NY
38-22
MIL
26-32
NY · top performer
OG Anunoby
F · #8
24
Pts
3
Reb
3
Ast
MIL · top performer
Myles Turner
C · #3
19
Pts
4
Reb
2
Ast
Biggest swing: 10pp · 1st Quarter · 1:41
NBA · New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 28 | 24 | 8-10 | 5-7 | 3-4 | +20 | 3 | 3 | |
| 29 | 17 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 4-4 | +21 | 13 | 1 | |
| 25 | 12 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | +18 | 5 | 5 | |
| 26 | 10 | 5-8 | — | — | +14 | 0 | 6 | |
| 31 | 27 | 11-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | +15 | 7 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | — | -3 | 2 | 0 | |
| 23 | 10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | +25 | 3 | 2 | |
| 16 | 0 | — | — | — | +10 | 3 | 3 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -3 | 3 | 1 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | — | -3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 15 | 5-8 | 5-7 | — | +20 | 0 | 3 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3-5 | 1-3 | — | +14 | 4 | 5 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | — | -3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 127 | 46-88 | 21-42 | 14-16 | 44 | 33 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 27 | 17 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | -16 | 4 | 2 | |
| 25 | 19 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 5-7 | -20 | 4 | 2 | |
| 27 | 11 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | -16 | 6 | 10 | |
| 30 | 7 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | -17 | 2 | 0 | |
| 32 | 13 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | -30 | 4 | 4 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 17 | 14 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | -10 | 2 | 0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | +1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | +3 | 0 | 1 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | -11 | 3 | 2 | |
| 23 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | -21 | 4 | 1 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | +3 | 0 | 1 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | — | +3 | 1 | 0 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | -17 | 2 | 1 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | — | +3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Team | 98 | 33-77 | 16-42 | 16-22 | 34 | 24 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
52
FG %
43
33
Ast
24
Team stats
NY
Away
Stat
MIL
Home
46-88
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
33-77
52
FG %
43
21-42
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
16-42
14-16
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
16-22
33
Assists
24
10
Turnovers
16
Season series
NY wins series 2-1
NY111@MIL121MIL109@NY118NY127@MIL98todayModel & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NY -8.5
Between 7 and 10
Total
219.5
Standard · -6.5 vs avg
Moneyline
NY-29875%MIL+24029%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
8.5
0.0 since open
Total
219.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
NY beat MIL 127-98. O. Anunoby led with 24 PTS, 3 REB, 3 AST. NY outscored the other side 39-27 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
MIL vs NY
Starters vs bench
production by unitNYstarters 71% of ptsStarters(5)
90 PTS · 28 REB · 18 AST
GS 82
Bench(9)
37 PTS · 16 REB · 15 AST
GS 33
MILstarters 68% of ptsStarters(5)
67 PTS · 20 REB · 18 AST
GS 48
Bench(9)
31 PTS · 14 REB · 6 AST
GS 20
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactJalen Brunson · makes 13-foot driving floating jump shot (Mitchell Robinson assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 38 | 39 | 26 | 24 | 127 |
| MIL | 30 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 98 |
Period scoring
NY won 3 · MIL won 0
Q1
Brunson 22
Rollins 10
Q2
Towns 12
Turner 9
Q3
Anunoby 15
Kuzma 12
Q4
Kolek 8
Jr. 7
Shooting comparison
52%
46-88
FG
43%
33-77
50%
21-42
3PT
38%
16-42
88%
14-16
FT
73%
16-22
Play-by-play · 435 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·19.3
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·23.0
Gary Harris misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·33.5
Gary Trent Jr. defensive rebound
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·37.1
Jordan Clarkson misses 27-foot three point jumper
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·46.1
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·50.3
Gary Trent Jr. misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·58.1
Trey Jemison III offensive foul turnover
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·58.1
Trey Jemison III offensive foul
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·58.1
Knicks defensive team rebound
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·59.2
Andre Jackson Jr. misses 28-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·1:09
Andre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·1:11
Jeremy Sochan misses 23-foot three point jumper
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·1:21
Andre Jackson Jr. traveling turnover
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·1:34
Andre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·1:35
Ariel Hukporti misses 7-foot hook shot
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·1:46
Gary Trent Jr. makes 26-foot three pointer (Gary Harris assists)
·
NY 127·MIL 98
- Q4·1:58
Trey Jemison III loose ball foul
NY 127·MIL 95
- Q4·1:58
Bucks defensive team rebound
NY 127·MIL 95
- Q4·2:00
Tyler Kolek misses 27-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 127·MIL 95
- Q4·2:12
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
NY 127·MIL 95
- Q4·2:14
Pete Nance misses 29-foot three point jumper
NY 127·MIL 95
- Q4·2:23
Tyler Kolek out of bounds bad pass turnover
NY 125·MIL 95
- Q4·2:26
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
NY 125·MIL 95
- Q4·2:27
Thanasis Antetokounmpo misses 23-foot three point jumper
NY 125·MIL 95
- Q4·2:54
Tyler Kolek makes 27-foot three point jumper (Ariel Hukporti assists)
·
NY 125·MIL 95
- Q4·3:08
Gary Trent Jr. traveling turnover
NY 122·MIL 95
- Q4·3:28
Jeremy Sochan makes 1-foot dunk (Trey Jemison III assists)
·
NY 124·MIL 95
- Q4·3:31
Trey Jemison III offensive rebound
NY 122·MIL 95
Betting line
NY -8.5·O/U 219.5·NY -298/MIL +240
Recap · NBA
ew York Knicks went into Milwaukee Bucks and beat them, 127–98. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
NY -8.5 cashed (won by 29). Total cleared the 219.5 OVER by 5.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort
Jalen BrunsonNY · GTOUCHES89.699
Kevin Porter Jr.MIL · GDRIVES16.799
Josh HartNY · GDEFL4.198
Ryan RollinsMIL · GDEFL4.098- OG AnunobyNY · FCONT8.496
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · NY favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
MIL vs NY.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
155
projections · 135 high confidence
Points
- Jalen BrunsonNY27.4± 9.6high
- Ryan RollinsMIL19.5± 7.1high
- Tyler HerroMIL19.2± 8.0high
Rebounds
- Josh HartNY8.4± 3.0high
- Mitchell RobinsonNY6.7± 2.5high
- OG AnunobyNY5.3± 1.6high
Assists
- Kevin Porter Jr.MIL6.9± 2.8high
- Jalen BrunsonNY6.2± 3.2high
- Ryan RollinsMIL5.5± 1.9high
Blocks
- OG AnunobyNY1.0± 1.0high
- Mitchell RobinsonNY0.7± 0.7high
- Kevin Porter Jr.MIL0.6± 0.7high
Steals
- Kevin Porter Jr.MIL2.1± 1.4high
- Ryan RollinsMIL1.5± 1.1high
- Josh HartNY1.5± 1.4high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
NY
league avg
MIL
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶56.5%
48.0%
FG%
47.0
47.7%
116.4
PPG
114.9
110.6
27.0
Assists / G
25.0
25.8
12.7
Turnovers / G
14.0
14.5