Sam Houston Bearkats at Troy Trojans
SHSU
TROY
Preview · NCAAF
am Houston Bearkats visit Troy Trojans Saturday at 9/5 - 7:00 PM EDT.
Vegas opened TROY as a 17.5-point favorite with the total at 50.5. TROY's moneyline implies a 92% break-even, SHSU the inverse.
For bettors: the TROY side carries the favorite-tax, the dog gets the points and a plus-money payout. The 50.5 total reads near the league average.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TROY -17.5
Between 14 and —
Total
50.5
Standard · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
SHSU+75012%TROY-120092%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
17.5
0.0 since open
Total
50.5
0.0 since open
Betting line
TROY -17.5·O/U 50.5·SHSU +750/TROY -1200
SP+ matchup · 2025
Bill Connelly's SP+ ratings
cfbfastR
SHSU
league avg
TROY
+7.4
SP+ composite
+0.0
-4.8
31.5
Offense rating
28.0
23.6
23.0
Defense rating
28.0
29.0
-1.1
Special teams
+0.0
▶+0.7