Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 26, 2026

FINAL+4MIL

MIL

3-4

TEX

4-3

Surprise Stadium · Surprise, Arizona

3,882 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · MIL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TEX win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TEX win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TEX win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

TEX vs MIL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 94 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Nathan EovaldiTEX
6.7± 2.1medium
Jacob deGromTEX
6.6± 2.5medium

Hits

William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Brice TurangMIL
1.1± 1.0high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high
William ContrerasMIL
1.9± 2.8high
Brandon NimmoTEX
1.9± 2.3high

RBIs

Jake BurgerTEX
0.9± 1.1high
William ContrerasMIL
0.7± 1.2high
Corey SeagerTEX
0.6± 0.7high

Earned runs

Chris PaddackTEX
3.1± 2.4low
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium
Robert GasserMIL
2.6± 2.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

MIL

league avg

TEX

.732

OPS

◀

.718

.712

.337

OBP

◀

.319

.320

5.16

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.07

3.40

Team ERA

◀

4.17

3.95

1.18

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.24

9.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.6

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIL wins

MIL 5 · TEX 1 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
MIL	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	5
TEX	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. LockridgeLF	.545	2	2	1	0	0	1	0
T. BlackDH	.667	4	1	3	2	0	0	1
G. SanchezC	.222	4	0	1	1	0	0	1
D. Hamilton3B	.167	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. LeonardSS	.600	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
L. LaraCF	.214	2	0	1	1	0	1	0
J. QueroC	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. PrattSS	.125	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
D. O'RaeCF	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. BrownCF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
B. Burke1B	.333	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. Wilken3B	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
L. CastilloRF	.500	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
Jor. AdamsCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. EbelSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Fischer3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
R. RodríguezC	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. DickinsonSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	5	11	5	0	5	9

Player

.545

.667

.222

.167

.600

.214

.000

.125

.200

.000

.333

.400

.500

.000

.000

.000

.500

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. AshbyRP	2.0	3	0	0	1	0	--
D. HallRP	2.0	3	1	1	1	1	--
G. AndersonRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
C. YohoRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	--
J. WaguespackRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
T. KuehnerSP	2.0	1	0	0	0	4	--
Team	9.0	8	1	1	3	8	0

Player

2.0

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

2.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. HaggertyLF	.667	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
W. LangfordLF	.667	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. SeagerSS	.143	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. Burger1B	.250	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. JansenC	.333	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. Smith2B	.375	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
E. DuranSS	.222	1	0	1	1	0	1	0
M. CanhaLF	.300	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. JohnsonC	.100	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Lee SangCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
O. MartinezOF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. HansonUN	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Pratto1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. Figuereo3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
F. Chavez2B	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
K. RodriguezSS	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. SniderLF	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. HartlC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	1	8	1	0	3	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. RockerSP	2.2	5	2	2	0	1	--
A. Hoopii-TuionetoaRP	0.1	0	0	0	2	0	--
C. WinnRP	1.2	3	2	2	0	3	--
A. AndersonRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
G. CollyerRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	--
E. LoomisRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
D. DavalilloSP	1.1	3	1	1	2	1	--
A. BergnerRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	2	--
Team	9.0	11	5	5	5	9	0

Team

MIL

TEX

3 sub-models, blended.

TEX vs MIL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

TEX vs MIL.