Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 25, 2026

FINAL+7TEX

TEX

4-2

114

CLE

4-2

Goodyear Ballpark · Goodyear, Arizona

2,400 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.0%

ensemble · TEX favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CLE vs TEX.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob deGromTEX
6.8± 2.7medium
Nathan EovaldiTEX
6.7± 2.1medium
Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium

Hits

Chase DeLauterCLE
1.2± 0.7high
Brandon NimmoTEX
1.1± 1.0high
Josh JungTEX
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Joc PedersonTEX
2.0± 2.4high
Brandon NimmoTEX
1.9± 2.3high
Josh JungTEX
1.8± 1.8high

RBIs

Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.7± 1.4low
Jake BurgerTEX
0.7± 1.0high
Travis BazzanaCLE
0.6± 1.6high

Earned runs

Gavin WilliamsCLE
2.8± 2.4medium
Nathan EovaldiTEX
2.5± 2.2medium
Joey CantilloCLE
2.3± 2.7medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

TEX

league avg

CLE

.711

OPS

◀

.719

.677

.320

OBP

◀

.319

.311

4.07

Runs / G

◀

4.50

3.97

3.99

Team ERA

4.19

▶

3.77

1.24

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.26

8.7

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.3

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

TEX wins

TEX 11 · CLE 4 (by 7)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
TEX	0	0	0	5	0	3	1	2	0	11
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	4

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. HaggertyLF	.714	2	0	1	1	0	1	0
D. JansenC	.286	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
M. HelmanCF	.125	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
E. DuranSS	.125	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
T. Wade2B	.556	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
M. CanhaLF	.375	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
J. Bride3B	.333	1	1	0	1	0	1	1
W. MacIverC	.167	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
R. MartinSS	.500	4	1	2	2	0	0	0
C. CauleySS	.308	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
A. ZavalaLF	.300	3	2	2	4	2	0	1
F. Chavez2B	.333	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
C. JohnsonC	.125	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. VelazquezSS	.100	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
O. MartinezOF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	2	0
N. Pratto1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. HerreraC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. SniderLF	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		36	11	12	10	2	8	6

Player

.714

.286

.125

.125

.556

.375

.333

.167

.500

.308

.300

.333

.125

.100

.000

.000

.000

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. EovaldiSP	2.2	2	0	0	1	4	--
C. StasioRP	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	--
T. AlexanderRP	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	--
R. BrasierRP	0.2	4	3	3	0	1	--
T. IrelandRP	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	--
R. AhlstromRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	--
R. LobusP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
B. AndersonRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	1	--
Team	9.0	10	4	4	6	11	0

Player

2.2

0.1

2.0

0.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. KwanCF	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. RocchioSS	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Ramirez3B	.429	2	1	1	1	1	1	1
B. NaylorC	.667	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
G. AriasSS	.286	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. SchneemannCF	.375	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. FryRF	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. KayfusLF	.250	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
P. HalpinCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. ChourioCF	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
D. Frias3B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
D. Fernandez2B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. CozartC	.333	2	1	1	1	0	0	1
J. DeversSS	.429	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
W. AntunezRF	.333	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
K. HuffC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Benjamin3B	.200	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
R. CesariniOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		36	4	10	4	1	6	11

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. CecconiSP	2.0	3	0	0	0	1	--
S. ArmstrongRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
C. HeuerRP	0.1	3	5	5	2	0	--
X. MartinezRP	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	--
T. StephanRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	--
Y. GomezSP	1.1	3	4	4	3	1	--
I. MartinezRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	--
F. AlemanRP	0.2	2	2	2	2	0	--
M. JachecRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
S. PerezP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
Team	9.0	12	11	11	8	6	0

Team

TEX

CLE

3 sub-models, blended.

CLE vs TEX.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CLE vs TEX.