New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 23, 2026

FINAL+4NYY

NYY

2-2

PIT

3-1

LECOM Park · Bradenton, Florida

5,692 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PIT vs NYY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 95 high confidence

Strikeouts

Paul SkenesPIT
7.2± 2.7medium
Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Braxton AshcraftPIT
6.9± 2.8medium

Hits

Ryan O'HearnPIT
1.2± 1.4high
Bryan ReynoldsPIT
1.1± 0.6high
Konnor GriffinPIT
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Esmerlyn ValdezPIT
2.5± 3.1medium
Ryan O'HearnPIT
2.0± 3.2high
Brandon LowePIT
1.9± 1.8high

RBIs

Ryan O'HearnPIT
0.9± 1.4high
Brandon LowePIT
0.8± 1.3high
Endy RodriguezPIT
0.7± 1.4high

Earned runs

Mitch KellerPIT
3.5± 2.5medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium
Jared JonesPIT
2.7± 2.8low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

NYY

league avg

PIT

.746

OPS

.718

▶

.757

.321

OBP

.319

▶

.337

4.90

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.18

3.30

Team ERA

◀

4.17

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.30

8.8

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

NYY 6 · PIT 2 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYY	0	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6
PIT	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Rice1B	.667	3	0	2	2	0	1	0
J. DominguezRF	.400	4	0	1	1	0	0	3
R. McMahon3B	.143	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
P. DeJong3B	.250	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
S. JonesCF	.200	2	1	0	0	0	1	2
M. SchuemannSS	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
S. BrownLF	.200	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
Z. ShortSS	.000	1	1	0	0	0	2	0
P. HenryC	.500	1	1	0	1	0	1	1
M. PalmaC	.333	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
B. Martin-GrudzielanekSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. Lombard Jr.SS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
Y. FernandezRF	.000	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
M. LucianoOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
T. Hardman1B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Vivas3B	.286	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. SanchezC	.125	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. EllisCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team		33	6	5	5	1	11	16

Player

.667

.400

.143

.250

.200

.250

.200

.000

.500

.333

B. Martin-GrudzielanekSS

.000

.000

.000

.000

.250

.286

.125

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. YarbroughRP	2.0	3	1	1	1	4	44
P. BlackburnRP	2.0	3	0	0	1	1	39
D. ColemanRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	15
B. HessSP	3.0	2	1	1	2	5	48
G. GilbertRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15
Team	9.0	10	2	2	4	13	161

Player

2.0

2.0

1.0

3.0

1.0

Team

9.0

161

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
O. CruzCF	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	2
N. Gonzales3B	.400	3	0	2	0	0	0	1
B. ReynoldsLF	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
R. O'HearnRF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. OzunaDH	.500	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. BartC	.200	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. TrioloSS	.250	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. Wendzel3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. WilliamsSS	.200	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. SanchezLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. SeverinoSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. FletcherRF	.250	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
P. HilsonOF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. PlazC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. JarvisSS	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. RivasSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Cimillo1B	.400	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
O. AlfonzoC	.500	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
Team		35	2	10	2	0	4	13

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. ChandlerSP	1.2	0	4	4	4	2	35
T. YulieSP	0.1	2	0	0	0	1	10
D. SantanaRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	24
G. SotoRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	17
K. NicolasRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11
H. BarcoRP	1.1	0	1	0	3	3	38
K. LarsenP	0.2	0	0	0	1	2	17
B. BurrowsRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	2	17
B. BidoisRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	11
Team	9.0	5	6	5	11	16	180

Team

NYY

PIT

3 sub-models, blended.

PIT vs NYY.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

PIT vs NYY.