5 | — |
C. Burns★
SP
IP
5.2
H
4
ER
2
K
8
S. Moll
RP
IP
1.1
H
2
ER
0
K
0
P. Johnson
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
K. Nicolas
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
4
K
2
IP
9.0
H
8
ER
6
K
12
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Burns★SP | 5.2 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
S. MollRP | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
P. JohnsonRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
K. NicolasRP | 1.0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
TB
12-11
C. Simpson★
LF
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Caminero★
3B
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Aranda★
1B
OPS
1.933
H-AB
1-3
R
2
RBI
3
HR
1
Y. Diaz★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Fraley★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Mullins★
CF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Palacios★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-2
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
H. Feduccia★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Walls★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. DeLuca
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0
R. Vilade
RF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
8-35
R
6
RBI
6
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Simpson★LF | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
J. Caminero★3B | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.100 |
J. Aranda★1B | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1.933 |
Y. Diaz★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
J. Fraley★RF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
C. Mullins★CF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
R. Palacios★2B | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
H. Feduccia★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
T. Walls★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. DeLucaRF | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 |
R. ViladeRF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
| Team | 8-35 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — |
S. Matz★
SP
IP
3.0
H
4
ER
4
K
4
I. Seymour
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
G. Jax
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
2
K
3
H. Bigge
RP
IP
0.2
H
2
ER
3
K
1
Y. Gomez
RP
IP
2.0
H
2
ER
2
K
2
B. Williamson
2B
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
1
K
0
IP
9.0
H
10
ER
12
K
11
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Matz★SP | 3.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
I. SeymourRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
G. JaxRP | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
H. BiggeRP | 0.2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Y. GomezRP | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
B. Williamson2B | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
Betting line
CIN -1.5·O/U 7.5·CIN -110/TB -110