Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 2, 2026

FINAL+1LAA

5-5-1

LAA

4-7

Tempe Diablo Stadium · Tempe, Arizona

4,994 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · KC favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs KC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Jose SorianoLAA
5.6± 1.9medium
Noah CameronKC
5.1± 2.5medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Bobby Witt Jr.KC
1.2± 1.2high
Carter JensenKC
1.2± 0.7high

Total bases

Jac CaglianoneKC
2.5± 3.4high
Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Carter JensenKC
2.0± 1.7high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Jac CaglianoneKC
0.8± 1.3high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.8± 1.2medium

Earned runs

Seth LugoKC
2.9± 2.4medium
Ryan JohnsonLAA
2.9± 3.4low
Jose SorianoLAA
2.7± 2.2medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

LAA

.707

OPS

.718

▶

.716

.316

OBP

.319

.318

4.20

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.51

4.83

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.58

1.43

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.40

7.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

KC 4 · LAA 5 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
KC	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
LAA	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. Massey2B	.471	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
N. Loftin2B	.294	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
D. WatersLF	.182	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. Drury2B	.111	2	0	0	1	0	0	2
E. DiazC	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. Tolbert2B	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
K. Newman3B	.188	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
G. CrossRF	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. VazquezSS	.111	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. NivensLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. SquiresOF	.600	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. RoccaforteCF	.250	1	0	1	1	0	1	0
D. DickersonSS	.750	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. RamírezC	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. TreshC	.286	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. PinedaSS	.333	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
J. Johnson2B	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
P. Wilson2B	.222	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team		32	4	8	3	0	4	11

Player

.471

.294

.182

.111

.500

.250

.188

.250

.111

.000

.600

.250

.750

.167

.286

.333

.000

.222

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. CameronSP	2.2	6	3	3	1	0	--
S. PanziniSP	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	--
D. Lynch IVRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	--
N. MearsRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	--
A. LangeRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
H. NerisRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	--
S. CruzRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
H. PattesonSP	0.2	2	1	1	1	0	--
Team	8.2	11	5	5	5	7	0

Player

2.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.2

Team

8.2

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.375	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
M. TroutCF	.250	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
J. SolerDH	.333	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
J. AdellRF	.250	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
C. Moore2B	.286	2	0	1	1	0	1	0
V. Grissom2B	.125	1	0	0	0	0	2	0
T. d'ArnaudC	.273	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
O. Peraza2B	.222	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
A. Frazier2B	.300	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Guzman3B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. RadaCF	.273	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
T. Mancini1B	.154	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. FlintRF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
E. RodriguezCF	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Sanchez3B	.429	2	0	2	1	0	0	0
K. Paris2B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. MartinezC	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Kavadas1B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
W. MecklerLF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	5	11	5	1	5	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. RodriguezSP	3.0	2	2	2	1	3	--
J. KochanowiczSP	3.0	2	0	0	0	2	--
C. SilsethRP	2.0	2	0	0	1	4	--
J. FerminRP	1.0	2	2	2	2	2	--
Team	9.0	8	4	4	4	11	0

Team

LAA

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs KC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs KC.