PHI
45-37
BOS
56-26
PHI · top performer
Paul George
F · #8
17
Pts
4
Reb
1
Ast
BOS · top performer
Jayson Tatum
F · #0
25
Pts
11
Reb
7
Ast
NBA · Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 28 | 17 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 8-9 | -10 | 4 | 1 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-3 | — | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| 31 | 10 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | -21 | 7 | 2 | |
| 37 | 21 | 8-20 | 1-4 | 4-5 | -29 | 1 | 8 | |
| 34 | 13 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 1-1 | -26 | 3 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 7 | 6 | 3-4 | — | — | -1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | — | — | — | -3 | 1 | 0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | -2 | 2 | 2 | |
| 17 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | -21 | 6 | 0 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1-6 | — | 2-2 | -15 | 3 | 0 | |
| 21 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | -19 | 5 | 2 | |
| 25 | 7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | — | -13 | 4 | 2 | |
| Team | 91 | 35-90 | 4-23 | 17-23 | 40 | 20 | ||
| DNP: J. Broome, K. Lowry | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 32 | 25 | 9-17 | 1-7 | 6-6 | +20 | 11 | 7 | |
| 28 | 12 | 4-6 | 4-6 | — | +14 | 7 | 2 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5-5 | — | 3-4 | +12 | 2 | 1 | |
| 33 | 10 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-1 | +24 | 3 | 6 | |
| 30 | 26 | 11-21 | 2-2 | 2-2 | +23 | 4 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 18 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | — | +13 | 6 | 3 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-4 | +5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 34 | 12 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 2-3 | +21 | 3 | 6 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | — | +3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | — | +8 | 2 | 0 | |
| 15 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | +14 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1 | 0 | — | — | — | +3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Team | 123 | 45-90 | 16-44 | 17-22 | 43 | 31 | ||
| DNP: D. Banton, A. Williams, M. Shulga | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
39
FG %
50
20
Ast
31
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
BOS
Home
35-90
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
45-90
39
FG %
50
4-23
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
16-44
17-23
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
17-22
20
Assists
31
14
Turnovers
8
Playoff series
BOS leads series 1-0
PHI91@BOS123todayPHI111@BOS97BOS108@PHI100BOS128@PHI96PHI113@BOS97BOS93@PHI106PHI109@BOS100Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
BOS -12.5
Between 10 and —
Total
217.5
Defensive · -8.5 vs avg
Moneyline
PHI+57515%BOS-85089%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 15 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
12.5
0.0 since open
Total
217.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
BOS beat PHI 123-91. J. Tatum paced them with 25 PTS, 11 REB, 7 AST. BOS outscored the other side 33-18 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
BOS vs PHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitPHIstarters 70% of ptsStarters(5)
64 PTS · 18 REB · 14 AST
GS 35
Bench(7)
27 PTS · 22 REB · 6 AST
GS 17
BOSstarters 70% of ptsStarters(5)
86 PTS · 27 REB · 19 AST
GS 78
Bench(7)
37 PTS · 16 REB · 12 AST
GS 28
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 18 | 28 | 25 | 20 | 91 |
| BOS | 33 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 123 |
Period scoring
PHI won 0 · BOS won 4
Q1
Maxey 9
Tatum 10
Q2
Edgecombe 9
Tatum 11
Q3
George 8
Edgecombe 23
Q4
Grimes 7
Hauser 6
Shooting comparison
39%
35-90
