Arkansas State Red Wolves at Memphis Tigers
ARST
MEM
Preview · NCAAF
rkansas State Red Wolves visit Memphis Tigers Saturday at 9/5 - 7:00 PM EDT.
Vegas opened MEM as a 10.5-point favorite with the total at 55.5. MEM's moneyline implies a 81% break-even, ARST the inverse.
For bettors: the MEM side carries the favorite-tax, the dog gets the points and a plus-money payout. The 55.5 total reads high-scoring vs the league average.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
MEM -10.5
Half-pt above key 10
Total
55.5
High-scoring · +4.5 vs avg
Moneyline
ARST+33023%MEM-42581%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
10.5
0.0 since open
Total
55.5
0.0 since open
Betting line
MEM -10.5·O/U 55.5·ARST +330/MEM -425
SP+ matchup · 2025
Bill Connelly's SP+ ratings
cfbfastR
ARST
league avg
MEM
+7.0
SP+ composite
+0.0
▶+7.6
31.3
Offense rating
28.0
▶34.3
25.0
Defense rating
28.0
28.3
+0.7
Special teams
+0.0
▶+1.5