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9:06 - 3RD+3PHI
PHI
45-37
6966
NY
53-29
Live · model lean9:06 - 3rdPolls every 30s
50.8%
NY wins · current
Pre-game: 62.2% NY
PHI 69 · 66 NY
PHI +3
PHI
45-37
NY
53-29
50.8%
NY wins · current
Pre-game: 62.2% NY
PHI 69 · 66 NY
PHI +3
Live · model intelligence
77% confidence
Win prob · home
43.1%
Leverage
83
peak
3-point game
Live edge
—
No fresh in-play moneyline. Live edge needs a snapshot in the last 5 minutes.
Live WP recomputes every 30 seconds from current score, time remaining, and possession state. Leverage measures how much the next play could swing the result.
PHI · top performer
Tyrese Maxey
G · #0
19
Pts
4
Reb
4
Ast
NY · top performer
OG Anunoby
F · #8
13
Pts
1
Reb
1
Ast
Tonight's box score
PHI · NY
PHI
45-37
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | GMSC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8.2 | |
| 13 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 9.5 | |
| 26 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6.9 | |
| 26 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 13.2 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 7.5 | |
| 13 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 4.6 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | |
| Team | 69 | 26 | 13 | — | |
| DNP: T. Watford, J. Walker, D. Terry, J. Broome, J. Edwards, D. Barlow, K. Lowry | |||||
NY
53-29
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | GMSC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11.7 | |
| 11 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 11.6 | |
| 23 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3.1 | |
| 22 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10.8 | |
| 23 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 10.3 | |
| 8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 5.7 | |
| 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -0.5 | |
| Team | 66 | 16 | 16 | — | |
| DNP: P. Dadiet, M. Diawara, M. Robinson, T. Kolek | |||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
50
FG %
52
13
Ast
16
Playoff series
NY leads series 1-0
PHI98@NY137PHI@NYtodayNY@PHIupcomingNY@PHIupcomingPHI@NYupcomingNY@PHIupcomingPHI@NYupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NY -10.5
Half-pt above key 10
1.0pt· 6h
Total
213.5
Defensive · -12.5 vs avg
Moneyline
PHI+35022%NY-45582%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 200 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
10.5
-1.0 since open
Total
213.5
+2.0 since open
Live · top performers so far
9:06 - 3rdRecent swing: 7pp · 3rd Quarter · 10:39
Paul George de · fensive rebound
PHIT. Maxey
GLeading · 9:06 - 3rd · 26 min
19 PTS · 4 REB · 4 AST
On pace: 35 PTS · 7 REB · 7 AST
NYO. Anunoby
FLeading · 9:06 - 3rd · 22 min
13 PTS · 1 REB · 1 AST
On pace: 28 PTS · 2 REB · 2 AST
How it's going
PHI lead NY 69-66 (9:06 - 3rd). T. Maxey led with 19 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST.
Win probability
NY vs PHI
Score progression
13 lead changes
Starters vs bench
production by unitPHIstarters 90% of ptsStarters(5)
60 PTS · 18 REB · 11 AST
GS 45
Bench(2)
7 PTS · 8 REB · 2 AST
GS 7
NYstarters 83% of ptsStarters(5)
55 PTS · 7 REB · 14 AST
GS 48
Bench(6)
11 PTS · 9 REB · 2 AST
GS 7
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactJalen Brunson · makes free throw 2 of 2
VJ Edgecombe · lost ball turnover (OG Anunoby steals)
76ers delay of game violation
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 33 | 29 | 7 | 69 |
| NY | 31 | 30 | 5 | 66 |
Period scoring
PHI won 2 · NY won 1
Q1
George 11
Brunson 12
Q2
Maxey 15
Brunson 7
Q3
Edgecombe 3
Towns 3
Shooting comparison
50%
23-46
FG
52%
26-50
47%
9-19
3PT
29%
4-14
70%
14-20
FT
83%
10-12
Game flow · key plays
Karl-Anthony Towns makes 24-foot three point jumper (Josh Hart assists)
PHI 65·NY 66
+6pp
VJ Edgecombe makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kelly Oubre Jr. assists)
PHI 65·NY 63
−7pp
76ers delay of game violation
PHI 62·NY 60
−8pp
VJ Edgecombe lost ball turnover (OG Anunoby steals)
PHI 54·NY 50
−8pp
OG Anunoby makes running dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)
PHI 54·NY 52
+6pp
Jalen Brunson makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 25·NY 22
−7pp
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
NY
Home
23-46
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
26-50
50
FG %
52
9-19
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
4-14
14-20
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
10-12
13
Assists
16
12
Turnovers
6
Betting line
NY -10.5·O/U 213.5·PHI +350/NY -455
The receipts
-1.29
CLV pp
Open price
+225
Close price
+240
Open no-vig
29.5%
Close no-vig
28.2%
Market faded the model
Player projections
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
175
projections · 150 high confidence
Points
Rebounds
Assists
Blocks
Steals
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
63.5%
ensemble · NY favored
Elo Static
62.2%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
66.7%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Pace Efficiency
61.7%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
2.25 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
85% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
3 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights are recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen
