BKN
16-47
DET
45-17
BKN · top performer
Michael Porter Jr.
F · #17
30
Pts
13
Reb
1
Ast
DET · top performer
Jalen Duren
C · #0
17
Pts
14
Reb
2
Ast
Biggest swing: 18pp · 4th Quarter · 1:28
NBA · Brooklyn Nets at Detroit Pistons · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 39 | 30 | 10-25 | 3-12 | 7-7 | +13 | 13 | 1 | |
| 31 | 16 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 7-7 | -7 | 3 | 2 | |
| 28 | 2 | 1-5 | — | — | -6 | 6 | 4 | |
| 29 | 7 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | +12 | 4 | 2 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1-5 | — | — | -13 | 1 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 32 | 23 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 8-8 | +10 | 4 | 0 | |
| 19 | 8 | 2-3 | — | 4-4 | +13 | 3 | 4 | |
| 21 | 13 | 6-10 | 1-1 | — | +6 | 7 | 4 | |
| 21 | 6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | — | -7 | 4 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | — | — | — | -11 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team | 107 | 35-80 | 10-30 | 27-28 | 45 | 20 | ||
| DNP: J. Wilson, J. Minott, G. Nelson | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 34 | 18 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | +4 | 10 | 0 | |
| 23 | 15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 6-7 | -14 | 0 | 4 | |
| 32 | 17 | 7-19 | — | 3-4 | -6 | 14 | 2 | |
| 29 | 8 | 3-9 | 2-4 | — | -1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 35 | 11 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | +5 | 1 | 9 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 20 | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5-8 | +5 | 4 | 0 | |
| 18 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | +10 | 0 | 0 | |
| 18 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-3 | — | -21 | 3 | 0 | |
| 16 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-4 | — | +4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | +4 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team | 105 | 36-85 | 10-26 | 23-31 | 37 | 21 | ||
| DNP: P. Reed, T. Smith, B. Klintman, C. Lanier | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
44
FG %
42
20
Ast
21
Team stats
BKN
Away
Stat
DET
Home
35-80
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
36-85
44
FG %
42
10-30
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
10-26
27-28
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
23-31
20
Assists
21
19
Turnovers
12
Season series
DET leads series 2-1
DET125@BKN107BKN77@DET130BKN107@DET105todayDET138@BKN100Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
DET -13.5
Between 10 and —
Total
214.5
Defensive · -11.5 vs avg
Moneyline
BKN+55015%DET-80089%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
13.5
0.0 since open
Total
214.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
BKN beat DET 107-105. M. Porter Jr. paced them with 30 PTS, 13 REB, 1 AST. DET outscored the other side 32-19 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
DET vs BKN
Starters vs bench
production by unitBKNstarters 53% of ptsStarters(5)
57 PTS · 27 REB · 11 AST
GS 37
Bench(5)
50 PTS · 18 REB · 9 AST
GS 46
DETstarters 66% of ptsStarters(5)
69 PTS · 28 REB · 19 AST
GS 61
Bench(5)
36 PTS · 9 REB · 2 AST
GS 23
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactZiaire Williams · makes 22-foot three point jumper (Danny Wolf assists)
Daniss Jenkins · misses 11-foot fade away jump shot
Duncan Robinson · misses 23-foot three point jumper
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 19 | 27 | 27 | 34 | 107 |
| DET | 32 | 30 | 22 | 21 | 105 |
Period scoring
BKN won 2 · DET won 2
Q1
Jr. 9
Harris 18
Q2
Williams 10
Duren 11
Q3
Jr. 8
Robinson 14
Q4
Jr. 9
Harris 7
Shooting comparison
44%
35-80
FG
42%
36-85
33%
10-30
3PT
38%
10-26
96%
27-28
FT
74%
23-31
Play-by-play · 509 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·0.1
Pistons offensive team rebound
BKN 107·DET 105
−0.8pp
- Q4·0.6
Jalen Duren misses 11-foot jumper
BKN 107·DET 105
−2pp
- Q4·1.0
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
BKN 107·DET 105
−5pp
- Q4·3.7
Duncan Robinson misses 23-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
BKN 107·DET 105
−16pp
- Q4·7.3
Day'Ron Sharpe enters the game for Danny Wolf
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·7.3
Nic Claxton enters the game for Michael Porter Jr.
