Louisville Cardinals at Ole Miss Rebels
LOU
MISS
Preview · NCAAF
ouisville Cardinals visit Ole Miss Rebels Sunday at 9/6 - 7:30 PM EDT.
Vegas opened MISS as a 6.5-point favorite with the total at 55.5. MISS's moneyline implies a 74% break-even, LOU the inverse.
For bettors: the MISS side carries the favorite-tax, the dog gets the points and a plus-money payout. The 55.5 total reads high-scoring vs the league average.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
MISS -6.5
Half-pt below key 7
Total
55.5
High-scoring · +4.5 vs avg
Moneyline
LOU+22531%MISS-27874%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
6.5
-0.5 since open
Total
55.5
+2.0 since open
Betting line
MISS -6.5·O/U 55.5·LOU +225/MISS -278
SP+ matchup · 2025
Bill Connelly's SP+ ratings
cfbfastR
LOU
league avg
MISS
+12.4
SP+ composite
+0.0
▶+24.0
31.6
Offense rating
28.0
▶40.4
19.8
Defense rating
28.0
▶18.3
+0.6
Special teams
+0.0
▶+1.9