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FINAL+3MIN
EDM

EDM

17-13-6

25
MIN

MIN

22-9-5

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSat, Dec 20FinalSeriesMIN leads series 2-0VegasMIN -135

Recap · NHL

innesota Wild held off Edmonton Oilers, 5–2.

MIN -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

EDM · top performer

EDM
Leon Draisaitl

Leon Draisaitl

C · #29

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

MIN · top performer

MIN
Matt Boldy

Matt Boldy

LW · #12

2Points

2

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
5
EDM17-13-6MIN22-9-5
EDM

EDM

17-13-6

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
MIN

MIN

22-9-5

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

4

Season series

MIN leads series 2-0

Dec 3MINMIN1@EDMEDM0
Dec 20EDMEDM2@MINMIN5today
Feb 1MINMIN7@EDMEDM3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

EDMEDM+11447%
MINMIN-13557%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 12 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MIN beat EDM 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
EDM2002
MIN3025

Period scoring

EDM won 0 · MIN won 2

2
3

1

0
0

2

0
2

3

EDM
MIN

Play-by-play · 323 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  3. 3rd·19:30

    Quinn Hutson shot blocked by Ryan Hartman

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  4. 3rd·19:29

    Matt Savoie faceoff won against Ryan Hartman

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  5. 3rd·19:29

    Goalie Stopped

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  6. 3rd·19:28

    Max Jones Snap Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  7. 3rd·19:05

    Yakov Trenin hit Ty Emberson

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  8. 3rd·18:55

    Danila Yurov faceoff won against Trent Frederic

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  9. 3rd·18:55

    Goalie Stopped

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  10. 3rd·18:53

    Max Jones Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  11. 3rd·18:49

    Yakov Trenin hit Ty Emberson

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  12. 3rd·18:35

    Trent Frederic faceoff won against Danila Yurov

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  13. 3rd·18:35

    Nico Sturm Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Vladimir Tarasenko (12), Marcus Johansson (16)

    · ·

    EDM 2·MIN 5

  14. 3rd·18:23

    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  15. 3rd·18:22

    Zach Hyman shot blocked by Brock Faber

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  16. 3rd·17:54

    Giveaway by Brock Faber

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  17. 3rd·17:30

    Nico Sturm faceoff won against Connor McDavid

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  18. 3rd·17:30

    Goalie Stopped

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  19. 3rd·17:28

    Leon Draisaitl Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  20. 3rd·17:26

    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Kirill Kaprizov

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  21. 3rd·17:09

    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Brock Faber

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  22. 3rd·16:44

    Leon Draisaitl faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  23. 3rd·16:44

    TV Timeout

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  24. 3rd·16:44

    On-Ice Official

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  25. 3rd·15:56

    Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Adam Henrique

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  26. 3rd·15:52

    Yakov Trenin hit Evan Bouchard

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  27. 3rd·15:08

    Marcus Foligno hit Ty Emberson

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  28. 3rd·15:03

    Andrew Mangiapane hit Vincent Hinostroza

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  29. 3rd·14:37

    Vasily Podkolzin hit Brock Faber

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

  30. 3rd·14:29

    Spencer Stastney shot blocked by Kirill Kaprizov

    ·

    EDM 2·MIN 4

Team stats

EDM

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

30

Shots

37

50.0

PCT

50.0

4

PIM

4

29

Faceoffs W

29

5

Blocks

21

11

Giveaways

16

4

Takeaways

7

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 6.5·EDM +114/MIN -135

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Brock FaberMIN · D
    BURSTS2799+
  • Matt BoldyMIN · LW
    SHOT MPH92.897
  • Vinnie HinostrozaFLA · C
    SKATE MPH23.696
  • Marcus JohanssonMIN · LW
    SKATE MPH23.296
  • Quinn HughesMIN · D
    BURSTS1895

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MIN favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-135

Close price

-135

Open no-vig

55.1%

Close no-vig

55.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR