Los Angeles Angels vs Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 6, 2026

FINAL+2CLE

LAA

5-9

CLE

7-8

Goodyear Ballpark · Goodyear, Arizona

5,202 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CLE vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium
Parker MessickCLE
6.3± 2.4medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.2± 0.5high
Brayan RocchioCLE
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.0± 2.1medium
Travis BazzanaCLE
1.9± 3.1high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.8± 1.4low
Cooper IngleCLE
0.7± 1.6low

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.2± 3.6low
Gavin WilliamsCLE
2.8± 2.4medium
Jose SorianoLAA
2.7± 2.2medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

CLE

.717

OPS

◀

.718

.676

.319

OBP

◀

.319

.312

4.50

Runs / G

◀

4.50

3.93

4.58

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.77

1.40

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.26

8.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.3

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CLE wins

LAA 3 · CLE 5 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3
CLE	0	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. Frazier2B	.357	4	1	2	1	0	0	0
C. Moore2B	.261	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Candelario3B	.316	4	1	2	1	0	0	2
T. d'ArnaudC	.214	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. TaylorCF	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. RadaCF	.294	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. Walton3B	.286	3	1	1	0	0	0	2
J. SiriCF	.100	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Sanchez3B	.417	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Munroe3B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. WimmerSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Nicholson1B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. RiveroC	.375	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Martinez3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. RodriguezCF	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. De JesusRF	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
H. AlvarezOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		34	3	8	2	0	0	10

Player

.357

.261

.316

.214

.111

.294

.286

.100

.417

.000

.000

.000

.375

.000

.400

1.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. DetmersSP	4.0	2	2	2	2	5	64
S. AndersonRP	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	26
C. SilsethRP	1.0	2	1	1	2	1	31
H. YnoaSP	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	35
Team	8.0	8	5	5	5	6	156

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

2.0

Team

8.0

156

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. KwanCF	.188	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. DeLauterRF	.545	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. Ramirez3B	.214	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
D. FryRF	.118	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
K. Manzardo1B	.143	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
R. Hoskins1B	.083	2	1	0	0	0	1	2
D. SchneemannCF	.368	3	2	2	1	0	0	0
G. AriasSS	.333	3	0	2	2	0	0	0
P. HalpinCF	.400	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
K. WatsonRF	.545	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
R. CesariniOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Collado1B	.333	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. CozartC	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Velazquez1B	.417	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. IngleC	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Fernandez2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. FranciscaSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. LampeCF	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	5	8	5	0	5	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. WilliamsSP	3.2	4	2	1	0	5	56
J. MillerRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	3
C. BrogdonRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13
C. HeuerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
P. AvilaRP	1.2	3	1	0	0	1	33
D. NikhazySP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	4
W. DionSP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12
Team	9.0	8	3	1	0	10	131

Team

LAA

CLE

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CLE vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

3 sub-models, blended.

CLE vs LAA.