FG
50%
45-90
17%
4-23
3PT
36%
16-44
74%
17-23
FT
77%
17-22
Play-by-play · 479 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHI 91·BOS 123
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHI 91·BOS 123
- Q4·11.6
shot clock turnover
PHI 91·BOS 123
- Q4·36.5
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
PHI 91·BOS 123
- Q4·38.1
Quentin Grimes misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot
PHI 91·BOS 123
- Q4·44.7
Baylor Scheierman makes 25-foot running jump shot (Jordan Walsh assists)
·
PHI 91·BOS 123
- Q4·48.8
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
PHI 91·BOS 120
- Q4·49.8
Hugo Gonzalez blocks Dominick Barlow 's 5-foot dunk
·
PHI 91·BOS 120
- Q4·1:01
Hugo Gonzalez enters the game for Payton Pritchard
·
PHI 91·BOS 120
- Q4·1:01
Celtics Full timeout
PHI 91·BOS 120
- Q4·1:01
76ers defensive team rebound
PHI 91·BOS 120
- Q4·1:02
Baylor Scheierman misses 33-foot three point jumper
PHI 91·BOS 120
- Q4·1:23
Trendon Watford makes running layup (Dalen Terry assists)
·
PHI 91·BOS 120
- Q4·1:28
Dalen Terry defensive rebound
PHI 89·BOS 120
- Q4·1:30
Luka Garza misses 26-foot three point jumper
PHI 89·BOS 120
- Q4·1:43
Trendon Watford makes driving layup
PHI 89·BOS 120
- Q4·1:52
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
PHI 87·BOS 120
- Q4·1:54
Baylor Scheierman misses 30-foot three point jumper
PHI 87·BOS 120
- Q4·2:15
Trendon Watford makes 2-foot driving floating jump shot
PHI 87·BOS 120
- Q4·2:32
Ron Harper Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jordan Walsh assists)
·
PHI 85·BOS 120
- Q4·2:41
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
PHI 85·BOS 117
- Q4·2:42
Dominick Barlow misses driving layup
PHI 85·BOS 117
- Q4·2:52
Ron Harper Jr. makes two point shot
PHI 85·BOS 117
- Q4·3:11
Dominick Barlow makes 2-foot reverse layup (Dalen Terry assists)
·
PHI 85·BOS 115
- Q4·3:22
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
PHI 83·BOS 115
- Q4·3:23
Payton Pritchard misses 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
PHI 83·BOS 115
- Q4·3:39
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
PHI 83·BOS 115
- Q4·3:41
Dalen Terry misses 26-foot three point jumper
PHI 83·BOS 115
- Q4·3:57
Jordan Walsh makes 24-foot three point jumper (Payton Pritchard assists)
·
PHI 83·BOS 115
- Q4·4:10
Dalen Terry makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 83·BOS 112
Betting line
BOS -12.5·O/U 217.5·PHI +575/BOS -850
Recap · NBA
oston Celtics held off Philadelphia 76ers, 123–91. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
BOS -12.5 cashed (won by 32). Total stayed UNDER 217.5 by 3.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort
Jaylen BrownBOS · GUSG%35.699+
Tyrese MaxeyPHI · GTOUCHES94.599- Jayson TatumBOS · FTOUCHES8998
Neemias QuetaBOS · CCONT9.197- Paul GeorgePHI · FDEFL3.596
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · PHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
BOS vs PHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
165
projections · 135 high confidence
Points
- Jaylen BrownBOS26.6± 6.3high
- Joel EmbiidPHI25.3± 7.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI25.0± 6.5high
Rebounds
- Jayson TatumBOS10.4± 3.8high
- Neemias QuetaBOS8.4± 3.6high
- Joel EmbiidPHI8.0± 3.5high
Assists
- Jayson TatumBOS6.4± 2.6high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI5.9± 1.9high
- Payton PritchardBOS5.4± 2.2high
Blocks
- Joel EmbiidPHI1.3± 1.4high
- Derrick WhiteBOS1.1± 1.3high
- Adem BonaPHI1.1± 1.3high
Steals
- Paul GeorgePHI1.5± 1.1high
- Jayson TatumBOS1.4± 1.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI1.2± 0.9high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
PHI
league avg
BOS
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶55.1%
46.0%
FG%
47.0
46.5%
114.3
PPG
114.9
114.2
24.1
Assists / G
25.0
▶24.6
12.8
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶11.5