Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 28, 2026

FINAL+4CHC

CHC

4-5

LAD

6-3

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

11,208 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.2%

ensemble · CHC favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs CHC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 84 high confidence

Strikeouts

Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Roki SasakiLAD
5.4± 3.1low
Matthew BoydCHC
5.3± 3.5low

Hits

Tommy EdmanLAD
1.5± 1.8low
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.4± 1.1high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high

Total bases

Dansby SwansonCHC
2.6± 3.5high
Mookie BettsLAD
2.3± 2.1high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.2± 1.7high

RBIs

Dansby SwansonCHC
1.3± 2.5high
Justin DeanCHC
1.0± 2.3low
Carson KellyCHC
0.9± 1.9high

Earned runs

Jordan WicksCHC
3.7± 5.5low
Shota ImanagaCHC
3.3± 3.2medium
Colin ReaCHC
2.8± 2.5medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHC

league avg

LAD

.743

OPS

.719

▶

.790

.338

OBP

.319

▶

.347

4.94

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.36

4.25

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.43

1.25

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.12

7.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.0

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHC wins

CHC 6 · LAD 2 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHC	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	6
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. ShawRF	.308	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
K. AlcantaraDH	.000	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. CarlsonLF	.455	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. McCormickLF	.235	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. Bethancourt1B	.250	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Triantos2B	.158	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B.J. Murray Jr.3B	.313	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
J. DeanCF	.167	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
S. Kingery3B	.143	1	0	1	0	0	2	0
O. Miller2B	.385	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
P. ChaversRF	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. TriceC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. BatemanCF	.444	1	1	1	2	0	1	0
J. RojasSS	.313	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. OpitzC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. Ramirez2B	.364	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
D. Bowser3B	.333	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
K. KepleyOF	.429	2	2	2	1	0	0	0
Team		35	6	10	5	0	7	6

Player

.308

.000

.455

.235

.250

.158

.313

.167

.143

.385

.250

.000

.444

.313

.000

.364

.333

.429

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. ReaSP	3.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
B. BrownRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	--
J. AssadSP	3.0	1	0	0	0	4	--
J. BrighamRP	0.2	1	2	1	3	0	--
D. NetzRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
Team	9.0	4	2	1	3	9	0

Player

3.0

2.0

3.0

0.2

0.1

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. RojasSS	.364	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
F. Freeman1B	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
W. SmithC	.455	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Muncy3B	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. HernándezLF	.500	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.188	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
K. Hiura1B	.077	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. MillerSS	.400	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. SianiCF	.125	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Fernandez1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. Lockwood-PowellC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. AlfonzoC	.200	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
Z. HopeCF	.300	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
L. Wagner3B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. De PaulaRF	.500	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
C. DavalanOF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. HainlineSS	.200	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
K. GeorgeCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	2	4	1	0	3	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. WrobleskiSP	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	--
E. DiazRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	--
T. ScottRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
W. MillsRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	2	--
J. RosarioSP	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	--
R. KoppRP	1.0	1	1	0	1	1	--
P. CopenSP	1.0	3	2	2	1	1	--
N. RobertsonRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	--
Team	9.0	10	6	5	7	6	0

Team

CHC

LAD

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs CHC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

3 sub-models, blended.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs CHC.