Matchup orbital

ATL

9

ATL

ATL

16-7

Final

Win prob

58/42

AWAY · HOME

WSH

4

WSH

WSH

10-13

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATL wins

ATL 9 · WSH 4 (by 5)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked ATL +8pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
ATL0002050029
WSH2001010004

Final play

End of the 9th inning

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

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← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Mon, Apr 20Final
ATL

ATL16-7

ATL

@

10-13WSH

WSH

WSH
SeriesATL wins series 3-1VegasATL -156

Recap · MLB

tlanta Braves went into Washington Nationals and beat them, 9–4.

ATL -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 5.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
ATL
ATLWIN16-79
FINAL
WSH
WSH10-134

Current series

ATL wins series 3-1

Apr 20ATLATL9@WSHWSH4today
Apr 21ATLATL4@WSHWSH11
Apr 22ATLATL8@WSHWSH6
Apr 23ATLATL7@WSHWSH2

Season series

ATL leads series 1-0

Apr 20ATLATL9@WSHWSH4today
Apr 21ATLATL4@WSHWSH11
Apr 22ATLATL8@WSHWSH6
Apr 23ATLATL7@WSHWSH2
May 22WSHWSH@ATLATLupcoming
May 23WSHWSH@ATLATLupcoming
May 24WSHWSH@ATLATLupcoming
Jul 30WSHWSH@ATLATLupcoming
Jul 31WSHWSH@ATLATLupcoming
Aug 1WSHWSH@ATLATLupcoming
Aug 2WSHWSH@ATLATLupcoming
Sep 1ATLATL@WSHWSHupcoming
Sep 2ATLATL@WSHWSHupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

ATL -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

ATLATL-15661%
WSHWSH+12944%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowATL WSH

Biggest swing: 23pp · Top 6th Inning

ATLATL
M. Olson

M. Olson

1B

Batter of the game

1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.250 OPS

B. Elder

B. Elder

SP

Starting pitcher

6.2 IP · 6 K · 3 ER · 3 H · 2 BB

WSHWSH
D. Lile

D. Lile

LF

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.833 OPS

J. Irvin

J. Irvin

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 4 K · 3 ER · 3 H

How it ended

ATL beat WSH 9-4. Baldwin's play in the top 6th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (23pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

WSH vs ATL

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

1 lead change

ATL9
WSH4

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
WSHBottom 1st Inning · 0-2
+18pp63% WP

Young · singled to right, Abrams scored and House scored, Lile to third.

ATLTop 4th Inning · 2-2
+21pp57% WP

Olson · homered to center (419 feet), Baldwin scored.

ATLTop 6th Inning · 4-3
+23pp78% WP

Baldwin · doubled to left, Acuña Jr. scored and Yastrzemski scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
ATL0002050029
WSH2001010004

Period scoring

ATL won 3 · WSH won 1

0
2

Inn 1

Young 2

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

2
1

Inn 4

Olson 2

Lile 1

0
0

Inn 5

5
1

Inn 6

Baldwin 2

Young 1

0
0

Inn 7

0
0

Inn 8

2
0

Inn 9

White 1

ATL
WSH

Game flow · key plays

  1. T6

    Harris II singled to center, Riley scored, Albies to third.

    ATL 6·WSH 3

    8pp

  2. T6

    Baldwin doubled to left, Acuña Jr. scored and Yastrzemski scored.

    ATL 4·WSH 3

    23pp

  3. T6

    Yastrzemski safe at first on throwing error by second baseman Nuñez, Yastrzemski safe at second on error.

    ATL 2·WSH 3

    10pp

  4. B4

    Lile homered to right (376 feet).

    ATL 2·WSH 3

    +13pp

  5. T4

    Olson homered to center (419 feet), Baldwin scored.

    ATL 2·WSH 2

    21pp

  6. B1

    Young singled to right, Abrams scored and House scored, Lile to third.

    ATL 0·WSH 2

    +18pp

Team stats

ATL

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

7

Hits

3

1

Errors

3

9

Runs

4

Player box score

ATL

ATL

16-7

9
R. Acuna Jr.

R. Acuna Jr.

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Baldwin

D. Baldwin

C

OPS

1.100

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

2

HR

0

M. Olson

M. Olson

1B

OPS

1.250

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

3

HR

1

A. Riley

A. Riley

3B

OPS

0.200

H-AB

0-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

O. Albies

O. Albies

2B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

M. Harris II

M. Harris II

CF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

D. Smith

D. Smith

1B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

J. Mateo

J. Mateo

SS

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Yastrzemski

M. Yastrzemski

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

2

RBI

0

HR

0

E. White

E. White

CF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

7-34

R

9

RBI

9

HR

1

B. Elder

B. Elder

SP

IP

6.2

H

3

ER

3

K

6

A. Bummer

A. Bummer

RP

IP

0.1

H

0

ER

0

K

0

T. Kinley

T. Kinley

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

J. Payamps

J. Payamps

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

9.0

H

3

ER

3

K

9

Betting line

ATL -1.5·O/U 8·ATL -156/WSH +129

DraftKings · via ESPN