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·7.3
Kevin Huerter enters the game for Ronald Holland II
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·7.3
Duncan Robinson enters the game for Javonte Green
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·7.3
Noah Clowney out of bounds lost ball turnoverBIG MOMENT
BKN 107·DET 105
+7pp
- Q4·9.1
Danny Wolf enters the game for Nic Claxton
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·9.1
Michael Porter Jr. enters the game for Day'Ron Sharpe
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·9.1
Ronald Holland II enters the game for Kevin Huerter
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·9.1
Javonte Green enters the game for Duncan Robinson
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·9.1
Nets Full timeout
BKN 107·DET 105
−2pp
- Q4·11.1
Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
BKN 107·DET 105
−4pp
- Q4·12.8
Daniss Jenkins misses 11-foot fade away jump shotBIG MOMENT
BKN 107·DET 105
−15pp
- Q4·25.1
Noah Clowney enters the game for Michael Porter Jr.
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·25.1
Nic Claxton enters the game for Danny Wolf
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·25.1
Kevin Huerter enters the game for Javonte Green
·
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·25.1
Pistons Full timeout
BKN 107·DET 105
- Q4·25.1
shot clock turnover BIG MOMENT
BKN 107·DET 105
+11pp
- Q4·34.5
Nets Full timeout
BKN 107·DET 105
−3pp
- Q4·49.1
Duncan Robinson makes free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
BKN 107·DET 105
−10pp
- Q4·49.1
Michael Porter Jr. enters the game for Noah Clowney
·
BKN 107·DET 104
- Q4·49.1
Duncan Robinson makes free throw 1 of 2
BKN 107·DET 104
+3pp
- Q4·49.1
Danny Wolf shooting foulBIG MOMENT
BKN 107·DET 103
+14pp
- Q4·53.7
Noah Clowney enters the game for Michael Porter Jr.
·
BKN 107·DET 103
- Q4·53.7
Pistons Full timeout
BKN 107·DET 103
Betting line
DET -13.5·O/U 214.5·BKN +550/DET -800
Recap · NBA
rooklyn Nets went into Detroit Pistons and beat them, 107–105. Decided by 2.
BKN +13.5 cashed (DET lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 214.5 by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort- Jalen DurenDET · CTS%68.898
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN · FUSG%29.995
Ziaire WilliamsBKN · FDEFL3.295
Nic ClaxtonCHI · CCONT7.392
Day'Ron SharpeBKN · CTS%63.890
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · BKN favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
DET vs BKN.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
155
projections · 130 high confidence
Points
- Cade CunninghamDET26.1± 9.6high
- Michael Porter Jr.BKN22.7± 6.2high
- Julius RandleBKN17.3± 6.4high
Rebounds
- Jalen DurenDET9.1± 3.9high
- Julius RandleBKN7.2± 2.1high
- Ausar ThompsonDET7.1± 3.2high
Assists
- Cade CunninghamDET8.2± 2.8high
- Ben SarafBKN3.7± 1.9high
- Malachi SmithBKN3.5± 3.5medium
Blocks
- Ausar ThompsonDET1.5± 1.3high
- Jalen DurenDET1.0± 1.1high
- Josh MinottBKN0.9± 1.2high
Steals
- Ausar ThompsonDET2.0± 1.8high
- Cade CunninghamDET1.4± 1.2high
- Josh MinottBKN1.3± 1.0high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
BKN
league avg
DET
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶54.2%
44.3%
FG%
47.0
▶48.0%
105.9
PPG
114.9
▶115.9
25.0
Assists / G
25.0
▶27.0
15.0
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶14.3