
EDM
17-13-6

MIN
22-9-5
Historical comparables
Historical comparables
No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.
Recap · NHL
innesota Wild held off Edmonton Oilers, 5–2.
MIN -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
EDM · top performer

Leon Draisaitl
C · #29
0
G
2
A
—
SOG
MIN · top performer

Matt Boldy
LW · #12
2
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


EDM
17-13-6
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
MIN
22-9-5
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
4
Season series
MIN leads series 2-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
MIN -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 12 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
MIN beat EDM 5-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| MIN | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Period scoring
EDM won 0 · MIN won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 323 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·19:30
Quinn Hutson shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
·
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·19:29
Matt Savoie faceoff won against Ryan Hartman
·
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·19:29
Goalie Stopped
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·19:28
Max Jones Snap Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·19:05
Yakov Trenin hit Ty Emberson
·
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:55
Danila Yurov faceoff won against Trent Frederic
·
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:55
Goalie Stopped
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:53
Max Jones Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:49
Yakov Trenin hit Ty Emberson
·
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:35
Trent Frederic faceoff won against Danila Yurov
·
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:35
Nico Sturm Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Vladimir Tarasenko (12), Marcus Johansson (16)
· ·
EDM 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:23
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·18:22
Zach Hyman shot blocked by Brock Faber
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·17:54
Giveaway by Brock Faber
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·17:30
Nico Sturm faceoff won against Connor McDavid
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·17:30
Goalie Stopped
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·17:28
Leon Draisaitl Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·17:26
Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Kirill Kaprizov
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·17:09
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Brock Faber
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:44
Leon Draisaitl faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:44
TV Timeout
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:44
On-Ice Official
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·15:56
Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Adam Henrique
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·15:52
Yakov Trenin hit Evan Bouchard
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·15:08
Marcus Foligno hit Ty Emberson
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·15:03
Andrew Mangiapane hit Vincent Hinostroza
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:37
Vasily Podkolzin hit Brock Faber
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:29
Spencer Stastney shot blocked by Kirill Kaprizov
·
EDM 2·MIN 4
Team stats
EDM
Away
Stat
MIN
Home
30
Shots
37
50.0
PCT
50.0
4
PIM
4
29
Faceoffs W
29
5
Blocks
21
11
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
7
Betting line
MIN -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM +114/MIN -135
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
Brock FaberMIN · DBURSTS2799+
Matt BoldyMIN · LWSHOT MPH92.897
Vinnie HinostrozaFLA · CSKATE MPH23.696
Marcus JohanssonMIN · LWSKATE MPH23.296
Quinn HughesMIN · DBURSTS1895
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · MIN favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-135
Close price
-135
Open no-vig
55.1%
Close no-vig
55.1%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit