UTAH
18-44
PHI
34-28
UTAH · top performer
Keyonte George
G · #3
30
Pts
4
Reb
2
Ast
PHI · top performer
Jabari Walker
F · #33
22
Pts
10
Reb
2
Ast
Biggest swing: 26pp · 4th Quarter · 16.4
NBA · Utah Jazz at Philadelphia 76ers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 22 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | +3 | 11 | 3 | |
| 28 | 9 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | +15 | 6 | 3 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 | — | +5 | 3 | 0 | |
| 30 | 30 | 10-24 | 5-11 | 5-6 | -2 | 4 | 2 | |
| 31 | 12 | 5-16 | 2-7 | — | -4 | 2 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 19 | 11 | 4-6 | 3-5 | — | +1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 20 | 7 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 1-1 | -2 | 2 | 2 | |
| 21 | 4 | 2-3 | — | — | -7 | 8 | 1 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| 19 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | -15 | 2 | 3 | |
| 26 | 18 | 5-10 | — | 8-8 | -14 | 0 | 5 | |
| Team | 102 | 36-88 | 12-39 | 18-19 | 42 | 22 | ||
| DNP: K. Love, S. Mykhailiuk | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 22 | 7 | 3-6 | — | 1-1 | +6 | 7 | 3 | |
| 25 | 7 | 3-8 | — | 1-1 | -2 | 4 | 1 | |
| 29 | 12 | 6-8 | — | — | +5 | 5 | 1 | |
| 31 | 16 | 7-12 | 0-4 | 2-3 | +4 | 5 | 2 | |
| 38 | 25 | 8-22 | 2-10 | 7-7 | +8 | 2 | 6 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 28 | 22 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 4-6 | +5 | 10 | 2 | |
| 15 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | — | +6 | 2 | 4 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | +1 | 3 | 1 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | — | -4 | 1 | 1 | |
| 9 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | -7 | 2 | 1 | |
| 19 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-6 | — | -2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Team | 106 | 40-88 | 9-35 | 17-21 | 43 | 24 | ||
| DNP: M. Beauchamp, D. Terry | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
41
FG %
45
22
Ast
24
Team stats
UTAH
Away
Stat
PHI
Home
36-88
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
40-88
41
FG %
45
12-39
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
9-35
18-19
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
17-21
22
Assists
24
14
Turnovers
14
Season series
PHI leads series 1-0
UTAH102@PHI106todayPHI126@UTAH116Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
PHI -7.5
Half-pt above key 7
Total
238.5
High-scoring · +12.5 vs avg
Moneyline
UTAH+26028%PHI-32576%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
7.5
0.0 since open
Total
238.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
PHI beat UTAH 106-102. J. Walker led with 22 PTS, 10 REB, 2 AST. Kyle Filipowski's play in the 4th quarter drove the biggest swing of the night (26pp).
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
PHI vs UTAH
Starters vs bench
production by unitUTAHstarters 59% of ptsStarters(5)
60 PTS · 26 REB · 11 AST
GS 41
Bench(6)
42 PTS · 16 REB · 11 AST
GS 34
PHIstarters 63% of ptsStarters(5)
67 PTS · 23 REB · 13 AST
GS 55
Bench(6)
39 PTS · 20 REB · 11 AST
GS 29
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactKeyonte George · makes 29-foot three point step back jumpshot (Ace Bailey assists)
Quentin Grimes · makes 2-foot two point shot
Kyle Filipowski · shooting foul
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 22 | 26 | 35 | 19 | 102 |
| PHI | 29 | 24 | 29 | 24 | 106 |
Period scoring
UTAH won 2 · PHI won 2
Q1
Collier 6
Maxey 10
Q2
Collier 6
Walker 8
Q3
George 15
Maxey 7
Q4
Collier 6
Martin 6
Shooting comparison
41%
36-88
FG
45%
40-88
31%
12-39
3PT
26%
9-35
95%
18-19
FT
81%
17-21
Play-by-play · 470 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
UTAH 102·PHI 106
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
UTAH 102·PHI 106
+2pp
- Q4·2.5
Isaiah Collier enters the game for Mo Bamba
·
UTAH 102·PHI 106
−2pp
- Q4·2.5
Jazz Full timeout
UTAH 102·PHI 106
- Q4·2.5
Jabari Walker makes free throw 2 of 2
UTAH 102·PHI 106
−1pp
- Q4·2.5
Mo Bamba enters the game for Isaiah Collier
·
UTAH 102·PHI 105
- Q4·2.5
Jabari Walker makes free throw 1 of 2
UTAH 102·PHI 105
- Q4·2.5
Isaiah Collier personal take foul
UTAH 102·PHI 104
+4pp
- Q4·3.8
Jabari Walker defensive reboundBIG MOMENT
UTAH 102·PHI 104
+8pp
- Q4·7.9
Kyle Filipowski misses 27-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
UTAH 102·PHI 104
+12pp
- Q4·16.4
Quentin Grimes makes free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
UTAH 102·PHI 104
−9pp
- Q4·16.4
Quentin Grimes makes free throw 1 of 2
UTAH 102·PHI 103
+2pp
- Q4·16.4
Kyle Filipowski shooting foulBIG MOMENT
UTAH 102·PHI 102
+26pp
- Q4·33.9
76ers defensive team rebound
UTAH 102·PHI 102
+1pp
- Q4·36.7
Keyonte George misses 27-foot three point jumper
UTAH 102·PHI 102
+4pp
- Q4·46.8
Quentin Grimes makes 2-foot two point shotBIG MOMENT
UTAH 102·PHI 102
+16pp
- Q4·1:04
76ers Full timeout
UTAH 102·PHI 100
- Q4·1:04
Isaiah Collier makes two point shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)BIG MOMENT
·
UTAH 102·PHI 100
−16pp
- Q4·1:07
Tyrese Maxey lost ball turnover (Ace Bailey steals)BIG MOMENT
·
UTAH 100·PHI 100
−8pp
- Q4·1:25
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
UTAH 100·PHI 100
+2pp
- Q4·1:27
Keyonte George misses 27-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
UTAH 100·PHI 100
+5pp
- Q4·1:35
Jazz offensive team reboundBIG MOMENT
UTAH 100·PHI 100
−6pp
- Q4·1:35
Tyrese Maxey blocks Keyonte George 's 8-foot driving layupBIG MOMENT
·
UTAH 100·PHI 100
+6pp
- Q4·1:50
Adem Bona makes tip in dunkBIG MOMENT
UTAH 100·PHI 100
+11pp
- Q4·1:50
Adem Bona offensive reboundBIG MOMENT
UTAH 100·PHI 98
+8pp
- Q4·1:52
Tyrese Maxey misses 28-foot three point step back jumpshotBIG MOMENT
UTAH 100·PHI 98
−9pp
- Q4·2:05
Keyonte George personal foul
UTAH 100·PHI 98
- Q4·2:11
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
UTAH 100·PHI 98
+2pp
- Q4·2:14
Ace Bailey misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
UTAH 100·PHI 98
+6pp
- Q4·2:37
Tyrese Maxey makes 8-foot driving floating jump shotBIG MOMENT
UTAH 100·PHI 98
+7pp
Betting line
PHI -7.5·O/U 238.5·UTAH +260/PHI -325
Recap · NBA
hiladelphia 76ers held off Utah Jazz, 106–102. Decided by 4.
UTAH +7.5 cashed (PHI won by 4). Total stayed UNDER 238.5 by 30.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort
Tyrese MaxeyPHI · GTOUCHES94.599
Blake HinsonUTAH · FTS%68.497- Keyonte GeorgeUTAH · GTOUCHES78.797
Adem BonaPHI · CTS%63.889
Elijah HarklessUTAH · GDEFL2.688
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · UTAH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
PHI vs UTAH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
165
projections · 130 high confidence
Points
- Joel EmbiidPHI25.3± 7.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI25.0± 6.5high
- Lauri MarkkanenUTAH24.2± 5.0high
Rebounds
- Jusuf NurkicUTAH11.4± 4.1high
- Walker KesslerUTAH10.7± 2.2low
- Kyle FilipowskiUTAH8.1± 2.6high
Assists
- Isaiah CollierUTAH6.6± 2.5high
- Kennedy ChandlerUTAH6.5± 2.2medium
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI5.9± 1.9high
Blocks
- Walker KesslerUTAH1.8± 2.5low
- Joel EmbiidPHI1.3± 1.4high
- Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH1.3± 1.3high
Steals
- Bez MbengUTAH2.5± 1.7medium
- John KoncharUTAH1.9± 1.7high
- Paul GeorgePHI1.5± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
UTAH
league avg
PHI
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.4
52.9%
46.7%
FG%
47.0
46.0%
117.6
PPG
114.9
114.3
29.6
Assists / G
25.0
24.1
15.0
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶12.8