NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+6NY

PHI

45-37

102108

53-29

NBAWed, May 6FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasNY -10.5

PHI · top performer

Kelly Oubre Jr.

G · #9

15.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NY · top performer

OG Anunoby

F · #8

22.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowPHI ↔ NY

Biggest swing: 12pp · 4th Quarter · 6:52

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
P. GeorgeF · #8	43	19	7-18	5-13	0-1	-4	6	4
A. DrummondC · #1	15	6	2-2	—	2-2	-3	8	1
K. Oubre Jr.G · #9	40	19	6-12	3-6	4-4	-8	5	2
T. MaxeyG · #0	47	26	9-23	1-6	7-9	0	3	6
V. EdgecombeG · #77	40	17	6-13	3-7	2-4	-5	5	3
Bench
D. BarlowF · #25	16	6	3-3	—	—	-6	2	0
A. BonaC · #30	16	2	—	—	2-4	+2	7	1
Q. GrimesG · #5	24	7	1-4	1-2	4-4	-6	3	3
Team		102	34-75	13-34	21-28		39	20
DNP: T. Watford, J. Walker, D. Terry, J. Broome, J. Edwards, K. Lowry

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	37	24	9-17	2-7	4-4	+12	5	2
K. TownsC · #32	27	20	6-8	1-1	7-9	+6	10	7
J. HartG · #3	44	5	2-6	1-5	—	+5	7	6
M. BridgesG · #25	38	18	9-13	0-2	—	+7	5	2
J. BrunsonG · #11	41	26	9-21	1-5	7-8	+7	1	6
Bench
J. SochanF · #20	1	0	—	—	—	-1	0	0
A. HukportiC · #55	7	2	1-3	—	—	-3	3	0
J. ClarksonG · #00	8	6	2-4	0-1	2-2	-6	5	0
L. ShametG · #44	8	0	—	—	—	+6	0	0
J. AlvaradoG · #5	7	3	1-2	1-1	—	-1	0	1
M. McBrideG · #2	21	4	1-5	1-4	1-2	-2	1	1
Team		108	40-79	7-26	21-25		37	25
DNP: P. Dadiet, M. Diawara, M. Robinson, T. Kolek

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

Home

34-75

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

40-79

FG %

13-34

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

7-26

21-28

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

21-25

Assists

Turnovers

Playoff series

NY leads series 2-0

May 5

PHI98@

NY137

May 6

PHI102@

NY108today

May 8

NY108@

PHI94

May 10

NY144@

PHI114

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -10.5

Half-pt above key 10

1.0pt· 6h

Total

213.5

Defensive · -12.5 vs avg

Moneyline

PHI+35022%

NY-45582%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -10.5↗SpreadBet NY -10.5↗

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

10.5

-1.0 since open

Total

213.5

+2.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat PHI 108-102. O. Anunoby led with 24 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs PHI

Starters vs bench

production by unit

PHIstarters 85% of pts

Starters(5)

87 PTS · 27 REB · 16 AST

GS 60

Bench(3)

15 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST

GS 16

NYstarters 86% of pts

Starters(5)

93 PTS · 28 REB · 23 AST

GS 83

Bench(6)

15 PTS · 9 REB · 2 AST

GS 6

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

PHI3rd Quarter · 1:49 · 86-86

+12pp→ 35% WP

Kelly Oubre Jr. · enters the game for Paul George

NY4th Quarter · 9:49 · 92-92

+10pp→ 62% WP

Miles McBride · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)

PHI4th Quarter · 6:52 · 99-96

+12pp→ 53% WP

Kelly Oubre Jr. · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Tyrese Maxey assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
PHI	33	29	28	12	102
NY	31	30	28	19	108

