POR
33-36
BKN
17-51
POR · top performer
Toumani Camara
F · #33
18
Pts
5
Reb
2
Ast
BKN · top performer
Chaney Johnson
F · #31
17
Pts
9
Reb
1
Ast
Biggest swing: 7pp · 1st Quarter · 5:43
NBA · Portland Trail Blazers at Brooklyn Nets · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 32 | 12 | 5-13 | 2-5 | — | +1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 32 | 18 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | +19 | 5 | 2 | |
| 34 | 18 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 9-12 | +22 | 6 | 5 | |
| 24 | 14 | 4-7 | — | 6-8 | +14 | 11 | 2 | |
| 27 | 11 | 5-11 | 1-3 | — | +30 | 9 | 5 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 25 | 14 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-1 | +9 | 3 | 1 | |
| 15 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-5 | — | +3 | 1 | 2 | |
| 20 | 16 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | +4 | 1 | 4 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2-2 | — | — | -10 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | +2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 21 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | +1 | 3 | 3 | |
| Team | 114 | 41-80 | 11-26 | 21-29 | 44 | 30 | ||
| DNP: R. Williams III, D. Lillard, V. Krejci, S. Sharpe | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 20 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-3 | — | -21 | 1 | 0 | |
| 24 | 8 | 3-9 | 2-4 | — | -14 | 5 | 4 | |
| 20 | 12 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | -21 | 11 | 1 | |
| 18 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | — | -22 | 1 | 0 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | -19 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 26 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-4 | — | -7 | 6 | 2 | |
| 25 | 17 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 3-6 | +6 | 9 | 1 | |
| 25 | 8 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | +1 | 4 | 1 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | +7 | 4 | 4 | |
| 23 | 15 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 6-6 | -9 | 2 | 1 | |
| 24 | 15 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | +4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Team | 95 | 33-86 | 9-34 | 20-29 | 44 | 19 | ||
| DNP: J. Wilson, J. Minott | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
51
FG %
38
30
Ast
19
Team stats
POR
Away
Stat
BKN
Home
41-80
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
33-86
51
FG %
38
11-26
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
9-34
21-29
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
20-29
30
Assists
19
18
Turnovers
16
Season series
POR leads series 1-0
POR114@BKN95todayBKN99@POR134Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
POR -10.5
Half-pt above key 10
Total
221.5
Standard · -4.5 vs avg
Moneyline
POR-52084%BKN+39020%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 8 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
10.5
0.0 since open
Total
221.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
POR beat BKN 114-95. T. Camara led with 18 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST. POR outscored the other side 35-20 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
BKN vs POR
Starters vs bench
production by unitPORstarters 64% of ptsStarters(5)
73 PTS · 35 REB · 19 AST
GS 61
Bench(6)
41 PTS · 9 REB · 11 AST
GS 30
BKNstarters 35% of ptsStarters(5)
33 PTS · 19 REB · 6 AST
GS 17
Bench(6)
62 PTS · 25 REB · 13 AST
GS 52
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactNic Claxton · misses free throw 1 of 2
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 35 | 30 | 26 | 23 | 114 |
| BKN | 20 | 21 | 24 | 30 | 95 |
Period scoring
POR won 3 · BKN won 1
Q1
Henderson 9
Claxton 9
Q2
Murray 12
Traore 4
Q3
Avdija 8
Williams 7
Q4
Holiday 4
Liddell 18
Shooting comparison
51%
41-80
FG
38%
33-86
42%
11-26
3PT
26%
9-34
72%
21-29
FT
69%
20-29
Play-by-play · 506 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
POR 114·BKN 95
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
POR 114·BKN 95
- Q4·6.7
shot clock turnover
POR 114·BKN 95
- Q4·31.1
Tyson Etienne traveling turnover
POR 114·BKN 95
- Q4·43.5
Blake Wesley makes 1-foot driving dunk
POR 114·BKN 95
- Q4·58.7
Jayson Kent defensive rebound
POR 112·BKN 95
- Q4·1:03
Malachi Smith misses 22-foot three point jumper
POR 112·BKN 95
- Q4·1:15
Blake Wesley makes driving layup
POR 112·BKN 95
- Q4·1:35
Tyson Etienne makes 26-foot three point jumper
POR 110·BKN 95
- Q4·1:47
Jayson Kent makes 1-foot layup (Matisse Thybulle assists)
·
POR 110·BKN 92
- Q4·1:54
Chaney Johnson makes dunk
POR 108·BKN 92
- Q4·1:54
Chaney Johnson offensive rebound
POR 108·BKN 90
- Q4·1:54
Ben Saraf misses driving layup
POR 108·BKN 90
- Q4·2:16
Matisse Thybulle makes 25-foot three point jumper (Sidy Cissoko assists)
·
POR 108·BKN 90
- Q4·2:38
Ben Saraf makes running dunk (Malachi Smith assists)
·
POR 105·BKN 90
- Q4·2:45
Matisse Thybulle bad pass turnover (E.J. Liddell steals)
·
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:09
Jayson Kent enters the game for Toumani Camara
·
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:09
Blake Wesley enters the game for Jerami Grant
·
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:09
Matisse Thybulle enters the game for Deni Avdija
·
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:09
Trail Blazers Full timeout
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:09
Sidy Cissoko enters the game for Donovan Clingan
·
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:09
Malachi Smith traveling turnover
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:19
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:22
Kris Murray enters the game for Jrue Holiday
·
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:22
Toumani Camara misses free throw 1 of 1
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:22
E.J. Liddell shooting foul
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:22
Toumani Camara makes tip shot
POR 105·BKN 88
- Q4·3:22
Toumani Camara offensive rebound
POR 103·BKN 88
- Q4·3:23
Jerami Grant misses 25-foot three point jumper
POR 103·BKN 88
- Q4·3:36
Chaney Johnson makes tip shot
POR 103·BKN 88
Betting line
POR -10.5·O/U 221.5·POR -520/BKN +390
Recap · NBA
ortland Trail Blazers went into Brooklyn Nets and beat them, 114–95.
POR -10.5 cashed (won by 19). Total stayed UNDER 221.5 by 12.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 players in cohort
Deni AvdijaPOR · FDRIVES20.899+
Jrue HolidayPOR · GTOUCHES84.698
Ziaire WilliamsBKN · FDEFL3.295
Donovan ClinganPOR · CCONT7.694
Nic ClaxtonCHI · CCONT7.392
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · POR favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
BKN vs POR.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
160
projections · 140 high confidence
Points
- Deni AvdijaPOR25.3± 7.7high
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN22.7± 6.2high
- Ja MorantPOR19.6± 8.8high
Rebounds
- Donovan ClinganPOR10.3± 2.7high
- Robert Williams IIIPOR7.4± 1.6high
- Julius RandleBKN7.2± 2.1high
Assists
- Ja MorantPOR8.1± 3.9high
- Deni AvdijaPOR6.3± 3.2high
- Jrue HolidayPOR6.3± 3.0high
Blocks
- Donovan ClinganPOR1.5± 1.2high
- Robert Williams IIIPOR1.1± 0.9high
- Josh MinottBKN0.9± 1.2high
Steals
- Matisse ThybullePOR1.7± 1.8high
- Toumani CamaraPOR1.4± 1.4high
- Josh MinottBKN1.3± 1.0high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
POR
league avg
BKN
53.0%
Effective FG%
54.4
52.0%
45.1%
FG%
47.0
44.3%
114.6
PPG
114.9
105.9
25.0
Assists / G
25.0
25.0
16.2
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶15.0