Period scoring

PHI won 1 · NY won 2

George 11

Brunson 12

Maxey 15

Brunson 7

Edgecombe 8

Towns 11

Maxey 5

Brunson 8

PHI

Shooting comparison

PHI

45%

34-75

51%

40-79

38%

13-34

3PT

27%

7-26

75%

21-28

84%

21-25

Play-by-play · 445 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHI 102·NY 108
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHI 102·NY 108
+0.7pp
Q4·12.6
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
PHI 102·NY 108
+0.6pp
Q4·16.0
Tyrese Maxey misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
PHI 102·NY 108
+2pp
Q4·22.1
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
PHI 102·NY 108
Q4·22.1
Miles McBride misses free throw 2 of 2
PHI 102·NY 108
−2pp
Q4·22.1
Landry Shamet enters the game for Karl-Anthony Towns
·
PHI 102·NY 108
Q4·22.1
Miles McBride makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 102·NY 108
Q4·22.1
Tyrese Maxey personal take foul
PHI 102·NY 107
+3pp
Q4·25.0
Knicks Full timeout
PHI 102·NY 107
Q4·25.1
Knicks defensive team rebound
PHI 102·NY 107
+1pp
Q4·27.2
Paul George misses 26-foot three point jumper
PHI 102·NY 107
+4pp
Q4·34.8
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
PHI 102·NY 107
−0.7pp
Q4·37.7
Josh Hart misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
PHI 102·NY 107
−2pp
Q4·1:00
Tyrese Maxey makes driving layup
PHI 102·NY 107
−2pp
Q4·1:06
Jalen Brunson makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 100·NY 107
−2pp
Q4·1:06
Quentin Grimes enters the game for Dominick Barlow
·
PHI 100·NY 106
Q4·1:06
Jalen Brunson makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 100·NY 106
+0.5pp
Q4·1:06
VJ Edgecombe shooting foul
PHI 100·NY 105
Q4·1:17
Kelly Oubre Jr. personal foul
PHI 100·NY 105
+4pp
Q4·1:31
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
PHI 100·NY 105
Q4·1:33
Tyrese Maxey misses free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
PHI 100·NY 105
+9pp
Q4·1:33
Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 1 of 2BIG MOMENT
PHI 100·NY 105
−5pp
Q4·1:33
Jalen Brunson shooting foul
PHI 99·NY 105
+4pp
Q4·1:47
Mikal Bridges personal foulBIG MOMENT
PHI 99·NY 105
−8pp
Q4·1:49
Paul George defensive rebound
PHI 99·NY 105
−0.6pp
Q4·1:52
Miles McBride misses 22-foot three point jumper
PHI 99·NY 105
−2pp
Q4·2:08
Dominick Barlow out of bounds bad pass turnover
PHI 99·NY 105
+3pp
Q4·2:19
76ers Full timeout
PHI 99·NY 105
Q4·2:21
Jalen Brunson lost ball turnover (Dominick Barlow steals)
·
PHI 99·NY 105
−3pp

Betting line

NY -10.5·O/U 213.5·PHI +350/NY -455

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks held off Philadelphia 76ers, 108–102.

PHI +10.5 cashed (NY won by 6). Total stayed UNDER 213.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Tyrese MaxeyPHI · G
TOUCHES94.599
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
Paul GeorgePHI · F
DEFL3.596
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

75.1%

ensemble · NY favored

Elo Static
70.3%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
74.8%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
69.7%
P(NY win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

2.28 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

85% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NY vs PHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

175

projections · 150 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Joel EmbiidPHI
25.3± 7.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
25.0± 6.5high

Rebounds

Karl-Anthony TownsNY
10.8± 3.1high
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Joel EmbiidPHI
8.0± 3.5high

Assists

Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
5.9± 1.9high
Josh HartNY
4.6± 1.9high

Blocks

Joel EmbiidPHI
1.3± 1.4high
Adem BonaPHI
1.1± 1.3high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
Paul GeorgePHI
1.5± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

PHI

league avg

52.9%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.9%

46.0%

FG%

47.0

▶

48.0%

114.3

PPG

114.9

▶

116.4

24.1

Assists / G

25.0

▶

27.0

12.8

Turnovers / G

14.0

12.7

Data via ESPN · hoopR